The
ever-increasing size of offshore wind turbines, combined with the development
of wind farms at more remote sites with deeper waters and more extreme weather
conditions, presents significant logistical challenges. Furthermore, the
offshore wind sector faces reduced government subsidies, narrow profit margins,
and a lack of industry guidelines, all while striving to lower the levelised
cost of energy in order to remain competitive in the market. Developers must
navigate complex decisions regarding foundation selection and installation
strategies. However, existing research lacks systematic approaches to optimise
these decisions, with particular gaps in studies addressing multi-vessel
operations, vessel compatibility with component size, alternative transport
vessels, and the specific challenges of substructure installation. This lack of
structured frameworks hinders evidence-based decision-making in foundation
selection and installation planning. This research develops a framework to
address the question: How can a multi-vessel optimisation framework integrating
alternative transport vessels and accounting for weather uncertainty improve
foundation selection and installation scheduling to minimise costs? The first phase of this study develops a
deterministic decision tree model that evaluates foundation selection based on
environmental parameters and identifies cost-optimal Transport and Installation
(T&I) strategies. Analysis of 23 previous installation projects highlights
water depth as the primary decision factor, with a 50-metre threshold
distinguishing between monopile foundations for shallower waters and suction
bucket jackets for deeper waters. A 127-nautical-mile threshold marks the
transition from shuttling to feeder strategies. Cost sensitivity analysis
reveals that water depth significantly impacts cost, while seabed conditions
show minimal influence. The decision tree model’s foundation type prediction accuracy
is 43.5%, reflecting the complexity of real-world decision-making. This phase
provides a visualisation of pathways for early-stage project decision-making,
emphasising the importance of more detailed installation schedule optimisation
using Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) and stochastic approaches. The second phase employs MILP to optimise
installation scheduling for a case study and assess the installation
performance of monopiles versus pin-pile jackets using the assembly-line
installation strategy. The deterministic model incorporates constraints (e.g.,
task precedence, operational, deck capacity) and weather limitations using
historical site weather data, while a stochastic extension models weather
uncertainty using Weibull distributions. The performance of monopile-transition
piece (MP-TP) strategies is compared with pin-pile jacket (PP-JK) strategies,
focusing on weather sensitivity, costs, and computational performance. In
addition, logistic setups are evaluated by varying the number and type of
vessels used, from three to five. The results show that MP-TP strategies
outperform PP-JK strategies, with MP-TP installations preferring shuttling over
feeding when a 2.5-metre wave height limit is applied. For PP-JK installations,
Heavy Transport Vessels (HTVs) are preferred over barges due to their higher
deck capacity, despite the lower installation rate of the associated
installation vessel. The use of a single installation vessel capable of
installing all component sizes is found to be more cost-effective than using
smaller and cheaper additional vessels. Weather uncertainty significantly
influences installation scheduling, as shown by both deterministic and
stochastic models. The developed
decision support tool provides a basis for further research in offshore wind
logistics and other industries. Although the findings are applicable within the
scope of this study, future research should explore additional factors such as
stochastic risk assessments for pile refusal and assess the impact of larger
wind farm sizes and dynamic port-to-farm distances.