document

Time-dependent earthquake-fire coupling fragility analysis under limited prior knowledge: A perspective from type-2 fuzzy probability

Men, Jinkun (author), Chen, Guohua (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author)

Earthquake-triggered fire domino scenarios (E-FDSs) arise frequently from the interaction between earthquakes and chemical installations, resulting in catastrophic multi-hazard coupling events. The complicated mutually amplified phenomena between natural disasters and chemical accidents significantly aggravates the escalation of domino...

journal article 2024

document

Experimental and numerical study on earthquake-fire coupling failure mechanism of steel cylindrical tanks

Men, Jinkun (author), Chen, Guohua (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author), Wu, Yue (author), Huang, Hailing (author)

An earthquake-triggered fire domino scenario (E-FDS) is an example of a typical multi-hazard coupling event. The seismic damage can affect the fire resistance of engineering structures, leading to significant mutually amplified phenomena. In this work, a two-stage experimental program is designed to expound the earthquake-fire coupling...

journal article 2024

document

An agent-based resilience model of oil tank farms exposed to earthquakes

Tan, Xinxin (author), Xiao, Shenbin (author), Yang, Yu (author), Khakzad, Nima (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author), Chen, Chao (author)

Frequent unpredictable earthquake disasters such as the Turkey Earthquake in 2023 pose an increasing threat to oil tank farms since they may trigger major accidents and domino effects, resulting in casualties, economic losses, and environmental pollution. Unpredictable earthquakes are definitely difficult to prevent and thus resilience...

journal article 2024

document

Buckling failure analysis of storage tanks under the synergistic effects of fire and wind loads

Chen, Chao (author), Chen, Hang (author), Mo, Li (author), Xiao, Shenbin (author), Li, Changjun (author), Yang, M. (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author)

Fire-induced domino effect is one of the main threats to hazardous material storage tanks, and many attempts have been conducted to assess the vulnerability of storage tanks exposed to fire to evaluate domino effect risk. However, past research ignored the influence of wind load on the thermal buckling behavior of storage tanks exposed to...

journal article 2024

document

Resilience assessment of chemical industrial areas during Natech-related cascading multi-hazards

Zeng, Tao (author), Chen, Guohua (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author), Hu, Kun (author)

In chemical industrial areas, technological accidents triggered by natural events (Natech events) may escalate. Complex cascading multi-hazard scenarios with high uncertainties may be caused. Resilience is an essential property of a system to withstand and recover from disruptive events. The present study focuses on the change of the resilience...

journal article 2023

document

A hybrid deep belief network-based label distribution learning system for seismic damage estimation of liquid storage tanks

Men, Jinkun (author), Chen, Guohua (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author), Rao, Xiaohui (author), Zeng, Tao (author)

Liquid storage tanks play a vital role in the modern chemical process industry (CPI). The strong ground motion caused by large-scale earthquakes may easily impose severe structural damage on liquid storage tanks, leading to a series of catastrophic cascaded events. The seismic damage estimation of liquid storage tanks is a challenging problem,...

journal article 2023

document

An integrated EDIB model for probabilistic risk analysis of natural gas pipeline leakage accidents

Chen, Xing lin (author), Lin, Wei dong (author), Liu, Chun xiang (author), Yang, Fu qiang (author), Guo, Yong (author), Li, Xin (author), Yuan, S. (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author)

Natural gas pipeline construction is developing rapidly worldwide to meet the needs of international and domestic energy transportation. Meanwhile, leakage accidents occur to natural gas pipelines frequently due to mechanical failure, personal operation errors, etc., and induce huge economic property loss, environmental damages, and even...

journal article 2023

document

Why do major chemical accidents still happen in China: Analysis from a process safety management perspective

Bai, Mingqi (author), Qi, Meng (author), Shu, Chi Min (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author), Khan, Faisal (author), Chen, Chao (author), Liu, Yi (author)

As an important consideration in the chemical industry, chemical process safety has received notable attention in China. However, catastrophic chemical accidents still occur. To better understand why accidents continue to occur, this paper presented a diagnostic analysis of 14 major chemical accidents in China from 2012 to 2022 based on...

journal article 2023

document

Optimization of firefighting strategies in process plants with emphasis on domino effects and safe evacuation

Khakzad, Nima (author), Chen, Chao (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author), Amyotte, Paul (author)

Effective firefighting and evacuation are integral parts of emergency response plans in process plants, which play a key role in protecting human lives and assets in the event of major fires. Given sufficient firefighting resources, firefighters would suppress all the burning vessels and cool off all the exposed vessels in order to contain the...

journal article 2023

document

Uncertainties and their treatment in the quantitative risk assessment of domino effects: Classification and review

Xu, Y. (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author), Yang, M. (author), Yuan, S. (author), Chen, Chao (author)

