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Scholte, Mirre (author), Marchau, V.A.W.J. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Klijn, Catharina J.M. (author), Rovers, Maroeska M. (author), Grutters, Janneke P.C. (author)Objectives: In early stages, the consequences of innovations are often unknown or deeply uncertain, which complicates early health economic modeling (EHEM). The field of decision making under deep uncertainty uses exploratory modeling (EM) in situations when the system model, input probabilities/distributions, and consequences are unknown or...journal article 2022
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Zhou, C. (author), van Nooijen, R.R.P. (author), Kolechkina, A.G. (author), Hrachowitz, M. (author)Several commonly-used nonparametric change-point detection methods are analysed in terms of power, ability and accuracy of the estimated change-point location. The analysis is performed with synthetic data for different sample sizes, two types of change and different magnitudes of change. The methods studied are the Pettitt method, a method...journal article 2019
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van den Boomen, M. (author), Spaan, M.T.J. (author), Schoenmaker, R. (author), Wolfert, A.R.M. (author)Managerial flexibility in infrastructure investment and replacement decisions adds value. Real options analysis (ROA) captures this value under uncertain market prices. The concept of ROA is that future unfavourable payoffs can be deferred as soon as more information about market prices becomes available. The popularity of ROA is seen in a...journal article 2019
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Ciullo, A. (author), de Bruijn, Karin M. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Klijn, F. (author)Most alluvial plains in the world are protected by flood defences, for example, embankments, whose primary aim is to reduce the probability of flooding of the protected areas. At the same time, however, the presence of embankments at one area influences hydraulic conditions of downstream areas located on the same river. These hydraulic...journal article 2019
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Vo-Duy, T. (author), Duong-Gia, D. (author), Ho-Huu, V. (author), Nguyen-Thoi, T. (author)This paper proposes an effective couple method for solving reliability-based multi-objective optimization problems of truss structures with static and dynamic constraints. The proposed coupling method integrates a single-loop deterministic method (SLDM) into the nondominated sorting genetic algorithm II (NSGA-II) algorithm to give the so...journal article 2019
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Máhr, T. (author)In this thesis, the main focus is on the study of a real-world transportation problem with uncertainties, and on the comparison of a centralized and a distributed solution approach in the context of this problem. We formalize the real-world problem, and provide a general framework to extend it with different sources of uncertainty. We apply...doctoral thesis 2011
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Werner, M.G.F. (author)The rapid development of Geographical Information Systems (GIS) has together with the inherent spatial nature of hydrological modelling led to an equally rapid development in the integration between GIS and hydrological models. The advantages of integration are particularly apparent in flood extent modelling. In this thesis, the integration of...doctoral thesis 2004
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Gersonius, B. (author)This dissertation presents a potential way forward for adaptation to climate change, termed the resilience approach. This approach takes a dynamic perspective on adaptive processes and the effects of these processes at/across different spatio-temporal scales. Experience is provided with four methods that can be used to apply the resilience...doctoral thesis 2012
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Fenicia, F. (author)This thesis describes an approach to model development based on the concept of iterative model improvement, which is a process where by trial and error different hypotheses of catchment behaviour are progressively tested, and the understanding of the system proceeds through a combined process of modelling and experimenting. We show a number of...doctoral thesis 2008
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Van Dorsser, J.C.M. (author)This thesis addresses how a new method for the evaluation of policies with a very long term impact on the Dutch Inland Waterway Transport (IWT) system can be developed. It proposes an outline for a very long term transport model, prepares a number of very long term scenarios, and indicates that a different perspective on economic growth and...doctoral thesis 2015
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Yan, K. (author)Floods are among the most damaging natural hazards and their impacts have been dramatically increasing worldwide over the past decades. As most basins of the world are ungauged or poorly gauged and some measurement networks are continuously under decline, the spatial distribution of flood hazard is often difficult to estimate because the input...doctoral thesis 2015
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- Gurav, S.P. (author) doctoral thesis 2005
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Taneja, P. (author)Ports are beset with many uncertainties about their futures. They are confronted with new demands in terms of functions and scales, new external constraints, and changed expectations. The inability to adequately meet these demands can mean costly adaptations for a port, or loss of cargo and competitive position. A plausible reason is that the...doctoral thesis 2013
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Gharari, S. (author)Modeling is an essential part of the science of hydrology. Models enable us to formulate what we know and perceive from the real world into a neat package. Rainfall-runoff models are abstract simplifications of how a catchment works. Within the research field of scientific rainfall-runoff modeling, the focus is shifting from performance to...doctoral thesis 2016
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Yenigül, N.B. (author)Landfills represent a wide-spread and significant threat to groundwater quality. In this thesis a methodology was developed for the design of optimal groundwater moni-toring system design at landfill sites under conditions of uncertainty. First a decision analysis approach was presented for optimal design of groundwater monitoring sys-tems under...doctoral thesis 2006
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- Goedhart, B. (author) doctoral thesis 1994
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Kwakkel, J.H. (author)The treatment of uncertainty in the long-term planning of infrastructures in general and of mainports such as airports and seaports is a key challenge for decisionmakers. Moreover, these uncertainties have increased over the last decades due to changes in owner structure, changes in rules and regulations, and the ever increasing connectedness of...doctoral thesis 2010
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Wang, L. (author)The modelling frameworks, which include greenhouse gas emission scenarios, climate models, downscaling methods and hydrological models, are generally used to assess climate change impacts on river floods. In this research, the uncertainty associated with each component of the modelling framework is analysed with particular reference to climate...doctoral thesis 2015
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Dong, C. (author)Uncertainty is an unavoidable part of decision making. Decisions always have to be made before perfect knowledge on their consequences is known. However, there is no ‘perfect knowledge’ in hindsight. To research uncertainty and take actions proactively becomes the challenge to scientists and decision makers. In water resources planning and...doctoral thesis 2014
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Kallen, M.J. (author)The Netherlands, like many countries in this world, face a challenging task in managing civil infrastructures. The management of vital infrastructures, like road bridges, is necessary to ensure their safe and reliable functioning. The Directorate-General for Public Works and Water Management in the Netherlands manages the structures in the...doctoral thesis 2007