Transportation Modelling for Regional Evacuations

Regional evacuation planning is complex and timely. These planning studies can be assisted by a transportation model. In this thesis, we investigate the requirements for such a model, and develop, implement, and test a new model, called EVAQ, which meets these requirements. Two case studies show how EVAQ can be used to assess the success and...

Modelling Traveller Behaviour under Emergency Evacuation Conditions

Dynamic traffic simulation models are frequently used to support decisions when planning an evacuation. This paper focuses on limitations in the modelling of travellers’ behaviour with respect to traffic information and compliance to evacuation instructions. More specifically, we propose a model framework where the traffic simulation is executed...

A review on travel behaviour modelling in dynamic traffic simulation models for evacuations

Dynamic traffic simulation models are frequently used to support decisions when planning an evacuation. This contribution reviews the different (mathematical) model formulations underlying these traffic simulation models used in evacuation studies and the behavioural assumptions that are made. The appropriateness of these behavioural assumptions...

Analysis of near-optimal evacuation instructions

In this paper, approximations of optimal evacuation instructions are analyzed. The instructions, consisting of a departure time, a destination, and a route, are for the evacuation by car of a population of a region threatened by a hazard. An optimization method presented in earlier research is applied on three different hazard scenarios...