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Brussee, A.R. (author), Bricker, J.D. (author), De Bruijn, Karin M. (author), Verhoeven, Govert F. (author), Winsemius, H.C. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Flood simulations are important for flood (fatality) risk assessment. This article provides insight into the sensitivity of flood fatality risks to the model resolution of flood simulations and to several uncertain parameters in the loss of life model used. A case study is conducted for river flooding in a polder in the Netherlands (the...journal article 2021
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Ke, Q. (author), Yin, Jiangshan (author), Bricker, J.D. (author), Savage, Nicholas (author), Buonomo, Erasmo (author), Ye, Qinghua (author), Visser, P.J. (author), Dong, Guangtao (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Climate change leads to sea level rise worldwide, as well as increases in the intensity and frequency of tropical cyclones (TCs). Storm surge induced by TC’s, together with spring tides, threatens to cause failure of flood defenses, resulting in massive flooding in low-lying coastal areas. However, limited research has been done on the...journal article 2021
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Gijón Mancheño, A. (author), Herman, P.M.J. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Kazi, Swarna (author), Urrutia, Ignacio (author), van Ledden, Mathijs (author)Mangroves protect coastal areas against hazards like storms or cyclones by attenuating waves and currents, and by trapping floating debris during extreme events. Bangladesh is a very vulnerable country to floods and cyclones, and part of its coastal system is thus being upgraded to a higher safety standard. These upgrades include embankment...journal article 2021
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Elsinga, M.G. (author), Oorschot, L.M. (author), van Bortel, G.A. (author), Jonkman, Arend (author)Het in april 2020 verschenen rapport Ruimte voor Wonen (RvW) maakt deel uit van de Brede Maatschappelijke Heroverwegingen van kabinet Rutte III. Over de volle breedte van de collectieve sector zijn zestien maatschappelijke opgaven geïdentificeerd, waarvoor implicaties van diverse beleidsopties in kaart worden gebracht. Het uiteindelijke doel is...report 2020
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Janssen, C. (author), Jonkman, Arend (author), Kimhur, Boram (author), Kramer, J. (author)Covid-19 and especially the extreme measures of the lockdown in response to the virus, have exposed existing housing inequalities. They revealed how, in the 21st century, households still live in poor and insecure housing conditions exposing them to increased physical and mental health risks. In the Netherlands, where we as authors are based,...report 2020
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Geise, Jonas (author), Jonkman, Arend (author)Fietsen is in transitie van een voornamelijk lokale naar een ook regionale modaliteit. De grote populariteit van de elektrische fiets vormt de drijfveer om snelfietsroutes en campagnes te ontwikkelen, maar wie is verantwoordelijk voor de regionale fietser?report 2020
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Paprotny, D. (author), Vousdoukas, Michalis I. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Feyen, Luc (author)The interaction between storm surges and inland run-off has been gaining increasing attention recently, as they have the potential to result in compound floods. In Europe, several flood events of this type have been recorded in the past century in Belgium, France, Ireland, Italy and UK. First projections of compound flood hazard under climate...journal article 2020
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Lendering, K.T. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), van Ledden, Mathijs (author), Vrijling, J.K. (author)Flood risk reduction can be provided by interventions such as raising land or constructing flood defences. This paper introduces an approach to optimise the selection of risk reduction strategies. It expands existing economic optimization approaches for flood defences, by introducing (largely) analytical formulations to include the effects of...journal article 2020
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Zhu, Zhenchang (author), Vuik, V. (author), Visser, P.J. (author), Soens, Tim (author), van Wesenbeeck, B (author), van de Koppel, Johan (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Temmerman, Stijn (author), Bouma, T.J. (author)Global change amplifies coastal flood risks and motivates a paradigm shift towards nature-based coastal defence, where engineered structures are supplemented with coastal wetlands such as saltmarshes. Although experiments and models indicate that such natural defences can attenuate storm waves, there is still limited field evidence on how...journal article 2020
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Roubos, A.A. (author), Schweckendiek, T. (author), Brinkgreve, R.B.J. (author), Steenbergen, R. D. J. M. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)While reliability methods have already been widely adopted in civil engineering, the efficiency and robustness of finite element-based reliability assessments of quay walls are still fairly low. In this paper, the reliability indices of structural and geotechnical failure modes of two real-life quay walls are determined by coupling...journal article 2020
