Verification of obstacle accountability areas using a simple mathematical model: part I: description of general model and application for a specific case

A probabilistic model is described for the lateral displacement of an aircraft after the occurrence of an engine failure during take-off. With the model, a lateral boundary is calculated, for any point of time after the engine failure, such that the probability of being within the (two sided) lateral boundary meets a specified value. Various...

Historical development of collision risk models for en-route air traffic

This lecture reviews the model studies that were made with the object to reduce en-route separation standards. It also describes the basic principles of the Reich model used in most of these studies and of the Minimum Navigation Performance Specification (MNPS). Paper presented at the Princeton University Conference 155, "Safety Issues in Air...