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T.E. van der Lei

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Towards an application of agent based modelling to integrated assessment modelling

Conference paper (2017) - Oscar Kraan, Gert Jan Kramer, Telli van der Lei, G Huppes
To attain a better understanding of the energy transition we have applied Agent Based Modelling (ABM) to Integrated Assessment Modelling (IAM) in an abstract model with which we developed a proof of concept model of society’s response to a changing climate and energy system. Although there is no doubt that large scale neoclassical IAMs have provided key insights for business decisions and policy makers, we argue that there is a need for an approach that focuses on the role of heterogeneous agents. With our abstract ABM based on agents with heterogeneously spread discount rates we were able to give a new perspective on appropriate discount rates in the discussion between mitigation and adaption to climate change. We concluded that applying ABM to IAM yields good prospects to the further development of the implementation of society’s response to a changing environment and we propose future additions of the model to include adaptive behaviour. ...
Journal article (2016) - Mark de Reuver, Telli van der Lei, Zofia Lukszo
Grid operators increasingly have to collaborate with other actors in order to realize smart grid innovations. For routine maintenance, grid operators typically acquire technologies in one-off transactions, but the innovative nature of smart grid projects may require more collaborate relationships. This paper studies how a transactional versus relational approach to governing smart grid innovation projects affects incentives for other actors to collaborate. We analyse 34 cases of smart grid innovation projects based on extensive archival data as well as interviews. We find that projects relying on relational governance are more likely to provide incentives for collaboration. Especially non-financial incentives such as reputational benefits and shared intellectual property rights are more likely to be found in projects relying on relational governance. Policy makers that wish to stimulate smart grid innovation projects should consider stimulating long-term relationships between grid operators and third parties, because such relationships are more likely to produce incentives for collaboration. ...
Journal article (2015) - G Bas, TTE van der Lei
The use of modular plants in the chemical industry is expected to make the structure of supply chains more dynamic. The models currently used to get insight in supply chains assume a predefined supply chain structure, as orders are exogenously defined. Consequently, those models cannot grasp the dynamic nature of supply chains with modular plants. In this paper a market conceptualization based on agent-based computational economics is presented that includes transport costs in the negotiations and enables the modeling of supply chains as structures that emerge from market dynamics. It is shown that this conceptualization can capture the market dynamics that are needed to simulate a dynamic supply chain. ...
In times of restructuring governmental policies and resources, the
need for strategic asset management is growing. Maturity models offer
organisations a structure to assist them in improving their asset management
performance. We present the results of a repeated maturity measurement based
on the infrastructure management maturity matrix (IM3) in Rijkswaterstaat, a
Dutch public infrastructure organisation. The IM3 distinguishes five maturity
levels from ad hoc to optimised, and seven asset management dimensions:
information management, internal coordination, external coordination, market
approach, risk management, processes and roles, and culture and leadership.
The results show significant progress on all dimensions, and continued learning
and widespread awareness of asset management in the organisation. In the
discussion, we reflect on the findings and possible future developments for the
organisation. We also discuss the potential impact of infrastructure maturity
models for the professionalisation of other asset intensive organisations ...