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Y. Zhou

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9 records found

From theoretical definitions to empirical findings

Journal article (2023) - Yang Zhou, Winnie Daamen, Tiedo Vellinga, Serge P. Hoogendoorn
Currently, the research on ship behavior during encounters focuses on evasive behavior during specific situations with existing risks of collision. However, the preliminary selection of encounters to refine the presented ship behavior is biased. To obtain a full understanding of all ship behavior during different encounters in ports and waterways, the encounter is defined from the viewpoint of the spatial-temporal co-existence of ships in the same waterway segments during the same period. Based on this definition, this paper investigates ship behavior through the encounter process with other ships. The proposed approach starts from the moment when the distance in between is minimum as the critical moment to recognize ship behavior change (course alteration and speed change) based on the Sliding Window algorithm. Thus, the encounter process is identified by the key behavior feature point into phases, being before decision-making, before the critical moment, after the critical moment, and after being past and clear. The relative movement factors are calculated according to the behavior status of both ships to describe the conditions, timing, and objective of behavior change during the dynamic process of encounters. The empirical findings based on one-year Automatic Identification System data in the port of Rotterdam are presented. In the overtaking encounters, as the give-way ship, about 14% of the overtaking ships do not take any evasive actions. Among the ships with behavior changes, the preference for course alteration and speed change is equal. As the stand-on ship, about 87% of the overtaken ships take cooperative maneuvers to facilitate the encounter, in which deceleration seems the primary choice. The timing of overtaken ship's behavior change is later than overtaking ship. For overtaking ships, the objective of course alteration is a clear passing distance of about 5 times her beam, 100m for overtaken ships irrespective of her own size. Regarding speed, the overtaking ship aims to reach a relative speed of 0.3 times her own SOG, while the objective for the overtaken ship is fixed at around 2–3 m/s. In the encounters of ships sailing in the opposite direction, most of the ships take maneuvers to change their course or speed. However, within the influence distance of 2 km, over 76% of the ships do not take any evasive behavior, which implies a passing-by situation. Based on the recognized key feature points of behavior change, statistical tests show the objective of clear passing distance has been reached beforehand. The behavior change during head-on situations could be due to the precautionary behavior of officers onboard in case of interaction between ships. The findings enrich the knowledge of ship behavior during different types of encounters in real-life navigation, which can be further applied to simulation models for ship behavior in ports and waterways. ...
Journal article (2023) - Kezhong Liu, Xiaolie Wu, Yang Zhou, Zhitao Yuan, Xing Yang, Xuri Xin, Sujie Zhuang
During the process of collision avoidance, especially in a multi-ship encounter situation, the dynamic interactions among individual ships impose a significant impact on collision avoidance decision-making. It is imperative, therefore, that collision avoidance decisions are formulated with a comprehensive consideration of not only the current direct collision conflict but also the potential conflicts due to planned collision avoidance actions. To address this requirement, this paper proposes a dynamic conflict cluster detection method for collision avoidance decision-making in multi-ship encounters. The involved ships are clustered into stable temporal-dependent ship conflict groups taking into account both conflict connectivity and the potential spatiotemporal interactions originating from planned collision avoidance actions. The conflict cluster detection model is implemented within a framework to achieve hierarchical coordinated collision avoidance decision-making. By a simulation experiment of an 11-ship encounter, the proposed method successfully discerns the ships with conflicts and provides feasible collision avoidance decisions. Compared to the non-cluster collision avoidance methods, the proposed method generates the results with acceptable deviating distance and number of collision avoidance actions at minimum computation load. It has been demonstrated that the proposed method is both effective and efficient for officers on board and operators at Vessel Traffic Services centers in real-life navigation. ...
