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Lepot, M.J. (author), Aubin, Jean Baptiste (author), Clemens, F.H.L.R. (author)
A thorough review has been performed on interpolation methods to fill gaps in time-series, efficiency criteria, and uncertainty quantifications. On one hand, there are numerous available methods: interpolation, regression, autoregressive, machine learning methods, etc. On the other hand, there are many methods and criteria to estimate...
journal article 2017
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Kaniewski, J. (author), Wehner, S.D.C. (author)
The goal of two-party cryptography is to enable two parties, Alice and Bob, to solve common tasks without the need for mutual trust. Examples of such tasks are private access to a database, and secure identification. Quantum communication enables security for all of these problems in the noisy-storage model by sending more signals than the...
journal article 2016
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Mouter, N. (author), Holleman, M. (author), Calvert, S.C. (author), Annema, J.A. (author)
An important limitation of Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) is the inherent uncertainty in estimations of future welfare effects. In this paper, we argue that consideration of the ‘price-quality’ dilemma and the ‘communication’ dilemma is useful to explain and improve the handling of uncertainty in CBA. The ‘price-quality’ dilemma refers to the trade...
journal article 2015
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Qian, K. (author), Chan, E.H.W. (author), Khalid, A.G. (author)
Delivering green building (GB) projects involve some activities that are atypical in comparison with conventional buildings. Such new activities are characterized by uncertainty, and they incur hidden costs that have not been expected nor are they readily appreciated among the stakeholders. This paper develops a typology and chronology to...
journal article 2015
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Haasnoot, M. (author), Van Deursen, W.P.A. (author), Guillaume, J.H.A. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Van Beek, E. (author), Middelkoop, H. (author)
Exploring adaptation pathways is an emerging approach for supporting decision making under uncertain changing conditions. An adaptation pathway is a sequence of policy actions to reach specified objectives. To develop adaptation pathways, interactions between environment and policy response need to be analysed over time for an ensemble of...
journal article 2014
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Melese, Y.G. (author), Heijnen, P.W. (author), Stikkelman, R.M. (author)
Development of networked energy infrastructures (like gas pipe networks), generally requires a significant amount of capital investment under resources, market and institutional uncertainties. Several independent suppliers and consumers are to be connected into these networks. However, the actual commitment of these parties and the capacities...
journal article 2014
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Pande, S. (author)
Quantile hydrologic model selection and structure deficiency assessment is applied in three case studies. The performance of quantile model selection problem is rigorously evaluated using a model structure on the French Broad river basin data set. The case study shows that quantile model selection encompasses model selection strategies based on...
journal article 2013
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Pande, S. (author)
A theory for quantile based hydrologic model selection and model structure deficiency assessment is presented. The paper demonstrates that the degree to which a model selection problem is constrained by the model structure (measured by the Lagrange multipliers of the constraints) quantifies structural deficiency. This leads to a formal...
journal article 2013
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Haasnoot, M. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Walker, W.E. (author), Ter Maat, J. (author)
A new paradigm for planning under conditions of deep uncertainty has emerged in the literature. According to this paradigm, a planner should create a strategic vision of the future, commit to short-term actions, and establish a framework to guide future actions. A plan that embodies these ideas allows for its dynamic adaptation over time to meet...
journal article 2013
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Wiebenga, J.H. (author), Van den Boorgaard, A.H. (author), Klaseboer, G. (author)
The coupling of finite element simulations to mathematical optimization techniques has contributed significantly to product improvements and cost reductions in the metal forming industries. The next challenge is to bridge the gap between deterministic optimization techniques and the industrial need for robustness. This paper introduces a...
journal article 2012
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Rijcken, T. (author), Stijnen, J. (author), Slootjes, N. (author)
The Dutch Delta Program is currently developing new government policies for flood protection and fresh water supply. Decision support instruments have to address the program’s technical and political complexity. The water system functions are highly interwoven and would benefit from an integrated approach on a national level, with decisions...
journal article 2012
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Yao, W. (author), Chen, X. (author), Zhao, Y. (author), Van Tooren, M.J.L. (author)
To comprehensively assess fractionated spacecraft, an assessment tool is developed based on lifecycle simulation under uncertainty driven by modular evolutionary stochastic models. First, fractionated spacecraft nomenclature and architecture are clarified, and assessment criteria are analyzed. The mean and standard deviation of risk adjusted...
journal article 2012
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Taneja, P. (author), Ligteringen, H. (author), Walker, W.E. (author)
Recently, flexibility has received much attention from port researchers, designers, and managers. This is because the stability of the competitive environment of the past has been replaced by increasing uncertainty. The current economic crisis and the recent trends in ports and shipping sectors are causing port planners to rethink their approach...
journal article 2012
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Bijlsma, R.M. (author), Bots, P.W.G. (author), Wolters, H.A. (author), Hoekstra, A.Y. (author)
Stakeholder participation is advocated widely, but there is little structured, empirical research into its influence on policy development. We aim to further the insight into the characteristics of participatory policy development by comparing it to expert-based policy development for the same case. We describe the process of problem framing and...
journal article 2011
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Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Walker, W.E. (author), Marchau, V.A.W.J. (author)
Airport Strategic Planning (ASP) focuses on the development of plans for the long-term development of an airport. The dominant approach for ASP is Airport Master Planning (AMP). The goal of AMP is to provide a detailed blueprint for how the airport should look in the future, and how it can get there. Since a Master Plan is a static detailed...
journal article 2010
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Leijten, M. (author), Koppenjan, J.F.M. (author), Ten Heuvelhof, E.F. (author), Veeneman, W.W. (author), Van der Voort, H.G. (author)
Due to the uncertainty involved in many complex infrastructure engineering projects, it is not always possible for managers to establish detailed terms of reference at the departure. Although the flexibility of ‘open’ terms of reference is often indispensible, it makes the arrival at a successful outcome much of a gamble. Complex infrastructure...
journal article 2010
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Bouarfa, L. (author), Jonker, P.P. (author), Dankelman, J. (author)
Recognizing and understanding surgical high-level tasks from sensor readings is important for surgical workflow analysis. Surgical high-level task recognition is also a challenging task in ubiquitous computing because of the inherent uncertainty of sensor data and the complexity of the operating room environment. In this paper, we present a...
journal article 2010
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Marchau, V. (author), Walker, W. (author), Van Duin, R. (author)
Urban transport is facing an increasing number of problems. Innovative technological solutions have been proposed for many of these problems. The implementation of these solutions, however, is surrounded by many uncertainties—for example, future relevant developments for urban transport demand and supply, the possible consequences of these...
journal article 2009
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Walker, W.E. (author), Harremoës, P. (author), Rotmans, J. (author), Van der Sluijs, J.P. (author), Van Asselt, M.B.A. (author), Janssen, P. (author), Krayer von Krauss, M.P. (author)
The aim of this paper is to provide a conceptual basis for the systematic treatment of uncertainty in model-based decision support activities such as policy analysis, integrated assessment and risk assessment. It focuses on the uncertainty perceived from the point of view of those providing information to support policy decisions (i.e., the...
journal article 2003
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Klunder, G. (author), Van Nunen, H. (author)
journal article 2003
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