Searched for: subject%3A%22uncertainty%22
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Taneja, P. (author), Ligteringen, H. (author), Walker, W.E. (author)
Recently, flexibility has received much attention from port researchers, designers, and managers. This is because the stability of the competitive environment of the past has been replaced by increasing uncertainty. The current economic crisis and the recent trends in ports and shipping sectors are causing port planners to rethink their approach...
journal article 2012
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Du, W. (author)
Smart Grid integrates sustainable energy sources and allows mutual communications between electricity distribution operators and electricity consumers. Electricity demand and supply becomes more complex in Smart Grid. It is more challenging for DNOs in grid asset capacity planning, especially at low voltage level. In this research, probabilistic...
journal article 2011
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Sigurdsson-Norddahl, S. (author)
Economic importance for the indium mineral has been growing in recent years and indium is usually referred to as one of the technology minerals. High tech industries use indium in their application because of the special properties: transparency and electrical conductivity. Indium demand has more than doubled in the last decade and is expected...
master thesis 2011
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Yang, Z. (author), Cauberg, J.J.M. (author), Tenpierik, M.J. (author)
Normally, the design of a ventilation system in a dwelling is based on national regulations, related design rules, building tradition and general knowledge about healthy indoor air quality, ventilation and air handling units. In practice, the actual performance of ventilation systems is determined by ventilation components, building properties,...
conference paper 2011
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Van der Pas, J.W.G.M. (author)
Intelligente Snelheid Assistent of ISA is de benaming voor een categorie in-vehicle systemen die bestuurder helpen om zich te houden aan de lokale snelheidslimiet (m.a.w. die er voor zorgen dat bestuurder niet te hard rijdt, of er zelfs voor zorgen dat de bestuurder nooit meer te hard kan rijden). De vele (veld) testen die in het verleden gedaan...
doctoral thesis 2011
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Varga, K.S. (author)
Managing uncertainties in practice differs from the suggested uncertainty management approach in the (scientific) literature. Uncertainty managers are not aware of the many tools and techniques that are available to manage uncertainties in their projects. They deal with uncertainties in a rather implicit way with varying success. Furthermore it...
master thesis 2011
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Clark, M.P. (author), Kavetski, D. (author), Fenicia, F. (author)
Ambiguities in the representation of environmental processes have manifested themselves in a plethora of hydrological models, differing in almost every aspect of their conceptualization and implementation. The current overabundance of models is symptomatic of an insufficient scientific understanding of environmental dynamics at the catchment...
journal article 2011
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Máhr, T. (author)
In this thesis, the main focus is on the study of a real-world transportation problem with uncertainties, and on the comparison of a centralized and a distributed solution approach in the context of this problem. We formalize the real-world problem, and provide a general framework to extend it with different sources of uncertainty. We apply...
doctoral thesis 2011
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Roggema, R.E. (author)
Current spatial planning and design practice regards urban and rural spatial systems as simple systems. The proposed design strategies are often one-dimensional, one-problem and one-solution oriented. As a consequence, they often decrease the flexibility of urban systems to cope with uncertainty and the occurrence of weather extremes. Spatial...
conference paper 2011
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Logtens, T.W.A. (author)
This research focuses on the effects demographic aging has on the welfare state in The Netherlands. It aims on providing an overview of the welfare state system and analyzing this system taking into account deep uncertainty that exists within the system. This is done by using a combination of Exploratory System Dynamics and Exploratory Modeling...
master thesis 2011
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Pruyt, E. (author), Segers, J. (author), Oruc, S. (author)
In this ever more complex, interconnected, and uncertain world, leadership is needed more than ever. But the literature and most leaders largely ignore dynamic complexity and deep uncertainty: only futures characterized by ever faster change, ever more (required) flexibility, and ever more scarcity (especially in terms of highly qualified human...
conference paper 2011
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Pruyt, E. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author)
Radicalization and deradicalization are deeply uncertain dynamic processes. Exploring and analyzing many plausible futures and assessing the robustness of policies to reinforce desirable evolutions seem more useful for such processes than trying to predict their precise development over time and optimize the associated policy response. This...
conference paper 2011
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Pruyt, E. (author), Kwakkel, J. (author), Yucel, G. (author), Hamarat, C. (author)
This paper illustrates the use of Exploratory System Dynamics Modeling and Analysis – a multi-method combining System Dynamics and Exploratory Modeling and Analysis to explore and analyze uncertain dynamic issues and test deep policy robustness. This paper gives an overview of the current state of this multi-method by means of an illustration....
conference paper 2011
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Hamarat, C. (author), Pruyt, E. (author)
Although there is a trend towards more sustainable energy system, the future of renewable energies is still deeply uncertain. Among the renewable resources, wind energy is considered to be a promising one. However, in the presence of deep uncertainty, what will be the future of wind-powered energy? Decision making under deep uncertainty for such...
conference paper 2011
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Karkhaneh, A. (author)
Decision-making for flood defense while facing a considerable change in driving forces demands other methods than the traditional approach of forecasting and optimal policy selection. Exploratory modeling can be a candidate for helping adaptive policymaking to deal with the uncertainties that confront decision-makers. In adaptive policymaking...
master thesis 2011
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Zerjav, V. (author), Hartmann, T. (author), Boes, J. (author)
Although a substantial amount of literature advocates the integrated collaborative design processes for construction projects, very little explicit knowledge exists about the impact of the integrated processes on project uncertainty. In contrast with construction site processes, which can in most cases be organized as a sequence of tasks...
conference paper 2011
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Vrijling, J.K. (author), Schweckendiek, T. (author), Kanning, W. (author)
Current design codes like the Eurocode use safety or reliability classes to assign target reliabilities to different types of structures or structural members according to the potential consequences of failure. That, in essence, is a risk-based criterion. A wide range of structures is designed with such codes, and distinction is made between...
conference paper 2011
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Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Slinger, J.H. (author)
Coastal communities dependent upon groundwater resources for drinking water and irrigation are vulnerable to salinization of the groundwater reserve. The increasing uncertainty associated with changing climatic conditions, population and economic development, and technological advances in agriculture, water treatment, and water purification,...
conference paper 2011
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Van der Veeken, L.C.A. (author)
This thesis discusses several solutions to develop the use of climate scenarios in climate adaptation in Dutch water management. The solutions consist of: a different representation of uncertainty in the scenarios, more guidance on the use of climate scenarios and organizational changes in the making and publication of scenarios. The first two...
master thesis 2011
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Van Buuren, P.J. (author)
This thesis studies cost estimation and investment decisions under cost uncertainty of large construction projects. The combination of these two topics intends to satisfy the Master’s theses of Civil Engineering at the Delft University of Technology and Quantitative Finance (Econometrics) at the Erasmus University Rotterdam. The first part...
master thesis 2011
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