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Aspinall, W. P. (author), Sparks, R. S.J. (author), Woodhouse, M. J. (author), Cooke, R.M. (author), Scarrow, J. H. (author)Drawing on risk methods from volcano crises, we developed a rapid COVID-19 infection model for the partial return of pupils to primary schools in England in June and July 2020, and a full return in September 2020. The model handles uncertainties in key parameters, using a stochastic re-sampling technique, allowing us to evaluate infection...journal article 2021