Context-based Cyclist Path Prediction: Crafted and Learned Models for Intelligent Vehicles

This thesis addresses the problem of path prediction for cyclists.<br/>Instead of solely focusing on how to predict the future trajectory based on previous position measurements, this thesis investigates how to leverage additional contextual information that can inform on the future intent of cyclists.<br/>This thesis does this with the...

Crafted vs. Learned Representations in Predictive Models - A Case Study on Cyclist Path Prediction

This paper compares two models for context-based path prediction of objects with switching dynamics: a Dynamic Bayesian Network (DBN) and a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN). These models are instances of two larger model categories, distinguished by whether expert knowledge is explicitly crafted into the state representation (and thus is...

Effects of Preview Time in Manual Tracking Tasks

In manual control tasks, preview of the target trajectory ahead is often limited by poor lighting, objects, or display edges. This paper investigates the effects of limited preview, or preview time, in manual tracking tasks with single- and double-integrator controlled element dynamics. A quasi-linear human controller model is used to predict...

Using road topology to improve cyclist path prediction

We learn motion models for cyclist path prediction on real-world tracks obtained from a moving vehicle, and propose to exploit the local road topology to obtain better predictive distributions. The tracks are extracted from the Tsinghua-Daimler Cyclist Benchmark for cyclist detection, and corrected for vehicle egomotion. Tracks are then...