Luca Bugliaro
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2 records found
1
Contrails – thin ice clouds formed by aircraft – are a major contributor to aviation-induced climate forcing, yet their observational characterization remains limited. We present a manually labeled contrail dataset derived from observations of the Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) SEVIRI instrument over Europe and the North Atlantic, comprising 140 scenes of 256 × 256 pixels at 3 km nominal resolution. The dataset covers the time period in which Meteosat-10 was the operational satellite (from January 2013 through February 2018 and from March 2023 through March 2024) and scenes are distributed randomly over the whole SEVIRI disk. Each scene was independently annotated by three labelers, with ground truth established via majority consensus. To provide additional context, the dataset includes outputs from two satellite retrievals: CiPS (Cirrus Properties from SEVIRI) and ProPS (Probabilistic Cloud Top Phase retrieval), offering information on cloud cover and cloud top phase, cirrus probability, ice optical thickness, and ice cloud top height. These complementary variables enable detailed investigations, such as factors influencing contrail visibility. The dataset supports analyses of contrail detection, contrail characteristics, cloud-contrail interactions, and environmental conditions affecting detection. By providing high-quality labeled data with auxiliary cloud information, this resource facilitates the development and evaluation of contrail studies, contributes to improved understanding of aviation-related cloud effects, and informs strategies for climate impact mitigation.
While carbon dioxide emissions from aviation often dominate climate change discussions, non-CO2 effects such as contrails and contrail cirrus must also be considered. Despite varying estimates of their radiative forcing, avoiding contrails is a reasonable strategy for reducing aviation’s climate effects. This study examines temperature and humidity, key atmospheric parameters for contrail formation, across different ECHAM/MESSy (European Centre Hamburg General Circulation Model/Modular Earth Submodel System) Atmospheric Chemistry (EMAC) model setups. EMAC, a general circulation model, is evaluated with various vertical resolutions and two nudging methods across seven specified dynamics setups. A higher vertical resolution aims to capture steep water vapour gradients near the tropopause, crucial for accurate contrail prediction. Comparisons with reanalysis data (March–April 2014) indicate a systematic cold bias (approximately 3–5 K in mid-latitudes), particularly in setups without mean temperature nudging. In the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere, all simulations exhibit a wet bias, while lower altitudes display a dry bias, both affecting contrail formation estimates. Point-by-point comparisons along aircraft trajectories confirm similar biases. Sensitivity experiments with varying thresholds of relative humidity over ice illustrate trade-offs between achieving high hit rates and minimising false alarms in contrail detection. A single-day case study integrating aircraft and satellite observations demonstrates that EMAC’s predicted contrail coverage aligns well with the observed formation. These results suggest that, despite existing temperature and humidity biases, EMAC generally captures regions favourable for contrail formation across diverse atmospheric conditions. Addressing model biases by refining temperature and humidity representation could significantly improve contrail prediction accuracy, strengthening contrail-avoidance strategies and supporting climate-optimised flight routing to mitigate aviation’s overall climate effect.