Domino accidents are typical low-frequency and high-consequence events in chemical process industries. Applying quantitative risk assessment (QRA) in domino accident assessment is challenging due to the uncertainties in the escalation process. Meanwhile, the outcomes of QRA are subject to a certain degree of unreliability due to the...

journal article 2023

document

Safety barriers in the chemical process industries: A state-of-the-art review on their classification, assessment, and management

Yuan, S. (author), Yang, M. (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author), Chen, C. (author), Wu, Jiansong (author)

Barriers are used in various forms to assure the safety of chemical plants. A deep understanding of the literature related to safety barriers is essential to tackle the challenges in improving their design and management. This paper first provides an overview of the history of the development of the safety barrier concept. Subsequently, this...

journal article 2022

document

An event-driven probabilistic methodology for modeling the spatial-temporal evolution of natural hazard-induced domino chain in chemical industrial parks

Men, Jinkun (author), Chen, Guohua (author), Yang, Yunfeng (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author)

Natural hazards may rapidly lead to a massive domino chain in chemical industrial parks (CIPs). This work develops a high-efficiency and systematic analytical framework that is applicable to a broad range of uncertain and time-varying factors related to the evolution process of natural hazard-induced domino chain (NHDC). Specifically, the...

journal article 2022

document

Developing a barrier management framework for dealing with Natech domino effects and increasing chemical cluster resilience

Zeng, Tao (author), Chen, Guohua (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author), Men, Jinkun (author)

A domino effect triggered by a natural event (a so-called Natech domino effect) represents a typical high-impact low-probability (HILP) event, which may lead to catastrophic consequences. The presence of safety barriers could have an impact on the effects by impeding propagation patterns and mitigating potential consequences. However,...

journal article 2022

document

Safety barrier performance assessment by integrating computational fluid dynamics and evacuation modeling for toxic gas leakage scenarios

Yuan, S. (author), Cai, Jitao (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author), Yang, M. (author), Chen, Chao (author), Wu, Jiansong (author)

Toxic gas leakage represents a type of major process accident scenario threatening human life. Technical and non-technical safety barriers are employed to prevent toxic gas leakage accidents or mitigate the possible catastrophic consequences. Evacuation must be executed in severe toxic gas release scenarios. The performance assessment of...

journal article 2022

document

Coping with Flood Natech Events: A Safety Framework to Make Chemical Clusters More Resilient

Zeng, Tao (author), Chen, Guohua (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author)

Industrial accidents triggered by natural disasters (Natech events) pose huge threats to chemical clusters. Flood is a significant cause of Natech events, the interactions between flood and chemical installations may lead to complex accident scenarios. However, the chemical clusters are often not well prepared for flood Natech events due to the...

journal article 2022

document

An Exploratory Study on Uncertainty Analysis in Quantitative Risk Assessment of Domino Effects

Xu, Y. (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author), Yang, M. (author), Yuan, S. (author), Chen, C. (author)

Data uncertainties caused by the lack of knowledge and nature variation or randomness present vital challenges to domino effects modelling. To improve the assessment of the propagation probabilities and consequences of the domino-effect accidents, the influence of various types of uncertainties on risk assessment results needs to be investigated...

journal article 2022

document

An Approach for Identification of Integrated Safety and Security Barriers in the Chemical Process Industries

Yuan, S. (author), Yang, M. (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author), Chen, C. (author)

Chemical process industries are threatened with accidental and intentional adverse events because of the storage and operation of large quantities of hazardous substances. Safety and security barriers play important roles in protecting the chemical plants from safety and security-related undesired events and mitigating the potentially...

journal article 2022

document

An evaluation of the information literacy of safety professionals

Guo, Y. (author), Tao, Jing (author), Yang, F. (author), Chen, C. (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author)

Information literacy has gradually become one of the necessary qualities in current and future safety practices. The calculation and assessment of information literacy of safety professionals is an effective way to understand their information literacy level. This paper, therefore, aims to evaluate the information literacy level of safety...

journal article 2022

document

A dynamic stochastic methodology for quantifying HAZMAT storage resilience

Chen, C. (author), Yang, M. (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author)

A disruption to hazardous (flammable, explosive, and toxic) material (HAZMAT) storage plants may trigger escalation effects, resulting in more severe storage performance losses and making the performance restoration more difficult. The disruption, such as an intentional attack, may be difficult to predict and prevent, thus developing a...

journal article 2021

document

Safety and security of oil and gas pipeline transportation: A systematic analysis of research trends and future needs using WoS

Chen, C. (author), Li, Changjun (author), Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (author), Yang, F. (author)

The terrorist attack on the Abqaiq oil plant in Saudi Arabia on September 14, 2019 attracted global attention to the significant role of safety and security in the sustainable oil and gas supply chain and the vulnerability of supply infrastructures subject to intentional and unintentional damages. Different from other oil and gas supply...

journal article 2021