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Hermans, T.H.J. (author), Gregory, Jonathan M. (author), Palmer, Matthew D. (author), Ringer, Mark A. (author), Katsman, C.A. (author), Slangen, Aimée B.A. (author)The effective climate sensitivity (EffCS) of models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) has increased relative to CMIP5. We explore the implications of this for global mean sea-level (GMSL) change projections in 2100 for three emissions scenarios. CMIP6 projections of global surface air temperature are substantially higher...journal article 2021
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Tinker, Jonathan (author), Palmer, Matthew D. (author), Copsey, Dan (author), Howard, Tom (author), Lowe, Jason A. (author), Hermans, T.H.J. (author)Variability of Sea-Surface Height (SSH) from ocean dynamic processes is an important component of sea-level change. In this study we dynamically downscale a present-day control simulation of a climate model to replicate sea-level variability in the Northwest European shelf seas. The simulation can reproduce many characteristics of sea-level...journal article 2020
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Hermans, T.H.J. (author), Tinker, Jonathan (author), Palmer, Matthew D. (author), Katsman, C.A. (author), Vermeersen, L.L.A. (author), Slangen, Aimée B.A. (author)Changes in ocean properties and circulation lead to a spatially non-uniform pattern of ocean dynamic sea-level change (DSLC). The projections of ocean dynamic sea level presented in the IPCC AR5 were constructed with global climate models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5). Since CMIP5 GCMs have a relatively...journal article 2020