Chaolei Zheng
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4 records found
1
Model calibration and validation are challenging in poorly gauged basins. We developed and applied a new approach to calibrate hydrological models using distributed geospatial remote sensing data. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was calibrated using only twelve months of remote sensing data on actual evapotranspiration (ETa) geospatially distributed in the 37 sub-basins of the Lake Chad Basin in Africa. Global sensitivity analysis was conducted to identify influential model parameters by applying the Sequential Uncertainty Fitting Algorithm–version 2 (SUFI-2), included in the SWAT-Calibration and Uncertainty Program (SWAT-CUP). This procedure is designed to deal with spatially variable parameters and estimates either multiplicative or additive corrections applicable to the entire model domain, which limits the number of unknowns while preserving spatial variability. The sensitivity analysis led us to identify fifteen influential parameters, which were selected for calibration. The optimized parameters gave the best model performance on the basis of the high Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE), and determination coefficient (R2). Four sets of remote sensing ETa data products were applied in model calibration, i.e., ETMonitor, GLEAM, SSEBop, and WaPOR. Overall, the new approach of using remote sensing ETa for a limited period of time was robust and gave a very good performance, with R2 > 0.9, NSE > 0.8, and KGE > 0.75 applying to the SWAT ETa vs. the ETMonitor ETa and GLEAM ETa. The ETMonitor ETa was finally adopted for further model applications. The calibrated SWAT model was then validated during 2010–2015 against remote sensing data on total water storage change (TWSC) with acceptable performance, i.e., R2 = 0.57 and NSE = 0.55, and remote sensing soil moisture data with R2 and NSE greater than 0.85.
A distributed hydrological energy-water-balance model (FEST-EWB) is calibrated over the Heihe Basin, a mainly desertic basin in China, employing remotely-sensed Land Surface Temperature (LST) (MODIS, 1-km resolution) as calibration variable. This approach overcomes the problem of model parameters characterization, which are usually difficult to define especially over large basins, allowing a pixel-by-pixel calibration, preserving the spatial heterogeneity. Hence, the spatial distribution of the modelled LST, but also of soil moisture (SM) and evapotranspiration (ET) is improved. The accuracy of the calibration process is documented through common statistical indexes. The modelled ET is compared locally against two eddy covariance stations in the agricultural area, while distributively against the ET estimates of the ETMonitor model and some global re-analysis products (ERA-Interim, GLDAS2, GLEAM and MERRA-2). Calibration and validation performed in this study prove that a considerable model accuracy is attainable even in extremely arid environments. An average LST bias of 2.6 °C is obtained over the basin. A good adaptation of FEST-EWB is also obtained against eddy-covariance stations ET with a little bias around −1 mm/d. On the other hand, the reanalysis products display a much worse performance, with higher absolute biases (around −3.5 mm/d), although with high variability among the models.
Rainfall is a key driver of terrestrial vegetation. Clarifying the response mechanism of vegetation to rainfall can advance the understanding of expected changes in ecosystems under projected rainfall scenarios. Besides the rainfall amount over a period of time, the frequency, duration and intensity are of importance in driving ecosystem processes. The pulsating nature of rainfall forcing and of vegetation response applies particularly to arid and semi – arid regions and led to conceptualize the “pulse-reserve” paradigm, which we used to explain the approach we propose in this study. We introduce the Transfer Function Analysis (TFA) method in the frequency domain to capture the response of vegetation to rainfall at multiple temporal scales. The TFA method determines coherence, gain, and phase to characterize the existence, strength, and time-lag, respectively, of the vegetation response to rainfall at different temporal scales. Specifically, the coherence measures the existence of the response and only with a significant response are the gain and phase values significant and valuable for further analysis. The gain measures the strength of the relationship between fluctuations in vegetation growth and fluctuations in rainfall, while the phase value (i.e. the time-lag) measures how fluctuations in vegetation growth lag (or lead) fluctuations in rainfall. The TFA method was applied to the 34-years (1982–2015) NDVI3g and CHIRPS precipitation dataset in the Sahel-Sudano-Guinean region (20°W ~ 60°E, 0–25°E). The Sahelian zone was characterized by a significant vegetation response to rainfall across all inter- and intra- annual time-scales, while the Sudano-Guinean zone was dominated by significant response at annual or 6-month scales. The negative phase lag indicated that rainfall variation normally led NDVI change for most areas and across timescales. However, a positive phase observed in part of the tropical rainforest area indicated that NDVI changes led rainfall variations, which may be caused by the strong vegetation-rainfall feedback through recycling of precipitation by evapotranspiration. In summary, these results suggested that the TFA method is a powerful tool to quantify the vegetation-rainfall response regime across a range of timescales, as conceptualized by the “pulse-reserve” paradigm. Unraveling the response of fluctuations in vegetation growth to separate components of the forcing by precipitation might improve our understanding of environmental change in the past decades in the Sahel - Sudan - Guinean region.
Terrestrial water cycle in South and East Asia
Hydrospheric and cryospheric data products
The state of the land surface and the water cycle over the South and East Asia can be determined by space observation. New or significantly improved algorithms have been developed and evaluated against ground measurements. Variables retrieved include land surface properties, i.e. NDVI, LAI, FPAR, albedo, soil moisture, glacier and lake levels. Based on these biophysical parameters derived from microwave and optical remote sensing observations, a hybrid remotely sensed evapotranspiration (ET) estimation model named ETMonitor was developed and applied to estimate the daily actual ET of the Southeast Asia at a spatial resolution of 1 km. The changes in glaciers and lakes on the Tibetan Plateau, and the drainage links between glaciers and lakes are determined in this climate-sensitive region.