Simulating ecosystem-level cybersecurity for the future generation of critical infrastructures: Exploring the impact of cyber-defensive strategies on critical infrastructures through agent-based modelling

The increased decentralisation and heterogeneity of critical infrastructure systems pose a threat to the safe and secure operation of critical infrastructures by complicating cybersecurity procedures. The increased frequency and impact of cyberthreats have led to the desire to develop coherent security policies. In order to explore the effects...

The Self-Organization of Stuff

The common description of the configuration of stuff in a room, one of order (tidy) and chaos (messy), fails to explain the phenomenon that artifacts create structures around people and activities in a space, with both functional and cognitive properties. This form of organization, that is recognizable on various scale levels, emerges...

Agent-Based Modelling of an Airport’s Ground Surface Movement Operation: Understanding the principles and mechanisms of decentralised control

Decentralised air traffic control shifts decision making to a local level, allowing decentralised controllers to focus on solving local conflicts. Since decentralised controllers have accurate local information at their disposal, they can adapt quicker and more efficiently to changing conditions. Consequently, it is suggested that the dynamics...

Towards Formalization and Operationalization of Resilience: A study on anticipation in the context of airport security operations

Resilience can be understood as the intrinsic ability of a system to adapt its functioning prior to, during, or following changes and disturbances, so that it can sustain required operations and performance under both expected and unexpected conditions. The need to explore the concept of resilience, in the context of socio-technical systems, is...

Future trends for biojet fuel and biosuccinic acid production in São Paulo state, Brazil: An agent-based modelling and simulation approach to explore institutional barriers and opportunities

Within the context of growing concerns about oil supply security and greenhouse gas emissions, both the aviation and petrochemical sector are exploring alternative feedstocks for the production of jet fuel and chemicals, respectively. In that light, research into bio-based jet fuels (biojet fuel) and bio-based chemicals has been accelerating in...

Secret Agents: An exploratory study to the added value of Agent-Based modeling to the Strategic Geopolitical Intelligence process of NATO state intelligence services

The events of the Arab spring reminds us how individual citizens have the power to overthrow powerful regimes and destabilize complete regions. The dynamics of such bottom-up instigated revolutions seem to be in line with the (Social) Constructivism paradigm. The problem though, is that this paradigm lacks a powerful forecasting method that...