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Conference paper(2026)
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Vitali Herrera-Semenets, Lázaro Bustio-Martínez, Jan van den Berg, Miguel Ángel Álvarez-Carmona
Social security programs aim to protect vulnerable populations; however, accurately identifying individuals with significantly lower incomes than their peers (accounting for age, occupation, and education level) remains an operational challenge. This article proposes an innovative method for detecting economic vulnerability by combining income data enrichment with large language models in a multi-agent architecture, unsupervised clustering techniques, and statistical heuristics. The developed algorithm analyzes demographic and labor-related variables to estimate expected annual income by profile, thereby identifying atypical discrepancies that suggest vulnerability. This approach not only optimizes the prioritization of beneficiaries for targeted assistance but also serves as a preventive mechanism against the inadvertent exclusion of eligible groups. Preliminary results demonstrate the method’s effectiveness in detecting hidden vulnerability particularly among young adults aged 17–23, whose high underemployment rates (≈40%) in recent national statistics closely align with the concentration of vulnerability detected. These findings underscore its potential as a complementary tool to enhance equity and efficiency in social policy implementation.
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Social security programs aim to protect vulnerable populations; however, accurately identifying individuals with significantly lower incomes than their peers (accounting for age, occupation, and education level) remains an operational challenge. This article proposes an innovative method for detecting economic vulnerability by combining income data enrichment with large language models in a multi-agent architecture, unsupervised clustering techniques, and statistical heuristics. The developed algorithm analyzes demographic and labor-related variables to estimate expected annual income by profile, thereby identifying atypical discrepancies that suggest vulnerability. This approach not only optimizes the prioritization of beneficiaries for targeted assistance but also serves as a preventive mechanism against the inadvertent exclusion of eligible groups. Preliminary results demonstrate the method’s effectiveness in detecting hidden vulnerability particularly among young adults aged 17–23, whose high underemployment rates (≈40%) in recent national statistics closely align with the concentration of vulnerability detected. These findings underscore its potential as a complementary tool to enhance equity and efficiency in social policy implementation.
Journal article(2025)
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Lázaro Bustio-Martínez, Vitali Herrera-Semenets, Jorge Ángel González-Ordiano, Yamel Pérez-Guadarramas, Luis Zúñiga-Morales, Daniela Montoya-Godínez , Miguel Ángel Álvarez-Carmona, Jan van den Berg
Phishing remains one of the most persistent cybersecurity threats, increasingly exploiting not only technical vulnerabilities but also human cognitive biases. Existing detection systems often rely on single-modality features and black-box models, which restrict both generalization and interpretability. This study presents an explainable multimodal framework that combines textual and technical cues, including message content, URL structure, and Principles of Persuasion, to capture both objective and subjective aspects of phishing. Several classifiers were evaluated using 10-fold stratified cross-validation, with Random Forest achieving the best balance between performance and transparency (ROC-AUC = 0.9840), supported by SHAP explanations that identify the most influential linguistic and structural features. Comparative analysis shows that the proposed framework outperforms unimodal baselines while preserving interpretability, enabling a clear rationale for classification outcomes. These results indicate that integrating multimodal representation with explainable learning strengthens phishing detection accuracy, improves user trust, and supports reliable deployment in real-world environments.
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Phishing remains one of the most persistent cybersecurity threats, increasingly exploiting not only technical vulnerabilities but also human cognitive biases. Existing detection systems often rely on single-modality features and black-box models, which restrict both generalization and interpretability. This study presents an explainable multimodal framework that combines textual and technical cues, including message content, URL structure, and Principles of Persuasion, to capture both objective and subjective aspects of phishing. Several classifiers were evaluated using 10-fold stratified cross-validation, with Random Forest achieving the best balance between performance and transparency (ROC-AUC = 0.9840), supported by SHAP explanations that identify the most influential linguistic and structural features. Comparative analysis shows that the proposed framework outperforms unimodal baselines while preserving interpretability, enabling a clear rationale for classification outcomes. These results indicate that integrating multimodal representation with explainable learning strengthens phishing detection accuracy, improves user trust, and supports reliable deployment in real-world environments.
Journal article(2024)
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Lázaro Bustio-Martínez, Vitali Herrera-Semenets, Juan-Luis García-Mendoza, Miguel Ángel Álvarez-Carmona, Jorge Ángel González-Ordiano, Luis Zúñiga-Morales, José Emilio Quiróz-Ibarra, Pedro Antonio Santander-Molina, Jan van den Berg
With the rising of Internet in early ’90s, many fraudulent activities have migrated from physical to digital: one of them is phishing. Phishing is a deceptive practice focused on exploiting the human factor, which is the most vulnerable aspect of any security process. In this scam, social engineering techniques are extensively utilized, specifically focusing on the principles of persuasion, to deceive individuals into disclosing sensitive information or engaging in malicious actions. This research explores the use of message subjectivity for detecting phishing attacks. It does so by assessing the impact of various data representations and classifiers on automatically identifying principles of persuasion. Furthermore, it investigates how these detected principles of persuasion can be leveraged for identifying phishing attacks. The experiments conducted revealed that there is no universal solution for data representation and classifier selection to effectively detect all principles of persuasion. Instead, a tailored combination of data representation and classifiers is required for detecting each principle. The Machine Learning models created automatically detect principles of persuasion with confidence levels ranging from 0.7306 to 0.8191 for AUC-ROC. Next, principles of persuasion detected are used for phishing detection. This study also emphasizes the need for user-friendly and comprehensible models. To validate the proposal presented, several families of classifiers were tested, but among all of them, tree-based models (and Random Forest in particular) stand out as preferred option. These models achieve similar level of effectiveness as alternative methods while offering improved clarity and user-friendliness, with an AUC-ROC of 0.859842.
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With the rising of Internet in early ’90s, many fraudulent activities have migrated from physical to digital: one of them is phishing. Phishing is a deceptive practice focused on exploiting the human factor, which is the most vulnerable aspect of any security process. In this scam, social engineering techniques are extensively utilized, specifically focusing on the principles of persuasion, to deceive individuals into disclosing sensitive information or engaging in malicious actions. This research explores the use of message subjectivity for detecting phishing attacks. It does so by assessing the impact of various data representations and classifiers on automatically identifying principles of persuasion. Furthermore, it investigates how these detected principles of persuasion can be leveraged for identifying phishing attacks. The experiments conducted revealed that there is no universal solution for data representation and classifier selection to effectively detect all principles of persuasion. Instead, a tailored combination of data representation and classifiers is required for detecting each principle. The Machine Learning models created automatically detect principles of persuasion with confidence levels ranging from 0.7306 to 0.8191 for AUC-ROC. Next, principles of persuasion detected are used for phishing detection. This study also emphasizes the need for user-friendly and comprehensible models. To validate the proposal presented, several families of classifiers were tested, but among all of them, tree-based models (and Random Forest in particular) stand out as preferred option. These models achieve similar level of effectiveness as alternative methods while offering improved clarity and user-friendliness, with an AUC-ROC of 0.859842.