ProtFI, an efficient frailty-trained proteomics-based biomarker of aging, robustly predicts age-related decline
Swier Garst (TU Delft - Pattern Recognition and Bioinformatics, Leiden University Medical Center)
Lieke Kuiper (Rijksinstituut voor Volksgezondheid en Milieu (RIVM), TU Delft - Pattern Recognition and Bioinformatics, Erasmus MC)
Erik van den Akker (TU Delft - Pattern Recognition and Bioinformatics, Leiden University Medical Center)
Niels van den Berg (Leiden University Medical Center)
Mohsen Ghanbari (Erasmus MC)
Simon Mooijaart (Leiden University Medical Center)
Marian Beekman (Leiden University Medical Center)
Marcel Reinders (TU Delft - Pattern Recognition and Bioinformatics)
P. Eline Slagboom (Leiden University Medical Center)
Joyce van Meurs (Erasmus MC)
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Abstract
Many molecular aging biomarkers have been developed to capture heterogeneity in individual aging rates. Yet, systematic comparison of the modeling choices underlying these biomarkers has been limited. In this study, we trained aging biomarkers on the Rockwood frailty index (FI) and all-cause mortality using UK Biobank Olink proteomics and metabolomics (1H-NMR) data (n = 40,696). We systematically established the impact of model choice, target outcome, and molecular data source on several age-related outcomes. From this, we developed two aging biomarkers, ProteinFrailty (ProtFI) and ProteinMortality (ProtMort), which are both ElasticNet models that use a minimal set of proteins to predict FI and mortality, respectively. In particular, ProtFI outperformed established aging biomarkers in relation to diverse outcomes, including incident cardiovascular disease, handgrip strength, and self-rated health, both in internal validation and two Dutch external cohorts (n = 995, n = 500). Our findings show that an efficient frailty-trained proteomic biomarker robustly predicts age-related decline.