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Paprotny, D. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Vousdoukas, Michalis I. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Nikulin, Grigory (author)Coastal flood maps covering the whole European continent have become available in recent years. However, their ability to complement or replace high-resolution local flood maps was not investigated so far. In this paper we compare pan-European estimates of extreme sea levels and coastal flood extents at given return periods with observations and...journal article 2018
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Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Voortman, H.G. (author), Klerk, W.J. (author), van Vuren, S. (author)This article highlights recent developments in flood risk management in the Netherlands and presents approaches for reliability analysis and asset management for flood defences and hydraulic infrastructure. The functioning of this infrastructure is of great importance for the country as large parts of it are prone to flooding. Based on a...journal article 2018
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Paprotny, D. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)The influence of social and economic change on the consequences of natural hazards has been a matter of much interest recently. However, there is a lack of comprehensive, high-resolution data on historical changes in land use, population or assets available to study this topic. Here, we present HANZE database, or ‘Historical Analysis of Natural...journal article 2018
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Vuik, V. (author), Suh Heo, H.Y. (author), Zhu, Zhenchang (author), Borsje, Bas W. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)One of the services provided by coastal ecosystems is wave attenuation by vegetation, and subsequent reduction of wave loads on flood defense structures. Therefore, stability of vegetation under wave forcing is an important factor to consider. This paper presents a model which determines the wave load that plant stems can withstand before...journal article 2018
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Tieleman, Orson (author), Hofland, Bas (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)This paper describes a first case study of the application of a newly developed fluid-structure interaction model to the design of flood gates. The gates in the Afsluitdijk, that will be replaced in the coming years, are considered. Due to the presence of a concrete beam in front of the gates breaking wave can occur, leading to high impact...conference paper 2018
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Ke, Q. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. (author), Bricker, J.D. (author)Shanghai, as a coastal city, is vulnerable to various types of flooding. The floodwalls along the Huangpu River provide protection against typhoon-induced flooding. However, there is limited insight into the actual safety level of the flood defences in Shanghai, and recent failures have highlighted their vulnerability. Therefore, the aims of...journal article 2018
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van Berchum, E.C. (author), Mobley, William (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Timmermans, Jos (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Brody, Samuel D. (author)Large, complex coastal regions often require a combination of interventions to lower the risk of flooding to an acceptable level. In practice, a limited number of strategies are considered and interdependencies between interventions are often simplified. This paper presents the Multiple Lines of Defence Optimization System (MODOS)‐model. This...journal article 2018
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Oosterlo, P. (author), McCall, R.T. (author), Vuik, V. (author), Hofland, Bas (author), van der Meer, J.W. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Shallow foreshores in front of coastal dikes can reduce the probability of dike failure due to wave overtopping. A probabilistic model framework is presented, which is capable of including complex hydrodynamics like infragravity waves, and morphological changes of a sandy foreshore during severe storms in the calculations of the probability of...journal article 2018
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Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Godfroy, Maartje (author), Sebastian, Antonia (author), Kolen, B. (author)An analysis was made of the loss of life caused by Hurricane Harvey. Information was collected for 70 fatalities that occurred due to the event and were recovered within the first 2 weeks after landfall. Most fatalities occurred due to drowning (81 %), particularly in and around vehicles. Males (70 %) and people over 50 years old (56 %) were...journal article 2018
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Bouwer, LM (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Changes in society's vulnerability to natural hazards are important to understand, as they determine current and future risks, and the need to improve protection. Very large impacts including high numbers of fatalities occur due to single storm surge flood events. Here, we report on impacts of global coastal storm surge events since the year...journal article 2018
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Weeda, Tomas (author), de Gijt, J.G. (author), Bakker, K.J. (author), Braam, C.R. (author), Broos, Eric (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)As a result of the persistent increase of container vessel dimensions, future problems regarding navigation draught in the presence of tunnels are becoming more likely to occur. Hence, possible solutions to this problem have been investigated for the Beneluxtunnel. Several design options have been elaborated to determine the technical and...conference paper 2017
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Lendering, K.T. (author), Sebastian, Antonia (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Floods are the costliest and deadliest weather-related disaster globally. With higher population density in flood prone areas, increased urban development, and projected climate impacts, the frequency and severity of flooding in Europe is predicted to rise. While permanent flood defences have been shown to be more economically effective and...abstract 2017
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Paprotny, D. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Flood hazard is currently being researched on continental and global scales, using models of increasing complexity. In this paper we investigate a different, simplified approach, which combines statistical and physical models in place of conventional rainfall-run-off models to carry out flood mapping for Europe. A Bayesian-network-based model...journal article 2017
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- Özer, I.E. (author), van Leijen, F.J. (author), van Damme, M. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Hanssen, R.F. (author) abstract 2017
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van Elsäcker, W.A. (author), Besseling, F. (author), Lengkeek, H.J. (author), Brinkgreve, R.B.J. (author), de Gijt, J.G. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Liquefaction induced by earthquakes has shown to have potential devastating influence on seismic performance of anchored quay walls. Therefore, measures to mitigate liquefaction are commonly part of the design of quay walls in<br/>seismically active regions. Such mitigation measures are costly. Moreover, these measures are difficult to implement...conference paper 2017
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Sebastian, Antonia (author), Lendering, K.T. (author), Kothuis, B.L.M. (author), Brand, A.D. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. (author), Godfroij, Maartje (author), Kolen, B. (author), Comes, M. (author), Lhermitte, S.L.M. (author), Meesters, Kenny (author), van de Walle, B.A. (author), Ebrahimi Fard, A. (author), Cunningham, S. (author), Khakzad, N. (author), Nespeca, V. (author)On August 25, 2017, Hurricane Harvey made landfall near Rockport, Texas as a Category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of approximately 200 km/hour. Harvey caused severe damages in coastal Texas due to extreme winds and storm surge, but will go down in history for record-setting rainfall totals and flood-related damages. Across large...report 2017
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Paprotny, D. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author)Objectives<br/>Since the beginning of the second industrial revolution in the second half of the 19th century, Europe’s society and economy has been profoundly transformed. The population doubled in the last 150 years, together with more than fourfold increase in number of dwellings and 30-fold increase in production value in real terms. At the...abstract 2017
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Kool, J.J. (author), Kanning, W. (author), Jommi, C. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)The hindcasting of levee failures can provide valuable information about levee strength, strength models and dominant factors that contribute to failure. It is however not always clear how and why a levee failed as evidence (such as detail subsoil composition) is not present anymore.abstract 2017
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van Berchum, E.C. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Timmermans, Jos (author), Brody, S.D. (author)loods can have a huge impact on the regions they affect. The impact of these disasters can be reduced with a flood risk management system. Flood-prone regions often require a combination of interventions to reduce the risk to an acceptable level. The amount of risk reduction provided by various interventions can be quantified using probabilistic...abstract 2017
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Okumura, N. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Esteban, M (author), Hofland, Bas (author), Shibayama, T (author)This paper presents a methodology for tsunami risk assessment, which was applied to a case study in Kamakura, Japan. This methodology was developed in order to evaluate the effectiveness of a risk-reducing system against such hazards, also aiming to demonstrate that a risk assessment is possible for these episodic events. The tsunami risk...journal article 2017