Analysis and Prediction of Disruptions in Metro Networks

Public transport disruptions can result in major impacts for passengers and operator. Our study objective is to predict disruption exposure at different stations, incorporating their location-specific characteristics. Based on a 13-month incident database for the Washington metro network, we successfully develop a supervised learning model to...

Using passenger flows to determine key interchange connections for public transport synchronization

For large urban networks and hubs, optimizing transfer synchronization becomes computationally challenging. The objective of this paper is therefore to develop a generic, data-driven methodology to determine the key line/direction-combinations to synchronize based on passenger flows. We developed an approach to detect communities of directional...

Controlling the propagation of passenger disruption impacts in multi-level public transport networks

Crowding Valuation in Urban Tram and Bus Transportation based on Smart Card Data

Crowding in public transport can be of major influence on passengers’ travel experience and therefore affect route and mode choice. Therefore, it is important to understand how crowding in urban public transport is perceived by passengers. The availability of individual smart card transactions allows us to gain insights in revealed trade-offs...

A robust transfer inference algorithm for public transport journeys during disruptions

Disruptions in public transport have major impact on passengers and disproportional effects on passenger satisfaction. The availability of smart card data gives opportunities to better quantify disruption impacts on passengers’ experienced journey travel time and comfort. For this, accurate journey inference from raw transaction data is required...

Exposing the role of exposure: Identifying and evaluating critical links in public transport networks

Network vulnerability depends on the probability that adverse events occur and on the impacts of such disruptions on network functionality. Most studies on transport network vulnerability have only analysed vulnerability in terms of the reduction in performance indicators given that a disruption occurs. This study presents and applies a method...