Etienne Berthier
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Toward improved comparability of glacier mass-balance estimates
Challenges and recommendations
Observing glacier mass changes is essential for understanding and projecting the impacts of climate change on sea-level rise, water resources and natural hazards, as well as providing data for developing, calibrating and validating glacier evolution models. The principal methods used to measure glacier mass changes - glaciological, geodetic (surface elevation differencing) and gravimetric - differ in the spatial and temporal scales at which they are most effectively applied. Here, we review these methods in the context of challenges that arise when comparing published mass-balance estimates. Compatibility can be hampered by (1) inconsistent reporting and lack of relevant information; (2) discrepancies in which mass-balance components are included; (3) differences in the time span analyzed; and (4) variations in the spatial domain of the reported mass balance. We provide recommendations for more rigorous and comprehensive reporting of mass-balance estimates to improve comparability and synthesis of reported glacier mass changes, and we emphasize open data and code sharing to enable full reproducibility and future reinterpretation. Our recommendations apply equally to both glacier and ice-sheet mass-balance reporting, and they are generally valid for mass balances simulated by numerical models.
Glaciers distinct from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are currently losing mass rapidly with direct and severe impacts on the habitability of some regions on Earth as glacier meltwater contributes to sea-level rise and alters regional water resources in arid regions. In this review, we present the different techniques developed during the last two decades to measure glacier mass change from space: digital elevation model (DEM) differencing from stereo-imagery and synthetic aperture radar interferometry, laser and radar altimetry and space gravimetry. We illustrate their respective strengths and weaknesses to survey the mass change of a large Arctic ice body, the Vatnajökull Ice Cap (Iceland) and for the steep glaciers of the Everest area (Himalaya). For entire regions, mass change estimates sometimes disagree when a similar technique is applied by different research groups. At global scale, these discrepancies result in mass change estimates varying by 20%-30%. Our review confirms the need for more thorough inter-comparison studies to understand the origin of these differences and to better constrain regional to global glacier mass changes and, ultimately, past and future glacier contribution to sea-level rise.
Pine Island Glacier and Thwaites Glacier in the Amundsen Sea Embayment are among the fastest changing outlet glaciers in West Antarctica with large consequences for global sea level. Yet, assessing how much and how fast both glaciers will weaken if these changes continue remains a major uncertainty as many of the processes that control their ice shelf weakening and grounding line retreat are not well understood. Here, we combine multisource satellite imagery with modeling to uncover the rapid development of damage areas in the shear zones of Pine Island and Thwaites ice shelves. These damage areas consist of highly crevassed areas and open fractures and are first signs that the shear zones of both ice shelves have structurally weakened over the past decade. Idealized model results reveal moreover that the damage initiates a feedback process where initial ice shelf weakening triggers the development of damage in their shear zones, which results in further speedup, shearing, and weakening, hence promoting additional damage development. This damage feedback potentially preconditions these ice shelves for disintegration and enhances grounding line retreat. The results of this study suggest that damage feedback processes are key to future ice shelf stability, grounding line retreat, and sea level contributions from Antarctica. Moreover, they underline the need for incorporating these feedback processes, which are currently not accounted for in most ice sheet models, to improve sea level rise projections.