A resilience assessment framework for complex engineered systems using graphical evaluation and review technique (GERT)

System resilience characterizes the capability of maintaining the required functionality under disruptions, which is of great significance in evaluating the productivity and safety of complex engineered systems. Although most studies conduct resilience assessment from qualitative and quantitative perspectives, system functionality that reflects...

Late-stage diversion risk assessment for high dams considering early initial impoundment: a case study of Lianghekou Station, China

Early initial impoundment can generate additional revenue but bring more flood risk in late-stage construction diversion. In view of the possible flood risk and catastrophic consequences caused by high dam failures induced by early impoundment, a comprehensive assessment is proposed. Taking the Lianghekou high rockfill dam on the Yalong River...

An integrated EDIB model for probabilistic risk analysis of natural gas pipeline leakage accidents

Natural gas pipeline construction is developing rapidly worldwide to meet the needs of international and domestic energy transportation. Meanwhile, leakage accidents occur to natural gas pipelines frequently due to mechanical failure, personal operation errors, etc., and induce huge economic property loss, environmental damages, and even...

nD-PointCloud Data Management: continuous levels, adaptive histograms, and diverse query geometries

In the Geomatics domain, a point cloud refers to a data set which records the coordinates and other attributes of a huge number of points. Conceptually, each of these attributes can be regarded as a dimension, representing a specific type of information. Apart from routinely concerned spatio-temporal dimensions for coordinates, other dimensions...

Operational risk allocation in urban rail transit public–private partnership projects

Operation risk (OR) has affected sustainable development of urban rail transit (URT) public–private partnership (PPP) projects in China. Balanced distribution of operational risks among stakeholders (the public, government, and private companies) involved in URT PPP projects can maximize overall profit. Quantitative analysis of operational...

考虑室内呼吸暴露风险的人群引流控制策略研究

In order to explore impacts of crowd intervention strategies on indoor respiratory exposure risks during major pandemics, a variety of crowd motion scenarios were established in general indoor conditions based on improved pedestrian dynamics model and respiratory infection probability model. Then, multi-agent simulation technology was utilized...

Identifying the key risk factors of mega infrastructure projects from an extended sustainable development perspective

Mega infrastructure projects (MIPs) have become increasingly important to the realization of sustainable development in China. Sustainable development is a process of dynamic balance, and coordinating the triple bottom line (the environmental, social, and economic dimensions) will enable more sustainable development of MIPs. However, previous...

Risk assessment of high-speed rail projects: A risk coupling model based on system dynamics

Due to their characteristics and multiple objectives, high-speed rail (HSR) projects carry more complex risks than conventional projects and high correlation and conductivity are among the associated risk factors. Previous risk assessment frameworks for rail infrastructure have ignored the effects of risk interactions that inflate risk levels...

Design for societal resilience: The risk evaluation diversity-aiding approach (RED-A)

The global impacts of disaster risks are on the rise. Moreover, evidence shows that the severity of damage will increase exponentially. In 2019, there were 395 natural disasters that caused 11,755 deaths. Literature and practice indicate that diversification of disaster risk management (DRM) approaches can make communities more resilient. One...

Enhanced potential ecological risk induced by a large scale water diversion project

River regulation by the construction of reservoirs represents one of the greatest challenges to the natural flow regime and ecological health of riverine systems globally. The Danjiangkou (DJK) Reservoir is the largest reservoir on the Hangjiang River and commenced operations in 1967. The reservoir was upgraded in 2012 to provide water...

Assessing the transition effects in a drinking water distribution system caused by changing supply water quality: an indirect approach by characterizing suspended solids

Worldwide, it is common that the drinking water distribution systems (DWDSs) may be subjected to changes of supply water quality due to the needs of upgrading the treatment processes or switching the source water. However, the potential impacts of quality changed supply water on the stabilized ecological niches within DWDSs and the associated...

Optimism bias evaluation and decision-making risk forecast on bridge project cost based on reference class forecasting: Evidence from China

The high uncertainty of megaproject results in increasing complexity in the decisionmaking and ultimately leads to different degrees of cost overrun and project delays. One of the critical reasons for cost overrun and delay is the optimism bias of decision makers. Although the previous literature has analyzed the cost overrun distribution of...

An interactive model among potential human risk factors: 331 cases of coal mine roof accidents in China

In order to explore optimal strategies for managing potential human risk factors, this paper developed an interactive model among potential human risk factors based on the development processes of accidents. This model was divided into four stages, i.e., risk latency stage, risk accumulation stage, risk explosion stage and risk residue stage....

Healthy speed control of belt conveyors on conveying bulk materials

Belt conveyors play an important role in the dry bulk material handling process. Speed control is a promising method of reducing the power consumption of belt conveyors. However, inappropriate transient operations might cause risks like material spillage away from the belt conveyor. The unexpected risks limit the applicability of speed...

Analyzing the influence of compound events on flooding in the downstream reach of the Houston Ship Channel

Flooding is one of the most frequent and terrible natural disasters. For the coastal areas connecting inland with the open sea, the occurrence of flooding could be caused by high flows from inland rivers or high-water levels at open sea (e.g., from tsunamis or storm surge). There is also one extreme case that high sea level and high inland flow...

State of the art review of the environmental assessment and risks of underground geo-energy resources exploitation

Geo-resources play an increasing significant role in achieving a sustainable energy future. However, their exploitation is not free of environmental impacts. This paper aims to identify the lessons and knowledge gaps on understanding of the sources, mechanisms and scope of environmental consequences of underground geo-energy resources...

Determinants of forward risk premium: An empirical analysis of the Spanish electricity market

This thesis contributed to the literature analyzing the functioning of deregulated wholesale electricity markets. In particular, it focused on the empirical analysis of ex-post forward risk premium in the Spanish electricity market. It aimed to investigate the risk drivers behind the forward risk premium, and therefore to gain insights about...

Technologies and Business Model Explorations for Risks and Performances Management in Dutch Commercial Buildings

Priva is a Dutch company in the field of indoor control and automation. Its two main business segments are commercial building control and greenhouse control. In the commercial building segment, Priva’s business currently specializes in Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) control, floor control and energy management.However,...