“I did not see that coming”: A latent variable structural equation model for understanding the effect of road predictability on crashes along horizontal curves

Driver anticipation plays a crucial role in crashes along horizontal curves. Anticipation is related to road predictability and can be influenced by roadway geometric design. Therefore, it is essential to understand which geometric design elements can influence anticipation and cause the road to be (un)predictable. This exercise, however, is not...

Are collision and crossing course surrogate safety indicators transferable?: A probability based approach using extreme value theory

In order to overcome the shortcomings of crash data a number of surrogate measures of safety have been developed and proposed by various researchers. One of the most widely used temporal indicators is time-to-collision (TTC) which requires the road users to be on a collision course. Road users that are strictly speaking not on a collision...

A crash prediction model for weaving sections in the Netherlands

Weaving is defined as the crossing of two streams travelling in the same direction along a significant section of the road without the assistance of traffic control devices. Merging and diverging vehicles need to make one or more lane-changes in a limited space and time, determined by the weaving section length. This situation creates intensive...