Comparative analysis of design criteria for hybrid photovoltaic/wind/battery systems

Journal Article (2017)
Author(s)

P.P. Vergara Barrios (University of Campinas)

Juan M. Rey (Industrial University of Santander)

Luiz da Silva (University of Campinas)

Gabriel Ordóñez (Industrial University of Santander)

Affiliation
External organisation
DOI related publication
https://doi.org/10.1049/iet-rpg.2016.0250
More Info
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Publication Year
2017
Language
English
Affiliation
External organisation
Issue number
3
Volume number
11
Pages (from-to)
253-261

Abstract

Reliability analyses are essential for the design of hybrid photovoltaic/wind/battery systems. The selection of design criteria is an important task and has to ensure proper reliability and optimal configuration. In the literature, loss of power supply probability (LPSP) and loss of load hours (LOLH) are the most common reliability criteria used for this matter. This study presents a comparative analysis on LPSP and LOLH design criteria based on a Monte Carlo simulation, taking into consideration uncertainties in the variables involved in the design process. Moreover, two new statistical design criteria are proposed, aiming to avoid over-sizing of the optimal configuration. According to the obtained results, LOLH is a stricter design criterion compared with LPSP, leading to a more reliable energy system. In addition, the optimal configuration selected by using the proposed statistical design criteria showed better performance when compared with the solution based on LPSP or LOLH.

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