Modelling Covid-19 in Delft using epidemiological models and Markov Chain Monte Carlo

The spread of Covid-19 is modelled in this Bachelor thesis. This is done using two compartmental epidemiological models: the SIR-model and SIRS-model. These models divide the population into three groups, namely Susceptible, Infected and Recovered. Artificial data is generated based on the stochastic version of the models. The models are applied...

Financial Stock Market Modeling and the COVID-19 crisis: Has COVID-19 structurally changed the dynamics of the stock market?

The COVID-19 crisis heavily affected financial stock markets. In March 2020 stock prices dropped immensely and markets became extremely volatile. In this report we model three European stock markets before and during the COVID-19 crisis to determine whether the dynamics of financial markets changed structurally compared to previous periods....

Simulating COVID-19 contact tracing queue using compartment models

This research is mainly about optimising compartment models for COVID-19 and then using them for different applications that can be used to consult authorities. A compartment model describes the dynamics of a disease by implementing differential equations for the different states that belong to that disease. This is done using parameters which...

The spread of COVID-19

In this report we investigate the spread of the coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) using mathematical models. We start with a simplified model consisting of a system of three ordinary differential equations and expand it more and more to try to simulate reality. We use Python’s odeint function to solve these systems numerically. Because a fraction of...

Smart Personal Protective Equipment: On-Board Power Management

The COVID-19 pandemic caused a shortage of Personal Protective Equipment for Healthcare personnel. This project aims to aid in this shortage by extending the lifetime of the filter material used in a mask. This is done in the form of an SPPE, a Smart Personal Protective Equipment. This face mask has two smart filter heads that are modular and...

Smart Personal Protective Equipment: Sensing and Control: The future of face masks

The current COVID-19 pandemic shows the necessity of personal protective equipment and face masks. In the project, a filter module with an in-situ ultraviolet-sterilization technique is designed that can serve as a new kind of smart personal protective equipment (SPPE). This technique is not used in wearable devices as of yet. The project thus...

COVID-19 Prediction and Mitigation

With the world in grasp of the COVID-19 pandemic, models predicting the spread of the virus can give indications to what extent a country is controlling the pandemic. Policymakers can decide to install so-called mitigation strategies to limit the spread of the virus. To aid the decision-making process, this report describes how a web application...

Effect of Behavioural Strategies on Individual Quality of Life in Agent-Based Social Simulations of COVID-19

Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, many models have been made to predict the spread and responses to it. Although moral decision-making during the uncertainty pandemics is suggested to be more motivated by individual incentive than collective incentive, decision-making in COVID-19 agent-based models is often modelled implicitly by...

Public Transport during coronavirus outbreak: A research of measures taken in Dutch and international PT

In 2019 a virus surfaced in China that would later cause a pandemic: the coronavirus. Across the world measures were taken to reduce the spread of the virus. Public Transport (PT) had a unique position, being both an essential service and a place where the virus can easily be spread. This research investigates the measures taken in PT in the...