Polder pumping-station for the future

Polder pumping-station for the future: designing and retrofitting infrastructure systems under structural uncertainty

Timmermans, Jos (TU Delft Policy Analysis)
van Druten, Emiel (Witteveen+Bos)
Wauben, Marcel (Witteveen+Bos)
Kwakkel, J.H. (TU Delft Policy Analysis)

2020

In designing and retrofitting infrastructure systems, engineers are increasingly confronted by uncertainties about the future operating conditions of these systems, stemming from climate change or rapid socio-economic development. Particularly for long-lived capital-intensive infrastructure components like pumping stations, current engineering practices need to be complemented by structured approaches for designing infrastructures whose performance is robust to a wide range of possible future operating conditions. This paper presents multi-objective robust simulation as a viable approach. We investigate its applicability in a case study of the re-design of a polder pumping-station in The Netherlands. The research demonstrates the added value of multi-objective robust simulation in establishing robust design alternatives. The approach generates additional decision relevant insights into the performance of the pumping-station under uncertain future conditions while supplying decision-makers with the information required to make informed trade-offs amongst key design choices.

Climate adaptation
deep uncertainty
infrastructure
pumping station
robust decision making

http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:9f3c9f60-dfa8-4dcf-8a54-00d2ba50831c

https://doi.org/10.1080/23789689.2020.1762402

2020-12-17

2378-9689

Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure, 7 (3), 222-238

Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository ‘You share, we take care!’ – Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-care Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.

Institutional Repository

journal article

© 2020 Jos Timmermans, Emiel van Druten, Marcel Wauben, J.H. Kwakkel