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Pande, S. (author), Arkesteijn, L. (author), Savenije, H.H.G. (author), Bastidas, L.A. (author)
This paper shows that instability of hydrological system representation in response to different pieces of information and associated prediction uncertainty is a function of model complexity. After demonstrating the connection between unstable model representation and model complexity, complexity is analyzed in a step by step manner. This is...
journal article 2015
document
Pande, S. (author), Arkesteijn, L. (author), Savenije, H.H.G. (author), Bastidas, L.A. (author)
This paper presents evidence that model prediction uncertainty does not necessarily rise with parameter dimensionality (the number of parameters). Here by prediction we mean future simulation of a variable of interest conditioned on certain future values of input variables. We utilize a relationship between prediction uncertainty, sample size...
journal article 2014