A risk-based approach to inspection planning for pipelines considering the coupling effect of corrosion and dents

RBI, referring to a risk-based approach to inspection planning, is an established pipeline integrity management method. Both corrosion and dents are the primary threats to pipeline integrity. However, they are often treated separately in RBI without considering their interactions. This coupling may lead to a synergic effect on integrity...

An integrated resilience assessment methodology for emergency response systems based on multi-stage STAMP and dynamic Bayesian networks

The interactions of external disruptions and technical-human-organizational factors in emergency operations are usually observed. Resilience assessment of emergency systems can improve emergency response capability and system functional recovery. The increasing complexity and coupling of factors in emergency response systems need to be...

Quantitative resilience assessment of chemical process systems using functional resonance analysis method and Dynamic Bayesian network

The emergent hazards of chemical process systems cannot be wholly identified and are highly uncertain due to the complicated technical-human-organizational interactions. Under uncertain and unpredictable circumstances, resilience becomes an essential property of a chemical process system that helps it better adapt to disruptions and restore...

Probabilistic framework to evaluate the resilience of engineering systems using Bayesian and dynamic Bayesian networks

Resilience indicators are a convenient tool to assess the resilience of engineering systems. They are often used in preliminary designs or in the assessment of complex systems. This paper introduces a novel approach to assess the time-dependent resilience of engineering systems using resilience indicators. A Bayesian network (BN) approach is...

Risk analysis of earth-rock dam breach based on dynamic Bayesian network

Despite the fact that the Bayesian network has great advantages in logical reasoning and calculation compared with the other traditional risk analysis methods, there are still obvious shortcomings in the study of dynamic risk. The risk factors of the earth-rock dam breach are complex, which vary with time during the operation period. Static...

Modeling wildfire spread in wildland-industrial interfaces using dynamic Bayesian network

Global warming and the subsequent increase in the frequency and severity of wildfires demand for specialized risk assessment and management methodologies to cope with the ever-increasing risk of wildfires in wildland-industrial interfaces (WIIs). Wildfires can jeopardize the safety and integrity of industrial plants, and trigger secondary...

Application of dynamic Bayesian network to performance assessment of fire protection systems during domino effects

The propagation of fire in chemical plants – also known as fire domino effects - largely depends on the performance of add-on passive and active protection systems such as sprinkler systems, water deluge systems, emergency shut down and emergency blow down systems, fireproofing, and emergency response. Although such safety barriers are widely...