document

Optimizing Energy Quay Walls: Insights from Comprehensive Thermal Analysis and Turbulent Flow Enhancement

Gerola, M. (author), Cecinato, Francesco (author), Haasnoot, Jacco K. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author)

In recent decades, there has been a notable rise in the utilization of the subsurface as a source for heating and cooling through shallow geothermal installations. This trend is exemplified by the emergence of Energy Geostructures (EGs), an innovative technology that not only provides structural support to the ground or buildings but also...

abstract 2024

document

Knowledge co-production for decision-making in human-natural systems under uncertainty

Moallemi, Enayat A. (author), Zare, Fateme (author), Hebinck, Aniek (author), Szetey, Katrina (author), Molina-Perez, Edmundo (author), Zyngier, Romy L. (author), Hadjikakou, Michalis (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Haasnoot, Marjolijn (author)

Decision-making under uncertainty is important for managing human-natural systems in a changing world. A major source of uncertainty is linked to the multi-actor settings of decisions with poorly understood values, complex relationships, and conflicting management approaches. Despite general agreement across disciplines on co-producing knowledge...

journal article 2023

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The timing of decreasing coastal flood protection due to sea-level rise

Hermans, T.H.J. (author), Malagón-Santos, Víctor (author), Katsman, C.A. (author), Jane, Robert A. (author), Rasmussen, D. J. (author), Haasnoot, Marjolijn (author), Garner, Gregory G. (author), Kopp, Robert E. (author), Oppenheimer, Michael (author), Slangen, Aimée B.A. (author)

Sea-level rise amplifies the frequency of extreme sea levels by raising their baseline height. Amplifications are often projected for arbitrary future years and benchmark frequencies. Consequently, such projections do not indicate when flood risk thresholds may be crossed given the current degree of local coastal protection. To better support...

journal article 2023

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Validation of a novel bicycle simulator with realistic lateral and roll motion

Haasnoot, Jelle (author), Happee, R. (author), van der Wijk, V. (author), Schwab, A.L. (author)

Bicycle simulators have been the subject of considerable research, however, few of these attempts have integrated direct balance control and realistic freedom of motion to deliver a real-world dynamic cycling experience. This study presents the BIKE (Bicycle Intrinsic Kinematics Emulator) system, a kinematic bicycle simulator, developed with...

journal article 2023

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Accounting for Multisectoral Dynamics in Supporting Equitable Adaptation Planning: A Case Study on the Rice Agriculture in the Vietnam Mekong Delta

Jafino, B.A. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Klijn, F. (author), Dung, Nguyen Viet (author), van Delden, Hedwig (author), Haasnoot, Marjolijn (author), Sutanudjaja, Edwin H. (author)

The need for explicitly considering equity in climate change adaptation planning is increasingly being recognized. However, evaluations of adaptation often adopt an aggregated perspective, while disaggregation of results is important to learn about who benefits when and where. A typical example is adaptation of rice agriculture in the Vietnam...

journal article 2021

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Why uncertainty in community livelihood adaptation is important for adaptive delta management: A case study in polders of Southwest Bangladesh

Kulsum, U. (author), Timmermans, Jos (author), Haasnoot, Marjolijn (author), Shah Alam Khan, M. (author), Thissen, W.A.H. (author)

To deal with large uncertainties about future climate and socio-economic developments, planners in deltas are adopting an integrative and adaptive planning approach referred to as Adaptive Delta Management (ADM). Bangladesh has used the ADM approach for the development of its adaptive plan; Bangladesh Delta Plan 2100 (BDP 2100). The success...

journal article 2021

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Panorama New Netherlands

Timmermans, Jos (author), Storms, J.E.A. (author), Pleijster, Eric-Jan (author), van der Meulen, G.J.M. (author), van Alphen, Jos (author), Haasnoot, Marjolein (author), Diermanse, FLM (author), Cohen, Kim M. (author), Minderhoud, Philip (author), Leuven, Jasper R.F.W. (author), Gerritsen, Kari-Anne (author), van Buuren, Michaël (author), van Boxel, Elma (author), Koreman, Kristian (author), Sanaan Bensi, N. (author)

How can the Netherlands adapt to sea level rise on the long term: maintain, advance or retreat? This article compares the results of seven plans and designs from a diverse group of scholars and professionals that offer very different answers to this question. This diversity broadens the options, which is vital in this stage. Both problem solving...

journal article 2020

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Energy quay walls

Haasnoot, Jacco (author), Vardon, P.J. (author), Pantev, I.A. (author), Bersan, Silvia (author), Bloemers, Bob (author), Smeulders, David (author)

In the Netherlands and other countries around the world there are extensive canals and rivers with banks supported by walls. Especially in the historic inner cities of the Netherlands, quay walls currently need to be replaced. During construction, temporary valuable underground space is created that can be used to accommodate energy...

journal article 2020

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What are the merits of endogenising land-use change dynamics into model-based climate adaptation planning?

