Rapid and effective decision-making is crucial during drinking water contamination events to ensure public safety. This paper examines a case study where a water utility, responding to customer complaints, suspected wastewater contamination in its network. We compare the traditional expert judgement approach to a model-based approach using the PathoINVEST tool. The tool performs simulations of contamination events informed by sensor measurements, identifies contamination sources using sampling results, and suggests optimal valve closures for mitigation. Our findings show that the model-based approach significantly enhances response efficiency and accuracy. It identified the contamination source with four samples in 1.3 h, compared to 11 samples in 3.7 h for the traditional approach, and resulted in a lower infection risk (12% versus 20%) at the time of source identification. Regarding valve closure, the model-based approach performed better, resulting in a 3%-point reduction in infection risk compared to the traditional approach. Modeling uncertainty is addressed by considering valve settings uncertainty; despite a 0.7% discrepancy in valve settings compared to the model, the tool accurately pinpointed the contamination vicinity 75% of the time. These findings support the claim that integrating modeling and sensor tools into emergency response protocols for drinking water contamination events can improve early identification and mitigation, potentially safeguarding public health in urban water supply systems.

In a desktop exercise, a water utility’s emergency response to suspected wastewater contamination in a drinking water network was compared with a model-based approach using PathoINVEST. This tool simulates contamination scenarios and assists with locating the source of contamination using sampling results. The sampling procedure used a portable sensor that offers rapid (20 min time-to-result) screening of fecal contamination. Preliminary results show that the model-based approach is able to find the contamination source faster and with fewer samples than current practices. Integrating modeling and rapid sensor tools in emergency responses improves decision-making and public health protection in drinking water networks.

Pathogen intrusion in drinking water systems can pose severe health risks. To better prepare in planning and responding to such events, computational models that capture the intrusion and health impact dynamics are needed. This study presents a novel benchmark testbed that integrates current knowledge on pathogen transport and fate in chlorinated systems and can assess infection risk from contamination events. The model considers organic matter degradation, chlorine decay mechanisms, pathogen inactivation kinetics, as well as stochastic water demands. We studied modeling of wastewater intrusion events that can occur anywhere within a chlorinated and non-chlorinated network. We applied the Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment framework focusing on three pathogens: enterovirus, Campylobacter, and Cryptosporidium, and their respective dose-response models. Synthetic household-level water demand time series were used to model the individual water consumption timing and calculate the infection risk (exposure via ingestion). Model outcomes indicate that while chlorination aids mitigation, larger contaminations can still lead to infections due to chlorine resistance (for Cryptosporidium) and chlorine depletion at the contamination point. In our example scenarios, chlorine-susceptible pathogens infected 0.78–26.6% of the downstream population, while chlorine-resistant ones infected the entire downstream population. Enterovirus infection risk is higher, despite the concentrations in the contamination source being lower, due to the lower susceptibility to chlorine than Campylobacter. In non-chlorinated networks, the modeled wastewater contamination events led to 11–46% infection risk in the total population, depending on the contamination location. Hydraulic uncertainty had a limited influence on infection risk. Furthermore, Campylobacter's infection risk is more sensitive to the initial concentration in the contamination source whereas enterovirus infection risk to the inactivation rate. The model further indicates that the time window for effective mitigation of the magnitude of a waterborne outbreak is short (within hours).

Health risk assessment of environmental exposure to pathogens requires complete and up to date knowledge. With the rapid growth of scientific publications and the protocolization of literature reviews, an automated approach based on Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques could help extract meaningful information from the literature and make literature reviews more efficient. The objective of this research was to determine whether it is feasible to extract both qualitative and quantitative information from scientific publications about the waterborne pathogen Legionella on PubMed, using Deep Learning and Natural Language Processing techniques. The model effectively extracted the qualitative and quantitative characteristics with high precision, recall and F-score of 0.91, 0.80, and 0.85 respectively. The AI extraction yielded results that were comparable to manual information extraction. Overall, AI could reliably extract both qualitative and quantitative information about Legionella from scientific literature. Our study paved the way for a better understanding of the information extraction processes and is a first step towards harnessing AI to collect meaningful information on pathogen characteristics from environmental microbiology publications.

