Prospects of modelling societal transitions: Position paper of an emerging community

Automated model structure variation and policy robustness testing: A procedure for innovation diffusion models

n this paper we present a procedure that enables a systematic and partially automated parameterization and selection of agent-based models of the diffusion of innovations and policies to support diffusion processes. A prototype on the diffusion of water saving shower heads is presented. Our results suggest that the presented approach can...

Exploring Homeowners’ Insulation Activity

Insulating existing buildings offers great potential for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and meeting Germany’s climate protection targets. Previous research suggests that, since homeowners’ decision-making processes are inadequately understood as yet, today’s incentives aiming at increasing insulation activity lead to unsatisfactory results....

Agent-based assessment framework for behavior-changing feedback devices: Spreading of devices and heating behavior

Heating behavior of households is key for reducing domestic energy demand and mitigating climate change. Recently, various technical devices have been developed, providing households with feedback on their heating behavior and supporting energy conservation behavior. The impact of such devices on overall energy consumption depends on (1) the...

Prospects of modelling societal transitions: Position paper of an emerging community

Societal transitions involve multiple actors, changes in institutions, values and technologies, and interactions across multiple sectors and scales. Given this complexity, this paper takes on the view that the societal transitions research field would benefit from the further maturation and broader uptake of modelling approaches. This paper...