Simulating Dynamics of Institutions

In society, institutions are the foundation that governs human behaviour through rules, norms, and regulations. The actions and interactions of individuals are shaped by these institutions, forming a cyclic system with numerous parameters and factors. Altering any of these factors, triggers the entire system to transition into a new state that...

Modelling Human-Flood Interactions: A Coupled Flood-Agent-Institution Modelling Framework for Long-term Flood Risk Management

The negative impacts of floods are attributed to the extent and magnitude of a flood hazard, and the vulnerability and exposure of natural and human elements. In flood risk management (FRM) studies, it is crucial to model the interaction between human and flood subsystems across multiple spatial, temporal and organizational scales. Models should...

Value conflicts in energy systems

This thesis introduces an approach to support the long-term social acceptance of energy systems by addressing value conflicts embedded in regulatory and technical designs. When designing energy systems, the realisation of some values can conflict with the realisation of other values. The decision to deploy energy systems therefore inevitably...

Multimodal Transportation Simulation for Emergencies using the Link Transmission Model

Emergencies disrupting urban transportation systems cause management problems for authorities. This thesis develops simulation methods that permit analysis thereof and evaluation of candidate management plans, tested in three case studies. It formulates a methodological framework using agent-based choice models and multimodal macroscopic dynamic...

National Renewable Policies in an International Electricity Market: A Socio-Technical Study

The current regulatory framework under which the support schemes for Renewable energy sources specifically for electricity (RES-E) operate, is provided for by the Directive 2009/28/EC. It sets a 20% target for energy consumption, while relying on legally binding, national targets until 2020. The goal to promote RES-E, in the European context,...

Resilient Industrial Systems: A Complex System Perspective to Support Business Decisions

Industrial systems increasingly need to become more resilient to developments in their environment. To take the right decisions and improve their resilience, those companies need insight into the effects of resilience-enhancing actions. A substantial part of those actions' effects follow from the adaptation of the focal company's environment in...

Security of supply during the energy transition: The role of capacity mechanisms

The push for clean energy has caused a rapid growth of renewables in the electricity supply mix of the EU. Although one would assume that the impact of these technologies is entirely positive, recent research and experience indicate that there is reason for concern namely regarding the security of supply. In this context, the concern is how...

On the Potential to Manage a Transition to Sustainability in the Westland

The Westland-Oostland Greenport is a large Dutch industrial cluster that is economically, socially and culturally important. Like many industries and regions, the greenport is facing serious challenges as a result of globalisation, energy supplies, and greenhouse gas emissions. These challenges can be understood as sustainability issues that...

Interactions between carbon and power markets in transition

In this research, several improvements to the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) were analysed. The EU ETS is a market for emission allowances and the European Union's main instrument for reducing greenhouse gas emissions (of which CO2 is the main component). However, the CO2 allowance price in this market has been highly volatile...

Structuring Socio-technical Complexity: Modelling Agent Systems using Institutional Analysis

Socio-technical systems consist of many heterogeneous decision making entities and technological artefacts. These systems are governed through public policy that unravels in a multi-scale institutional context, which ranges from norms and values to technical standards. Simulation, agent-based modelling and simulation (ABMS) in particular, is an...

Images of cooperation: A methodological exploration in energy networks

To ensure dependable, affordable, and sustainable use of energy, stakeholders in energy production, distribution, and consumption are increasingly seeking for cooperation. They aim to jointly tackle large energy projects in an environmental context that is changing at an increasing rate, towards increasing complexity. Cooperation is seen as a...

Capturing socio-technical systems with agent-based modelling

What is a suitable modelling approach for socio-technical systems? The answer to this question is of great importance to decision makers in large scale interconnected network systems. The behaviour of these systems is determined by many actors, situated in a dynamic, multi-actor, multi-objective and multi-level jungle. Models to support such an...