We designed a fast procedure to detect the nitrogen oxides (NO_x) sources in the China North Plain and to estimate their NO_x emissions through a two-dimensional Gaussian fitting method applied to averaged Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) observations of nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) column concentration. The Northern China Plain is a region that has one of the highest densities of anthropogenic NO_x sources in the world and therefore the sources are difficult to distinguish. With our procedure we still found 94 individual NO_x emission sources. Of these sources Tangshan city has the strongest NOx emission rate (92 Gg N year^—1), while the weakest that we are still able to detect is Zhangjiakou city, with a NO_x emission rate of 0.4 Gg N year^—1. Using the fitting results, we reconstruct the NO₂ column concentration distribution map, which matches the OMI observations with an R² = 0.85 and a slope of 0.78. The derived NO_x emission rates for cities and provinces level show good agreement with former studies.

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Chemical transport models together with emission inventories are widely used to simulate NO2 concentrations over China, but validation of the simulations with in situ measurements has been extremely limited. Here we use ground measurements obtained from the air quality monitoring network recently developed by the Ministry of Environmental Protection of China to validate modeling surface NO2 concentrations from the CHIMERE regional chemical transport model driven by the satellite-derived DECSO and the bottom-up MIX emission inventories. We applied a correction factor to the observations to account for the interferences of other oxidized nitrogen compounds (NOz), based on the modeled ratio of NO2 to NOz. The model accurately reproduces the spatial variability in NO2 from in situ measurements, with a spatial correlation coefficient of over 0.7 for simulations based on both inventories. A negative and positive bias is found for the simulation with the DECSO (slope= 0.74 and 0.64 for the daily mean and daytime only) and the MIX (slope= 1.3 and 1.1) inventories, respectively, suggesting an underestimation and overestimation of NOx emissions from corresponding inventories. The bias between observed and modeled concentrations is reduced, with the slope dropping from 1.3 to 1.0 when the spatial distribution of NOx emissions in the DECSO inventory is applied as the spatial proxy for the MIX inventory, which suggests an improvement of the distribution of emissions between urban and suburban or rural areas in the DECSO inventory compared to that used in the bottom-up inventory. A rough estimate indicates that the observed concentrations, from sites predominantly placed in the populated urban areas, may be 10-40 % higher than the corresponding model grid cell mean. This reduces the estimate of the negative bias of the DECSO-based simulation to the range of -30 to 0 % on average and more firmly establishes that the MIX inventory is biased high over major cities. The performance of the model is comparable over seasons, with a slightly worse spatial correlation in summer due to the difficulties in resolving the more active NOx photochemistry and larger concentration gradients in summer by the model. In addition, the model well captures the daytime diurnal cycle but shows more significant disagreement between simulations and measurements during nighttime, which likely produces a positive model bias of about 15 % in the daily mean concentrations. This is most likely related to the uncertainty in vertical mixing in the model at night.

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By applying an inversion algorithm to NO_x satellite observations from Ozone Monitoring Instrument, monthly NO_x emissions for a 10 year period (2007 to 2016) over Chinese seas are presented for the first time. No effective regulations on NO_x emissions have been implemented for ships in China, which is reflected in the trend analysis of maritime emissions. The maritime emissions display a continuous increase rate of about 20% per year until 2012 and slow down to 3% after that. The seasonal cycle of shipping emissions has regional variations, but all regions show lower emissions during winter. Simulations by an atmospheric chemistry transport model show a notable influence of maritime emissions on air pollution over coastal areas, especially in summer. The satellite-derived spatial distribution and the magnitude of maritime emissions over Chinese seas are in good agreement with bottom-up studies based on the Automatic Identification System of ships.

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Nitrogen oxides (NOx) are important air pollutants and play a crucial role in climate change. NOx emissions are important for chemical transport models to simulate and forecast air quality. Up-to-date emission information also helps policymakers to mitigate air pollution. In this thesis, we have focused on providing better NOx emission estimates with the DECSO (Daily Emission estimates Constrained by Satellite Observations) inversion algorithm applied to satellite observations. DECSO is a fast algorithm, which enables daily emissions estimates as soon as the satellite observations are available. Satellite-derived emissions reveal more specific information on the location and strength of sources than concentration observations. The monthly and yearly variability in emissions are well captured. This is demonstrated by our monitoring of the effect of air quality regulations on emissions during events like the 2014 Youth Olympic Games. Near the Chinese coast ship tracks, which are otherwise hidden under the outflow of air pollution from the mainland, are revealed in our NOx emissions derived with DECSO applied to OMI satellite observations. Trends of shipping emissions for a 10-year period (2007 to 2016) over Chinese seas are presented for the first time. @en

We compare nine emission inventories of nitrogen oxides including four satellite-derived NO_x inventories and the following bottom-up inventories for East Asia: REAS (Regional Emission inventory in ASia), MEIC (Multiresolution Emission Inventory for China), CAPSS (Clean Air Policy Support System) and EDGAR (Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research). Two of the satellitederived inventories are estimated by using the DECSO (Daily Emission derived Constrained by Satellite Observations) algorithm, which is based on an extended Kalman filter applied to observations from OMI or from GOME-2. The other two are derived with the EnKF algorithm, which is based on an ensemble Kalman filter applied to observations of multiple species using either the chemical transport model CHASER and MIROC-chem. The temporal behaviour and spatial distribution of the inventories are compared on a national and regional scale. A distinction is also made between urban and rural areas. The intercomparison of all inventories shows good agreement in total NO_x emissions over mainland China, especially for trends, with an average bias of about 20% for yearly emissions. All the inventories show the typical emission reduction of 10% during the Chinese New Year and a peak in December. Satellite-derived approaches using OMI show a summer peak due to strong emissions from soil and biomass burning in this season. Biases in NO_x emissions and uncertainties in temporal variability increase quickly when the spatial scale decreases. The analyses of the differences show the importance of using observations from multiple instruments and a high spatial resolution model for the satellite-derived inventories, while for bottom-up inventories, accurate emission factors and activity information are required. The advantage of the satellite-derived approach is that the emissions are soon available after observation, while the strength of the bottom-up inventories is that they include detailed information of emissions for each source category.

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We improve the emission estimate algorithm DECSO (Daily Emission estimates Constrained by Satellite Observations) to better detect NO_x emissions over remote areas. The new version is referred to as DECSO v5. The error covariance of the sensitivity of NO₂ column observations to gridded NO_x emissions has been better characterized. This reduces the background noise of emission estimates by a factor of 10. An emission update constraint has been added to avoid unrealistic day-to-day fluctuations of emissions. We estimate total NO_x emissions, which include biogenic emissions that often drive the seasonal cycle of the NO_x emissions. We demonstrate the improvements implemented in DECSO v5 for the domain of East Asia in the year 2012 and 2013. The emissions derived by DECSO v5 are in good agreement with other inventories like MIX. In addition, the improved algorithm is able to better capture the seasonality of NO_x emissions and for the first time it reveals ship tracks near the Chinese coasts that are otherwise hidden by the outflow of NO₂ from the Chinese mainland. The precision of monthly emissions derived by DECSO v5 for each grid cell is about 20%.

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