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Jonkman, Arend (author)Housing policy changes in the Netherlands have been in line with OECD and IMF policy advice to increase market dynamism by downsizing the large social rental sector. The impact of such policies on households, however, is rarely acknowledged. Therefore, in this article, distributive effects on social housing tenants in Amsterdam between 2004 and...journal article 2020
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Roubos, A.A. (author), Allaix, Diego L. (author), Schweckendiek, T. (author), Steenbergen, Raphael D.J.M. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)The assessment of service-proven quay walls subject to corrosion-induced degradation is inherently a time-dependent reliability problem. Two major challenges are the modelling of corrosion and taking into account the decrease of epistemic uncertainty throughout the quay wall's service life. The main objective of this study is to examine the...journal article 2020
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Jansen, L. (author), Korswagen, Paul A. (author), Bricker, J.D. (author), Pasterkamp, S. (author), de Bruijn, K.M. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Failure of residential buildings during floods is an important cause of damage and loss of life. In the case of the Netherlands, the collapse of buildings is implicitly included in current damage and mortality curves since these are generated from historical data. However, the Netherlands has not experienced destructive flooding since 1953, so...journal article 2020
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Meijer, Rick (author), Jonkman, Arend (author)Land-policy instruments are important to local governments for the implementation of densification. This article explores the factors behind local governments’ motives that determine the use of specific land-policy instruments to achieve densification. The aim is to increase understanding of how available land-policy instruments are applied in...journal article 2020
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Shahab, Sina (author), Hartmann, Thomas (author), Jonkman, Arend (author)How do municipalities strategically use land policy to develop land for housing? The development of housing is a challenge for many European countries, though the scale and time of it differs. Issues are not always about the absolute number of houses that need to be supplied in a country. The distribution and quality of houses affect the demand...journal article 2020
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Yin, Jie (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Lin, Ning (author), Yu, Dapeng (author), Aerts, Jeroen (author), Wilby, Robert (author), Pan, Ming (author), Bricker, J.D. (author), Ke, Q. (author)Sea level rise (SLR) and subsidence are expected to increase the risk of flooding and reliance on flood defenses for cities built on deltas. Here, we combine reliability analysis with hydrodynamic modeling to quantify the effect of projected relative SLR on dike failures and flood hazards for Shanghai, one of the most exposed delta cities. We...journal article 2020
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Kool, J.J. (author), Kanning, W. (author), Jommi, C. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Hindcasting of past levee failures enhances insights in the performance and vulnerability of levees. The scarcity of field evidence makes identifying the cause(s) of failure difficult. Under these circumstances, multiple scenarios and model choices are possible to characterise and to model the failure. This paper shows how probabilistic...journal article 2020
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van Berchum, E.C. (author), van Ledden, M. (author), Timmermans, Jos (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Coastal cities combine intensive socioeconomic activities and investments with high exposure to flood hazards. Developing effective strategies to manage flood risk in coastal cities is often a costly and complicated process. In designing strategies, engineers rely on computationally demanding flood simulation models, but they can only compare...journal article 2020
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Meinen, Nadieh Elisabeth (author), Maria, Raphaël Daniël Johannes (author), Hofland, Bas (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Vertical slender hydraulic structures such as sluices, navigation locks, or storm-surge barriers are often dynamically loaded by waves. For a safe and economic design, an accurate description of the wave loads is needed. A widely used formula for this purpose is the Goda–Takahashi wave load formula (GT). It was derived for the assessment of...journal article 2020
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Marquard, Elisabeth (author), Bartke, Stephan (author), Gifreu i Font, Judith (author), Humer, Alois (author), Jonkman, Arend (author), Jürgenson, Evelin (author), Marot, Naja (author), Poelmans, Lien (author), Repe, Blaž (author), Rybski, Robert (author), Schröter-Schlaack, Christoph (author), Sobocká, Jaroslava (author), Sørensen, Michael Tophøj (author), Vejchodská, Eliška (author), Yiannakou, Athena (author), Bovet, Jana (author)Rapid expansion of settlements and related infrastructures is a global trend that comes with severe environmental, economic, and social costs. Steering urbanization toward well-balanced compactness is thus acknowledged as an important strategic orientation in UN Sustainable Development Goal 11 (SDG-11) via the SDG-indicator “Ratio of land...journal article 2020