It is a relatively well-known fact that in problems of Bayesian model selection, improper priors should, in general, be avoided. In this paper we will derive and discuss a collection of four proper uniform priors which lie on an ascending scale of informativeness. It will turn out that these priors lead us to evidences that are closely associated with the implied evidence of the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) and the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). All the discussed evidences are then used in two small Monte Carlo studies, wherein for different sample sizes and noise levels the evidences are used to select between competing C-spline regression models. Also, there is given, for illustrative purposes, an outline on how to construct simple trivariate C-spline regression models. In regards to the length of this paper, only one half of this paper consists of theory and derivations, the other half consists of graphs and outputs of the two Monte Carlo studies. ... Read more

In this paper, we will give the derivation of an inquiry calculus, or, equivalently, a Bayesian information theory. From simple ordering follow lattices, or, equivalently, algebras. Lattices admit a quantification, or, equivalently, algebras may be extended to calculi. The general rules of quantification are the sum and chain rules. Probability theory follows from a quantification on the specific lattice of statements that has an upper context. Inquiry calculus follows from a quantification on the specific lattice of questions that has a lower context. There will be given here a relevance measure and a product rule for relevances, which, taken together with the sum rule of relevances, will allow us to perform inquiry analyses in an algorithmic manner ... Read more

We give here a comparison of the expected outcome theory, the expected utility theory, and the Bayesian decision theory, by way of a simple numerical toy problem in which we look at the investment willingness to avert a high impact low probability event. It will be found that for this toy problem the modeled investment willingness under the Bayesian decision theory is minimally three times higher compared to the investment willingness under either the expected outcome or the expected utility theories, where it is noted that the estimates of the latter two theories seem to be unrealistically low. ... Read more