On Forecasting the Rur River: Using hindcasts and forecasts of the 2021 flood event to improve understanding of flood forecasting in the Rur catchment

The Netherlands, Germany, and Belgium were hit by heavy and prolonged precipitation in July 2021. As time passed, weather warnings escalated, leading to evacuations due to predicted floods, including in the Rur catchment. It was difficult to forecast the flooding of the Rur, raising the question of which elements are crucial in a flood...