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Cross, Katie (author), Evans, Jamie (author), MacLeavy, Julie (author), Manley, D.J. (author)
In the UK the socio-economic impacts of the COVID-19 mitigations over the course of the pandemic (March 2020 to the time of writing in January 2022) have been experienced unevenly and with differential intensities at both the regional and local scales. Using individual-level geocoded data (from the Understanding Society: UK Household...
journal article 2022
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Colonna, Kyle J. (author), Nane, G.F. (author), Choma, Ernani F. (author), Cooke, R.M. (author), Evans, John S. (author)
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) forecasts from over 100 models are readily available. However, little published information exists regarding the performance of their uncertainty estimates (i.e. probabilistic performance). To evaluate their probabilistic performance, we employ the classical model (CM), an established method typically used...
journal article 2022