This study investigates short-term fluctuations in virus concentrations in source water and their removal by full-scale drinking water treatment processes under different source water conditions. Transient peaks in raw water faecal contamination were identified using in situ online β-D-glucuronidase activity monitoring at two urban drinking water treatment plants. During these peaks, sequential grab samples were collected at the source and throughout the treatment train to evaluate concentrations of rotavirus, adenovirus, norovirus, enterovirus, JC virus, reovirus, astrovirus and sapovirus by reverse transcription and real-time quantitative PCR. Virus infectivity was assessed through viral culture by measurement of cytopathic effect and integrated cell culture qPCR. Virus concentrations increased by approximately 0.5-log during two snowmelt/rainfall episodes and approximately 1.0-log following a planned wastewater discharge upstream of the drinking water intake and during a β-D-glucuronidase activity peak in dry weather conditions. Increases in the removal of adenovirus and rotavirus by coagulation/flocculation processes were observed during peak virus concentrations in source water, suggesting that these processes do not operate under steady-state conditions but dynamic conditions in response to source water conditions. Rotavirus and enterovirus detected in raw and treated water samples were predominantly negative in viral culture. At one site, infectious adenoviruses were detected in raw water and water treated by a combination of ballasted clarification, ozonation, GAC filtration, and UV disinfection operated at a dose of 40 mJ cm⁻². The proposed sampling strategy can inform the understanding of the dynamics associated with virus concentrations at drinking water treatment plants susceptible to de facto wastewater reuse.

A monitoring strategy was implemented at two drinking water treatment plants in Quebec, Canada, to evaluate microbial reduction performances of full-scale treatment processes under different source water conditions. β-D-glucuronidase activity in source water was automatically monitored in near-real-time to establish baseline and event conditions at each location. High-volume water samples (50–1,500 L) were collected at the inflow and the outflow of coagulation/flocculation, filtration, and UV disinfection processes and were analysed for two naturally occurring surrogate organisms: Escherichia coli and Clostridium perfringens. Source water Cryptosporidium data and full-scale C. perfringens reduction data were entered into a quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) model to estimate daily infection risks associated with exposures to Cryptosporidium via consumption of treated drinking water. Daily mean E. coli and Cryptosporidium concentrations in source water under event conditions were in the top 5% (agricultural site) or in the top 15% (urban site) of what occurs through the year at these drinking water treatment plants. Reduction performances of up to 6.0-log for E. coli and 5.6-log for C. perfringens were measured by concentrating high-volume water samples throughout the treatment train. For both drinking water treatment plants, removal performances by coagulation/flocculation/sedimentation processes were at the high end of the range of those reported in the literature for bacteria and bacterial spores. Reductions of E. coli and C. perfringens by floc blanket clarification, ballasted clarification and rapid sand filtration did not deteriorate during two snowmelt/rainfall events. QMRA results suggested that daily infection risks were similar during two rainfall/snowmelt events than during baseline conditions. Additional studies investigating full-scale reductions would be desirable to improve the evaluation of differences in treatment performances under various source water conditions.

Minimum treatment requirements are set in response to established or anticipated levels of enteric pathogens in the source water of drinking water treatment plants (DWTPs). For surface water, contamination can be determined directly by monitoring reference pathogens or indirectly by measuring fecal indicators such as Escherichia coli (E. coli). In the latter case, a quantitative interpretation of E. coli for estimating reference pathogen concentrations could be used to define treatment requirements. This study presents the statistical analysis of paired E. coli and reference protozoa (Cryptosporidium, Giardia) data collected monthly for two years in source water from 27 DWTPs supplied by rivers in Canada. E. coli/Cryptosporidium and E. coli/Giardia ratios in source water were modeled as the ratio of two correlated lognormal variables. To evaluate the potential of E. coli for defining protozoa treatment requirements, risk-based critical mean protozoa concentrations in source water were determined with a reverse quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) model. Model assumptions were selected to be consistent with the World Health Organization (WHO) Guidelines for drinking-water quality. The sensitivity of mean E. coli concentration trigger levels to identify these critical concentrations in source water was then evaluated. Results showed no proportionalities between the log of mean E. coli concentrations and the log of mean protozoa concentrations. E. coli/protozoa ratios at DWTPs supplied by small rivers in agricultural and forested areas were typically 1.0 to 2.0-log lower than at DWTPs supplied by large rivers in urban areas. The seasonal variations analysis revealed that these differences were related to low mean E. coli concentrations during winter in small rivers. To achieve the WHO target of 10⁻⁶ disability-adjusted life year (DALY) per person per year, a minimum reduction of 4.0-log of Cryptosporidium would be required for 20 DWTPs, and a minimum reduction of 4.0-log of Giardia would be needed for all DWTPs. A mean E. coli trigger level of 50 CFU 100 mL⁻¹ would be a sensitive threshold to identify critical mean concentrations for Cryptosporidium but not for Giardia. Treatment requirements higher than 3.0-log would be needed at DWTPs with mean E. coli concentrations as low as 30 CFU 100 mL⁻¹ for Cryptosporidium and 3 CFU 100 mL⁻¹ for Giardia. Therefore, an E. coli trigger level would have limited value for defining health-based treatment requirements for protozoa at DWTPs supplied by small rivers in rural areas.

