How Do Developers Influence the Transaction Costs of China’s Prefabricated Housing Development Process?: An Investigation Through the Bayesian Belief Network Approach

The implementation of prefabricated housing (PH) has become prevalent in China recently due to its advantages in enhancing production and energy-saving efficiency within the construction system. However, stakeholders may not always fully realize the benefits of adopting PH due to the emergence of transaction costs (TCs) in the development...

BI-IEnKF coupling model for effective source term estimation of natural gas leakage in urban utility tunnels

As an effective way to facilitate the increasing demand for reliable infrastructure, energy supply and sustainable urban development, underground utility tunnels have been developed rapidly in recent years. Due to the widespread distribution of utility tunnels, the safe operation of natural gas pipelines accommodated in utility tunnels has...

A safety investment optimization model for power grid enterprises based on System Dynamics and Bayesian network theory

In recent years, frequent large-scale power grid accidents have caused serious economic losses and bad social impact, which has drawn great attention from power grid enterprises. As one of the key elements of production, safety investment plays an important role in improving the safety level and reducing accident loss. In this paper, System...

Risk assessment of large-scale winter sports sites in the context of a natural disaster

Accidents induced by natural disasters at sports sites may cause catastrophic loss of great concern. However, previous studies on risk assessments of sports sites have only focused on operational risk and equipment failure. With the frequent occurrence of extreme disasters, the risk of domino chains caused by natural disasters at large-scale...

Quantifying Statistical Uncertainty in Site Investigation

Due to limited information in site investigation, it is not possible to obtain the actual values for the mean, standard deviation, and scale of fluctuation of a soil property of interest. The deviation between the estimated values and actual values is called the statistical uncertainty. There are two schools of thoughts on how to model the...