Dynamic mathematical models of theory of mind for socially assistive robots

Interactive machines should establish and maintain meaningful social interactions with humans. Thus, they need to understand and predict the mental states and actions of humans. Based on Theory of Mind (ToM), in order to understand and interact with each other, humans develop cognitive models of one another. Our main goal is to provide a...

Dynamic Expectation Maximization Algorithm for Estimation of Linear Systems with Colored Noise

The free energy principle from neuroscience has recently gained traction as one of the most prominent brain theories that can emulate the brain’s perception and action in a bio-inspired manner. This renders the theory with the potential to hold the key for general artificial intelligence. Leveraging this potential, this paper aims to bridge the...

Nonlinear State-Space Generalizations of Graph Convolutional Neural Networks

Graph convolutional neural networks (GCNNs) learn compositional representations from network data by nesting linear graph convolutions into nonlinearities. In this work, we approach GCNNs from a state-space perspective revealing that the graph convolutional module is a minimalistic linear state-space model, in which the state update matrix is...

State-space based network topology identification

In this work, we explore the state-space formulation of network processes to recover the underlying network structure (local connections). To do so, we employ subspace techniques borrowed from system identification literature and extend them to the network topology inference problem. This approach provides a unified view of the traditional...

State-Space Network Topology Identification from Partial Observations

In this article, we explore the state-space formulation of a network process to recover from partial observations the network topology that drives its dynamics. To do so, we employ subspace techniques borrowed from system identification literature and extend them to the network topology identification problem. This approach provides a unified...

Identification of affinely parameterized state–space models with unknown inputs

The identification of affinely parameterized state–space system models is quite popular to model practical physical systems or networked systems, and the traditional identification methods require the measurements of both the input and output data. However, in the presence of partial unknown input, the corresponding system identification...

Affinely parametrized state-space models: Ways to maximize the Likelihood Function

Using Maximum Likelihood (or Prediction Error) methods to identify linear state space model is a prime technique. The likelihood function is a nonconvex function and care must be exercised in the numerical maximization. Here the focus will be on affine parameterizations which allow some special techniques and algorithms. Three approaches to...

Gray box identification using difference of convex programming

Gray-box identification is prevalent in modeling physical and networked systems. However, due to the non-convex nature of the gray-box identification problem, good initial parameter estimates are crucial for a successful application. In this paper, a new identification method is proposed by exploiting the low-rank and structured Hankel matrix...

Input selection in N2SID using group lasso regularization

Input selection is an important and oftentimes difficult challenge in system identification. In order to achieve less complex models, irrelevant inputs should be methodically and correctly discarded before or under the estimation process. In this paper we introduce a novel method of input selection that is carried out as a natural extension in a...

N2SID: Nuclear norm subspace identification of innovation models

The identification of multivariable state space models in innovation form is solved in a subspace identification framework using convex nuclear norm optimization. The convex optimization approach allows to include constraints on the unknown matrices in the data-equation characterizing subspace identification methods, such as the lower triangular...

Modelling riverflow in the Volta Basin of West Africa: A data-driven framework

In this thesis, a riverflow modelling framework developed for monthly riverflow prediction in the 400,000 km2 Volta Basin of West Africa is presented. By analysing available catchment rainfall, runoff and potential evapotranspiration series in the basin using methods such as correlation plots, autoregressive (AR) and autoregressive with...