In several jurisdictions, the arithmetic mean of Escherichia coli concentrations in raw water serves as the metric to set minimal treatment requirements by drinking water treatment plants (DWTPs). An accurate and precise estimation of this mean is therefore critical to define adequate requirements. Distributions of E. coli concentrations in surface water can be heavily skewed and require statistical methods capable of characterizing uncertainty. We present four simple parametric models with different upper tail behaviors (gamma, log-normal, Lomax, mixture of two log-normal distributions) to explicitly account for the influence of peak events on the mean concentration. The performance of these models was tested using large E. coli data sets (200–1800 samples) from raw water regulatory monitoring at six DWTPs located in urban and agricultural catchments. Critical seasons of contamination and hydrometeorological factors leading to peak events were identified. Event-based samples were collected at an urban DWTP intake during two hydrometeorological events using online β-D-glucuronidase activity monitoring as a trigger. Results from event-based sampling were used to verify whether selected parametric distributions predicted targeted peak events. We found that the upper tail of the log-normal and the Lomax distributions better predicted large concentrations than the upper tail of the gamma distribution. Weekly sampling for two years in urban catchments and for four years in agricultural catchments generated reasonable estimates of the average raw water E. coli concentrations. The proposed methodology can be easily used to inform the development of sampling strategies and statistical indices to set site-specific treatment requirements.

The identification of appropriately conservative statistical distributions is needed to predict microbial peak events in drinking water sources explicitly. In this study, Poisson and mixed Poisson distributions with different upper tail behaviors were used for modeling source water Cryptosporidium and Giardia data from 30 drinking water treatment plants. Small differences (<0.5-log) were found between the “best” estimates of the mean Cryptosporidium and Giardia concentrations with the Poisson–gamma and Poisson–log-normal models. However, the upper bound of the 95% credibility interval on the mean Cryptosporidium concentrations of the Poisson–log-normal model was considerably higher (>0.5-log) than that of the Poisson–gamma model at four sites. The improper choice of a model may, therefore, mislead the assessment of treatment requirements and health risks associated with the water supply. Discrimination between models using the marginal deviance information criterion (mDIC) was unachievable because differences in upper tail behaviors were not well characterized with available data sets ((Formula presented.)). Therefore, the gamma and the log-normal distributions fit the data equally well but may predict different risk estimates when they are used as an input distribution in an exposure assessment. The collection of event-based monitoring data and the modeling of larger routine monitoring data sets are recommended to identify appropriately conservative distributions to predict microbial peak events.

Temporal variations in concentrations of pathogenic microorganisms in surface waters are well known to be influenced by hydrometeorological events. Reasonable methods for accounting for microbial peaks in the quantification of drinking water treatment requirements need to be addressed. Here, we applied a novel method for data collection and model validation to explicitly account for weather events (rainfall, snowmelt) when concentrations of pathogens are estimated in source water. Online in situ β-d-glucuronidase activity measurements were used to trigger sequential grab sampling of source water to quantify Cryptosporidium and Giardia concentrations during rainfall and snowmelt events at an urban and an agricultural drinking water treatment plant in Quebec, Canada. We then evaluate if mixed Poisson distributions fitted to monthly sampling data ((Formula presented.) = 30 samples) could accurately predict daily mean concentrations during these events. We found that using the gamma distribution underestimated high Cryptosporidium and Giardia concentrations measured with routine or event-based monitoring. However, the log-normal distribution accurately predicted these high concentrations. The selection of a log-normal distribution in preference to a gamma distribution increased the annual mean concentration by less than 0.1-log but increased the upper bound of the 95% credibility interval on the annual mean by about 0.5-log. Therefore, considering parametric uncertainty in an exposure assessment is essential to account for microbial peaks in risk assessment.

Use of wastewater is increasingly gaining importance as a water supply. However, the acceptance of the final users is important for the success of such projects. The acceptability of the treated wastewater depends on the physical, chemical, and most importantly the microbiological quality of the water. Appropriately designed and operated Managed Aquifer Recharge (MAR) systems have proven to be a very effective and robust barrier against all pathogens present in wastewater. Examples of successful implementation of MAR to catalyse safe and reliable water reuse are abundant. In the Netherlands, this started with the intake river water for dune infiltration in the 1950s. These big MAR schemes still supply around one-fifth of the drinking water in the Netherlands. Research has shown that these MAR systems are crucial for disinfection of the river water and overcoming mismatches between river water availability and water demand. Cost-effective and microbiologically reliable water supply can also be attained for the agricultural sector, as shown by the Dinteloord case study. Stakeholder involvement and an integrated approach is becoming indispensable for MAR and results in increased creation of water banks, including total cost recovery based on financing from all stakeholders.