The Roswinkel gas field in the northeastern part of the Netherlands has been in production between 1980 and 2005. Located at about 2100 m depth, it is a severely faulted anticlinal structure, constituting up to 30 reservoir compartments. Due to the complicated nature of this field, there are large uncertainties in both the fault transmissibilities and the strength of the connected aquifer. Consequently, there is a possibility of undepleted compartments in the reservoir.

Pressure depletion due to gas production results in compaction of the reservoir sandstones leading to surface subsidence. The gas production in Roswinkel has induced subsidence of approximately 17 cm above the centre of the field. The subsidence at any point on the surface is a result of compaction over a large area within the reservoir.

We estimated the compaction in the reservoir using subsidence data in order to reduce the uncertainties in fault transmissibility and aquifer connection. We employed a previously developed Bayesian inversion method in which prior knowledge is combined with observations. The prior knowledge on the compaction and the associated uncertainties were generated by Monte Carlo simulations of the reservoir in which the fault transmissibilities were varied. In the mean time the geological reality was maintained and the production history was honored. The average prior compaction field is a relatively smooth field extending well into the aquifer, with a typical uncertainty of 40%.

Our inversion results show a reservoir in which certain large faults are dividing the reservoir in compartments containing different pressure histories. Furthermore, the aquifer activity appeared to be much weaker than the average prior knowledge suggested. The posterior uncertainty of the compaction levels was reduced to about 10%. Our study demonstrates that a carefully executed inversion exercise can considerably reduce uncertainties, thus giving scope for the identification of undepleted compartments in the reservoir.