Investigating Uncertainty in Coastal Flood Risk Assessment in Small Island Developing States: A Case Study in São Tomé and Príncipe

Small Island Developing States (SIDS) are increasingly under threat of coastal flooding, which challenges the safety of their societies and vulnerable economies. The emergency of this issue, exacerbated by climate change, has alarmed international organisations and national governments that have been demanding for robust risk assessments to...

Exploratory modeling: A promising method for flood risk management?

This thesis compares exploratory modeling and analysis (EMA) to other methods for analyzing uncertainty. A set of criteria to compare the performance of methods is designed. Based on two case studies the perfromance of EMA on these criteria is assessed. Based on a workshop with experts the advantages of EMA over other methods for analyzing...