Review (2022) - Yingjie Tang , Junmin Mou, Linying Chen, Yang Zhou
Through the continuous development of intellectualization, considering the lifecycle of ships, the future of a waterborne traffic system is bound to be a mixed scenario where intelligent ships of different autonomy levels co-exist, i.e., mixed waterborne traffic. According to the three modules of ships’ perception, decision-making, and execution, the roles of humans and machines under different autonomy levels are analyzed. This paper analyzes and summarizes the intelligent algorithms related to the three modules proposed in the last five years. Starting from the characteristics of the algorithms, the behavior characteristics of ships with different autonomous levels are analyzed. The results show that in terms of information perception, relying on the information perception techniques and risk analysis methods, the ship situation can be judged, and the collision risk is evaluated. The risk can be expressed in two forms, being graphical and numerical. The graphical images intuitively present the risk level, while the numerical results are easier to apply into the control link of ships. In the future, it could be considered to establish a risk perception system with digital and visual integration, which will be more efficient and accurate in risk identification. With respect to intelligent decision-making, currently, unmanned ships mostly use intelligent algorithms to make decisions and tend to achieve both safe and efficient collision avoidance goals in a high-complexity manner. Finally, regarding execution, the advanced power control devices could improve the ship’s maneuverability, and the motion control algorithms help to achieve the real-time control of the ship’s motion state, so as to further improve the speed and accuracy of ship motion control. With the upgrading of the autonomy level, the ship’s behavior develops in a safer, more efficient, and more environment-friendly manner. ...
Doctoral thesis (2022) - Y. Zhou, W. Daamen, S.P. Hoogendoorn, T. Vellinga
As one of the most important freight transportation modes, maritime transport has been the backbone of international trade and global economy. From the cargo flow point of view, seaports and inland shipping link the individual countries and the global waterborne transportation networks. To analyze the current ship traffic and port performance or predict future scenarios, understanding ship behavior in ports and waterways is necessary. However, the depicted sailing environment is in the current studies far simpler than the real-life ports and waterways. To this end, we formulate the following research objective:
to gain empirical knowledge of ship behavior in real-life sailing environments and to empirically investigate the influencing mechanisms of intrinsic and external factors. ...
Journal article (2020) - Yang Zhou, Winnie Daamen, Tiedo Vellinga, Serge P. Hoogendoorn
In ports and waterways, the impacts of external navigational factors may lead to serious incidents due to limited space for ship maneuvering. Using nautical traffic models, these incidents can be predicted in advance. In current studies of nautical traffic models, the impacts of wind and current on ship behavior are seldom considered when modeling the ship behavior in a port area. The numerical maneuvering models simulate the individual ship behavior under such impacts by calculating the hydrodynamic forces working on the ship's hull. However, the input, maneuvering particulars of individual ships, are not available in ports. In order to fill the knowledge gap of estimating ship behavior under external impacts without detailed ship maneuvering information, the impacts of wind and current on the observed dynamic ship behavior (speed over ground and leeway and drift angle) in ports and waterways have been investigated by analyzing Automatic Identification System data (showing ship paths over time) and the meteorological and hydrological data collected from the port of Rotterdam. The relation between unhindered speed variation and ship size is revealed. The regression analysis results on ships with similar size indicate the differences between wind and current impacts. Especially for small ships, the current impact on speed over ground outweighs the wind, while the wind influences the leeway and drift angle more than the current. Based on the quantified impact variation over ship size, the proposed impact mechanism explains the variance of speed over ground and leeway and drift angle. Some conventional sailing habits based on good seamanship, such as a series of small-angle alterations rather than direct turning at waypoints, are also revealed by the statistical analyses. Considering the variation of wind and current conditions in the study area, the analysis result provides generic quantitative insights into the wind and current impacts on the individual behavior of ships of different sizes. These mathematical formulations can be adopted in a microscopic nautical traffic model to include the impacts of external conditions. ...