Jafino, B.A. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Haasnoot, M. (author)

Integrated assessment models often treat land-use change as an external driving force. In reality, land-use is influenced by environmental conditions. This paper explores the merits of endogenising land-use change, i.e. making land-use change an internal dynamic process in models used for supporting climate adaptation planning. For this purpose,...

journal article 2019

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Designing a monitoring system to detect signals to adapt to uncertain climate change

Haasnoot, M. (author), van ’t Klooster, Susan (author), van Alphen, Jos (author)

Adaptive plans aim to anticipate uncertain future changes by combining low-regret short-term actions with long-term options to adapt, if necessary. Monitoring and timely detection of relevant changes, and critical transitions or tipping points is crucial to ensure successful and timely implementation and reassessment of the plan. Although...

journal article 2018

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Designing monitoring arrangements for collaborative learning about adaptation pathways

Hermans, L.M. (author), Haasnoot, M. (author), ter Maat, Judith (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author)

Adaptation pathways approaches support long-term planning under uncertainty. The use of adaptation pathways implies a systematic monitoring effort to inform future adaptation decisions. Such monitoring should feed into a long-term collaborative learning process between multiple actors at various levels. This raises questions about who should...

journal article 2017

document

De globalisering van Adaptief Deltamanagement

Timmermans, Jos (author), Kusnadi, F. (author), Kulsum, U. (author), Haasnoot, M. (author)

In Myanmar en Bangladesh wordt aan adaptieve plannen gewerkt en in Vietnam is het Mekong deltaplan een katalysator voor nieuw beleid. TU-onderzoekers stellen scherpe vragen: richt men zich op behoud of op ontwikkeling? Hoe gaat men in verschillende culturen om met onzekerheden? Op welk schaalniveau ligt het adaptieve vermogen, en wat te doen aan...

report 2016

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Implementing new flood protection standards: Obstacles to adaptive management and how to overcome these

Klijn, F. (author), Asselman, Nathalie E.M. (author), De Kruif, Arno (author), Bloemen, Pieter J.T.M. (author), Haasnoot, M. (author)

The Netherlands is updating its flood protection, whilst fully taking into account climate change and socioeconomic development. This translates in 'anticipatory standards' which need to be met in 2050, and which apply for the then foreseen climate and economy. Whilst the government maintains to have adopted a policy of adaptive planning and...

journal article 2016

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Comparing Robust Decision-Making and Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways for model-based decision support under deep uncertainty

Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Haasnoot, M. (author), Walker, W.E. (author)

A variety of model-based approaches for supporting decision-making under deep uncertainty have been suggested, but they are rarely compared and contrasted. In this paper, we compare Robust Decision-Making with Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways. We apply both to a hypothetical case inspired by a river reach in the Rhine Delta of the Netherlands...

journal article 2016

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Exploring adaptation pathways in terms of flood risk management at a city scale - A case study for Shanghai city

Ke, Qian (author), Haasnoot, M. (author), Hoogvliet, Marco (author)

Cities are vulnerable to flooding and historical events, for instance Hurricane Sandy in 2012, have showed that losses in the cities are costly. In the context of climate change and socio-economic development, future flood risk will inevitably rise; adaptive measures, for instance upgrading of sea dikes and floodwalls, improving drainage...

journal article 2016

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Coping with the wickedness of public policy problems: Approaches for decision-making under deep uncertainty

Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Haasnoot, M. (author), Walker, W.E. (author)

journal article 2016

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How robust is a robust policy? A comparative analysis of alternative robustness metrics for supporting robust decision analysis

Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Haasnoot, M. (author)

journal article 2015

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Transient scenarios for robust climate change adaptation illustrated for water management in The Netherlands

Haasnoot, M. (author), Schellekens, J. (author), Beersma, J.J. (author), Middelkoop, H. (author), Kwadijk, J.C.J. (author)

Climate scenarios are used to explore impacts of possible future climates and to assess the robustness of adaptation actions across a range of futures. Time-dependent climate scenarios are commonly used in mitigation studies. However, despite the dynamic nature of adaptation, most scenarios for local or regional decision making on climate...

journal article 2015

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Adaptive delta management: Roots and branches

Timmermans, J.S. (author), Haasnoot, M. (author), Hermans, L.M. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Rutten, M.M. (author), Thissen, W.A.H. (author)

Deltas are generally recognized as vulnerable to climate change and therefore a salient topic in adaptation science. Deltas are also highly dynamic systems viewed from physical (erosion, sedimentation, subsidence), social (demographic), economic (trade), infrastructures (transport, energy, metropolization) and cultural (multiethnic) perspectives...

conference paper 2015

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Considerations in designing an evaluation system for adaptive delta management

Hermans, L.M. (author), Maat, J. (author), Haasnoot, M. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author)

New planning approaches put new requirements on evaluation. A recent innovation in the water domain is adaptive delta management (ADM). ADM supports long-term planning in the face of uncertainty. This paper discusses the main considerations for the design of an evaluation system for ADM, departing from literature on evaluation systems, adaptive...

conference paper 2014