Improving Local Weather Observations through Diffusion Model

Master Thesis (2025)
Author(s)

H. Liu (TU Delft - Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science)

Contributor(s)

Hanne Kekkonen – Mentor (TU Delft - Statistics)

Jing Sun – Mentor (TU Delft - Pattern Recognition and Bioinformatics)

Alexander Heinlein – Graduation committee member (TU Delft - Numerical Analysis)

Remco Verzijlbergh – Mentor (Whiffle)

Faculty
Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science
More Info
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Publication Year
2025
Language
English
Graduation Date
26-05-2025
Awarding Institution
Delft University of Technology
Programme
['Applied Mathematics']
Faculty
Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science
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Abstract

Reconstructing high-resolution wind fields from sparse, low-resolution observations is a critical yet ill-posed problem in meteorological modeling. Classical approaches, such as Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD), are often too computationally intensive to meet the demands of real- time or large-scale industrial applications. Meanwhile, conventional data-driven methods like Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) tend to produce overly smoothed outputs and struggle to recover fine-scale structures, especially under severe data sparsity.
This thesis explores the use of diffusion-based generative models for super-resolution in wind field reconstruction. A progressive SR3 (Super-Resolution via Repeated Refinement) frame- work is developed, combining a multi-stage architecture with stochastic denoising processes to gradually reconstruct high-resolution outputs. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the progressive SR3 consistently outperforms CNN-based baselines in terms of reconstruction accur- acy, perceptual quality, and robustness. Furthermore, a joint training strategy improves both performance and computational efficiency by enabling end-to-end optimization across stages.
The findings support the use of probabilistic diffusion models for meteorological super-resolution tasks and emphasize the effectiveness of progressive refinement in handling large upscaling factors. This approach provides a promising pathway for enhancing data-driven post-processing in atmospheric modeling.

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