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Lepot, M.J. (author), Aubin, Jean Baptiste (author), Clemens, F.H.L.R. (author)
A thorough review has been performed on interpolation methods to fill gaps in time-series, efficiency criteria, and uncertainty quantifications. On one hand, there are numerous available methods: interpolation, regression, autoregressive, machine learning methods, etc. On the other hand, there are many methods and criteria to estimate...
journal article 2017
document
Kolen, B. (author), Zethof, Marit (author), de Bruijn, Karin (author), Hazenoot, Evert (author)
The central issue for authorities (as well as the public) is how and when to respond to forecasted extreme water levels on rivers, lakes and along the coast and large-scale flooding is an actual risk. The decision-making process is influenced by contradicting information, overloads and gaps in information, rumours, uncertainties in forecasts,...
abstract 2017
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Mukolwe, M.M. (author)
Computers are increasingly used in the simulation of natural phenomena such as floods. However, these simulations are based on numerical approximations of equations formalizing our conceptual understanding of flood flows. Thus, model results are intrinsically subject to uncertainty and the use of probabilistic approaches seems more appropriate....
doctoral thesis 2016
document
Rogelis Prada, M.C. (author)
Flood early warning systems are recognized as one of the most effective flood risk management instruments when correctly embedded in comprehensive flood risk management strategies and policies. Many efforts around the world are being put in place to advance the components that determine the effectiveness of a flood early warning system. The aim...
doctoral thesis 2016
document
Gharari, S. (author)
Modeling is an essential part of the science of hydrology. Models enable us to formulate what we know and perceive from the real world into a neat package. Rainfall-runoff models are abstract simplifications of how a catchment works. Within the research field of scientific rainfall-runoff modeling, the focus is shifting from performance to...
doctoral thesis 2016
document
Kaniewski, J. (author), Wehner, S.D.C. (author)
The goal of two-party cryptography is to enable two parties, Alice and Bob, to solve common tasks without the need for mutual trust. Examples of such tasks are private access to a database, and secure identification. Quantum communication enables security for all of these problems in the noisy-storage model by sending more signals than the...
journal article 2016
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Mergili, M. (author), Marchesini, I. (author), Rossi, M. (author), Alvioli, M. (author), Schneider-Muntau, B. (author), Cardinali, M. (author), Ardizzone, F. (author), Fiorucci, F. (author), Valigi, D. (author), Santangelo, M. (author), Bucci, F. (author), Guzzetti, F. (author)
The GIS-based open source software r.slope.stability computes broad-scale spatial overviews of shallow and deep-seated slope stability through physically-based modelling. We focus on the landslide-prone 90 km2 Collazzone area, central Italy, exploiting a comprehensive set of lithological, geotechnical and landslide inventory data available for...
conference paper 2015
document
Zhang, L. (author), Li, X. (author), Li, D. (author), Zhou, C. (author)
Important engineered slopes are often heavily instrumented and their performance routinely monitored through these instruments. The evaluation of the safety of the slopes based on the monitored information is however a challenge. A systematic method is presented in this paper for evaluating the slope safety by combining multi-source monitoring...
conference paper 2015
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Shuku, T. (author), Nishimura, S-I. (author), Yoshida, I. (author)
Strong nonlinear behavior such as slope failure involves large uncertainties. Even if we conduct model tests on slope failure under the same test conditions, we cannot reproduce the same results although the linear behavior can be reproduced with relative ease. This kind of uncertainties is well known as “aleatory uncertainty” and they should be...
conference paper 2015
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Yoshida, I. (author), Shuku, T. (author)
We sometimes encounter a case in which very small change of computation or experiment condition causes the significant difference in response when strong nonlinearity is involved. Slope failure simulation due to gravity by MPS method is performed to examine feature of uncertainty. The simulation results show that the output uncertainty is...
conference paper 2015
document
Marques, S.H. (author), Beer, M. (author), Gomes, A.T. (author), Henriques, A.A. (author)
The first applications of nonprobabilistic interval analysis in geotechnical engineering have been recently explored. In fact, the solution of practical problems in this field often requires judgement based on limited data and interval analysis has become a research area formally motivated by input information characterised by imprecision....
conference paper 2015
document
Venmans, A. (author), Schokker, J. (author), Dambrink, R. (author), Maljers, D. (author), Heerema, J.J. (author)
This paper presents method and first results of a study to quantify and communicate geotechnical risk for highway construction on soft soil and large building pits associated with infrastructural works in the Netherlands. A set of easy-to-read maps will inform the end users, geotechnical consultants at the Dutch Ministry of Infrastructure and...
conference paper 2015
document
Marques, S.H. (author), Beer, M. (author), Gomes, A.T. (author), Henriques, A.A. (author)
The treatment of imprecision attracted continuous interest since the origin of probability as the science of uncertainty. As a matter of fact, probability has been developed to deal with uncertainty and the first argument supporting precise rather than imprecise probability counts on the nature of ordinary measurements. Starting from only a few...
conference paper 2015
document
Zhang, L. (author), Yan, W.M. (author)
Soil slopes are generally unsaturated in which the soil-water characteristic curve (SWCC) plays an important role in its hydro-mechanical response. The commonly used Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion in saturated soil mechanics could be extended to take SWCC into account which is then able to determine the shear strength of unsaturated soil. Like...
conference paper 2015
document
Nadim, F. (author)
This paper presents an overview on how uncertainty and variability of mechanical soil properties are dealt with in offshore site investigation and presents some ideas for utilizing the reliability tools in a more optimal manner for this purpose. Two types of problems are addressed. First, how to extract the maximum amount of information from...
conference paper 2015
document
Yan, K. (author)
Floods are among the most damaging natural hazards and their impacts have been dramatically increasing worldwide over the past decades. As most basins of the world are ungauged or poorly gauged and some measurement networks are continuously under decline, the spatial distribution of flood hazard is often difficult to estimate because the input...
doctoral thesis 2015
document
Van Dorsser, J.C.M. (author)
This thesis addresses how a new method for the evaluation of policies with a very long term impact on the Dutch Inland Waterway Transport (IWT) system can be developed. It proposes an outline for a very long term transport model, prepares a number of very long term scenarios, and indicates that a different perspective on economic growth and...
doctoral thesis 2015
document
Wang, L. (author)
The modelling frameworks, which include greenhouse gas emission scenarios, climate models, downscaling methods and hydrological models, are generally used to assess climate change impacts on river floods. In this research, the uncertainty associated with each component of the modelling framework is analysed with particular reference to climate...
doctoral thesis 2015
document
Mouter, N. (author), Holleman, M. (author), Calvert, S.C. (author), Annema, J.A. (author)
An important limitation of Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) is the inherent uncertainty in estimations of future welfare effects. In this paper, we argue that consideration of the ‘price-quality’ dilemma and the ‘communication’ dilemma is useful to explain and improve the handling of uncertainty in CBA. The ‘price-quality’ dilemma refers to the trade...
journal article 2015
document
Van Dorsser, J.C.M. (author)
This report, that provides an extended summary of a similar named thesis, addresses how a new method for the evaluation of policies with a very long term impact on the Dutch Inland Waterway Transport (IWT) system can be developed. It proposes an outline for a very long term transport model, prepares a number of very long term scenarios, and...
report 2015
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