Is the tropical cyclone surge in Shanghai more sensitive to landfall location or intensity change?

It has been shown that the proportion of intense tropical cyclones (TCs) has been increasing together with a poleward migration of TC track. However, their relative importance to TC surge at landfall remains unknown. Here we examine the sensitivity of TC surge in Shanghai to landfall location and intensity with a new dynamical modelling...

Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017

During August 25-30, 2017, Hurricane Harvey stalled over Texas and caused extreme precipitation, particularly over Houston and the surrounding area on August 26-28. This resulted in extensive flooding with over 80 fatalities and large economic costs. It was an extremely rare event: the return period of the highest observed three-day...

Long-term regional simulation of tropical cyclones using a Generalized Stochastic Empirical Storm Model: A case study in the Western North Pacific

In coastal areas, Tropical Cyclones (TCs) are one of the greatest threats to humanity. Unfortunately, current risk reduction measures are not completely successful in lessening TC's consequences due to the remaining uncertainties in the estimates of key parameters, on which the designs of these measures rely. Because reliable observations of TCs...