Many molecular aging biomarkers have been developed to capture heterogeneity in individual aging rates. Yet, systematic comparison of the modeling choices underlying these biomarkers has been limited. In this study, we trained aging biomarkers on the Rockwood frailty index (FI) and all-cause mortality using UK Biobank Olink proteomics and metabolomics (¹H-NMR) data (n = 40,696). We systematically established the impact of model choice, target outcome, and molecular data source on several age-related outcomes. From this, we developed two aging biomarkers, ProteinFrailty (ProtFI) and ProteinMortality (ProtMort), which are both ElasticNet models that use a minimal set of proteins to predict FI and mortality, respectively. In particular, ProtFI outperformed established aging biomarkers in relation to diverse outcomes, including incident cardiovascular disease, handgrip strength, and self-rated health, both in internal validation and two Dutch external cohorts (n = 995, n = 500). Our findings show that an efficient frailty-trained proteomic biomarker robustly predicts age-related decline.

Biological age captures a person's age-related risk of unfavorable outcomes using biophysiological information. Multivariate biological age measures include frailty scores and molecular biomarkers. These measures are often studied in isolation, but here we present a large-scale study comparing them. In 2 prospective cohorts (n = 3 222), we compared epigenetic (DNAm Horvath, DNAm Hannum, DNAm Lin, DNAm epiTOC, DNAm PhenoAge, DNAm DunedinPoAm, DNAm GrimAge, and DNAm Zhang) and metabolomic-based (MetaboAge and MetaboHealth) biomarkers in reflection of biological age, as represented by 5 frailty measures and overall mortality. Biomarkers trained on outcomes with biophysiological and/or mortality information outperformed age-trained biomarkers in frailty reflection and mortality prediction. DNAm GrimAge and MetaboHealth, trained on mortality, showed the strongest association with these outcomes. The associations of DNAm GrimAge and MetaboHealth with frailty and mortality were independent of each other and of the frailty score mimicking clinical geriatric assessment. Epigenetic, metabolomic, and clinical biological age markers seem to capture different aspects of aging. These findings suggest that mortality-trained molecular markers may provide novel phenotype reflecting biological age and strengthen current clinical geriatric health and well-being assessment.