Journal article (2019) - Yang Zhou, Winnie Daamen, Tiedo Vellinga, Serge P. Hoogendoorn
Since the introduction of the Automatic Identification System (AIS), AIS data has proven to be a valuable source of ship behavior analysis using data mining. It records ship position, speed and other behavior attributes at specific time intervals in all voyages at sea and in ports. However, the current studies in ship behavior analyze the behavior patterns either with a subjective choice of classification for behavior differences among the groups of ships or without any classification at all. In order to fill this gap, a new methodology for ship classification in ports based on behavior clustering is developed by analyzing AIS data from the port of Rotterdam. Besides a proper data preparation, the proposed methodology consists of two steps: step I, clustering ship behavior in a port area and identifying the characteristics of the clusters; step II, classifying ships to such behavior clusters based on the ship characteristics. The clustering results present both the behavior patterns and the behavior change patterns for ship path and speed over ground, which are the dominant behavior attributes for ships in ports. Some patterns of integral ship behavior can also be revealed by investigating the correlation between the two behavior attributes. Our research has shown that length and beam can be adopted as explanatory variable to classify ships to the corresponding behavior clusters. The classifiers are developed based on both unsupervised discretization (equal width binning) and supervised discretization (Chi2). The performances of classifiers are compared by three evaluation metrics, including Average Accuracy, F 1 score, and AUC. We found that the classification based on multi-criteria is more accurate than using a single criterion. The classifications based on Chi2 discretization outperform the ones with equal width discretization. The outcome leads to a systematic understanding of ship behavior in a port area and can be used to predict the ship behavior pattern based on their characteristics and simulate the ship behavior. ...
Review (2019) - Yang Zhou, Winnie Daamen, Tiedo Vellinga, Serge Hoogendoorn
The importance of maritime transport keeps increasing with the trade globalization. With the growing demand for waterborne transport, vessel traffic flows are also expected to increase. This paper reviews maritime traffic models from the vessel behavior modeling perspective. The maritime traffic models include the models for vessel traffic both at sea and in confined water area. The aim of this paper is to analyze the underlying modeling paradigms and to assess the extent in which maritime traffic models can represent vessel behavior. Focusing on vessel behavior modeling, this paper provides a broad overview of the current literature on maritime traffic models of the last decades. The commercial models are not included due to the limit of information. To compare the capabilities of models in capturing the vessel behavior characteristics, the considered models are assessed from different aspects of vessel behavior representation, external impact modeling, and model applicability. The assessment shows that none of the existing models describe all dynamic kinetic information in detail for different vessels and consider the impacts from a full range of external factors, which is possibly due to the specific purpose when the models were developed. The models developed for specific vessels in specific situations ignore the irrespective behavioral details in other possible scenarios. Models without proper calibration and validation limit the applicability in other cases. It also indicates that few models can accurately simulate the different vessel behavior at a microscopic level. To investigate the possible potential and limitations, the models have been assessed and discussed to indicate the underlying modeling paradigms based on the modeling characteristics. Future developments can focus on the behavior of different vessels in different types of water areas and the corresponding impacts from external conditions (e.g. visibility, wind, current), vessel encounters and traffic rules. Through calibration and validation, future models should be able to fit the vessel behavior in real-life situations. ...
Journal article (2018) - Y. Zhou, Xavier Bellsola Olba
With ongoing trade globalization, waterborne cargo transportation has notably grown in recent years. Due to the growth in ship sizes, with lower manoeuvrability, and higher flows, the safety in these confined areas needs to be guaranteed. Nautical traffic operations in ports are now impacted by more data availability and the disruption of automation processes, and port stakeholders need to adapt to these changes. ...
Due to the increasing ship traffic flow in ports, maritime traffic safety has attracted much atten-tion. In addition to traffic flow, the ship safety in restricted waters is influenced by external navigational fac-tors (visibility, wind and current), encounter situations and human factors on board. In this paper, we investi-gate the effect of navigational factors on ship behavior. The raw AIS data and locally measured visibility, wind, and current data in the port of Rotterdam are collected to investigate the impacts of wind and current on ship speed and path (distance to the starboard bank). The results reveal that the wind mainly affects the paths of ships by the force of cross-wind, while the current impacts the speed over ground of ships when the current is with or against the heading of ship. The impacts on different sizes of ships are different as well. The port side wind has a larger impact on small ships than on large ships, while the impact of starboard side wind is larger for large ships than for small ships. The impact of current on the speed over ground is larger on small ships than large ships, and least on medium ships. The analysis results could assist the port authority in pre-dicting ship traffic in different situations, and be used in the development of a new maritime traffic model to simulate ship behavior while considering the external navigational factors. ...