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Kilian Vos

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Journal article (2024) - Floris Reinier Calkoen, Arjen Pieter Luijendijk, Kilian Vos, Etiënne Kras, Fedor Baart
Coastal science has entered a new era of data-driven research, facilitated by satellite data and cloud computing. Despite its potential, the coastal community has yet to fully capitalize on these advancements due to a lack of tailored data, tools, and models. This paper demonstrates how cloud technology can advance coastal analytics at scale. We introduce GCTS, a novel foundational dataset comprising over 11 million coastal transects at 100-m resolution. Our experiments highlight the importance of cloud-optimized data formats, geospatial sorting, and metadata-driven data retrieval. By leveraging cloud technology, we achieve up to 700 times faster performance for tasks like coastal waterline mapping. A case study reveals that 33% of the world’s first kilometer of coast is below 5 m, with the entire analysis completed in a few hours. Our findings make a compelling case for the coastal community to start producing data, tools, and models suitable for scalable coastal analytics. ...
Journal article (2020) - Jennifer Montaño, Giovanni Coco, Déborah Idier, Bonnie C. Ludka, Sina Masoud-Ansari, Fernando J. Méndez, A. Brad Murray, Nathaniel G. Plant, Katherine M. Ratliff, Arthur Robinet, Ana Rueda, Nadia Sénéchal, Jose A.A. Antolínez, Joshua A. Simmons, Kristen D. Splinter, Scott Stephens, Ian Townend, Sean Vitousek, Kilian Vos, Tomas Beuzen, Karin R. Bryan, Laura Cagigal, Bruno Castelle, Mark A. Davidson, Evan B. Goldstein, Raimundo Ibaceta
Beaches around the world continuously adjust to daily and seasonal changes in wave and tide conditions, which are themselves changing over longer time-scales. Different approaches to predict multi-year shoreline evolution have been implemented; however, robust and reliable predictions of shoreline evolution are still problematic even in short-term scenarios (shorter than decadal). Here we show results of a modelling competition, where 19 numerical models (a mix of established shoreline models and machine learning techniques) were tested using data collected for Tairua beach, New Zealand with 18 years of daily averaged alongshore shoreline position and beach rotation (orientation) data obtained from a camera system. In general, traditional shoreline models and machine learning techniques were able to reproduce shoreline changes during the calibration period (1999–2014) for normal conditions but some of the model struggled to predict extreme and fast oscillations. During the forecast period (unseen data, 2014–2017), both approaches showed a decrease in models’ capability to predict the shoreline position. This was more evident for some of the machine learning algorithms. A model ensemble performed better than individual models and enables assessment of uncertainties in model architecture. Research-coordinated approaches (e.g., modelling competitions) can fuel advances in predictive capabilities and provide a forum for the discussion about the advantages/disadvantages of available models. ...