In October 2023 congestion is issued in the HIC Rotterdam. As a result businesses can no longer establish, expand or electrify. A potential solution to free up grid capacity is that of an energy hub. This study evaluates future scenarios for the development of an industrial energy hub by utilising the EMA method. A study is done on the details of the congestion problem in the HIC Rotterdam in order to distinguish possible solutions. By exploring technologies applicable in an energy hub and applying exclusion criteria the potential for energy hub integration in the HIC Rotterdam is assessed. Based on the outcomes of a data inquiry a choice is made on an industrial cluster to model. Factors influencing the cluster’s development in the future are drafted and scenarios are designed that describe the potential evolution of the cluster. The electricity system of the industrial cluster is modelled and its data analysed. The model of the electricity system is translated into a model that generates future states of the industrial cluster. Through EMA these scenarios are evaluated.

The congestion problems faced in the HIC will last until project ’Loadpocket Simonshaven’ is commissioned in 2027-2029. Until then, energy hubs might be valuable in creating grid capacity. Making shared use of an electricity connection can already create some extra capacity, however the implementation of large electrification projects is most influenced by the availability of additional grid capacity. As becomes clear from the simulation results. In addition, a promising integration option is the inclusion of an electricity generation unit in the energy hub of which multiple exist in the HIC Rotterdam.