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Raphael D.J.M. Steenbergen

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14 records found

Conference paper (2026) - Jelle Knibbe, Raphaël Steenbergen, Pieter van Gelder, Amir Pooyan Afghari
The reliability of engineering structures in the built environment is of crucial importance for society. However, improving structural safety by building more robust structures also increases their monetary cost and environmental burden. This represents a trade-off between different aspects of sustainability, which is not fully considered in current literature and building codes such as ISO2394 and EN1990. To address this, a novel framework is proposed to establish target reliabilities for structures, taking broad sustainability into account. This paper focuses on finding an acceptable failure probability value based on reaching a sufficient relative investment in life safety improvement. In current literature, this investment is quantified using a function for the lifetime monetary costs of structural safety, discounted to their net present value, without consideration of environmental effects. As part of the new framework, this paper proposes taking harmful emissions into account through a shadow-costing scheme, thereby establishing an augmented cost function and accompanying criterion for sufficient safety investment. This proposed approach is tested on a typical structural design case study, where the augmented and conventional approaches have been compared. The augmented approach yields an acceptable failure probability around 50% larger than the conventional approach, though the difference is sensitive to the utilised shadow price of emissions. In general, the acceptable reliability of a structure is also sensitive to the number of potential fatalities occurring at structural failure, and the applied discount rate. ...
Conference paper (2025) - J.J. Knibbe, Raphael D.J.M. Steenbergen, P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder, A.P. Afghari
While environmental life cycle assessment is an established method for predicting environmental impacts over the lifetime of a structure or building, and is supported by ISO-norms, it overlooks social impacts such as structural safety. The more comprehensive life cycle sustainability
assessment, which also includes economic and societal sustainability, is not as mature. There is especially a lack of quantitative indicators for the societal impacts of a structure, which form part of social life cycle assessment.

This paper investigates the use of an existing societal indicator, the Life Quality Index, which has not been used in social life cycle assessment before. It has, however, been used previously in structural engineering applications to establish societally acceptable and economically optimal failure probabilities of structures. In this paper, this use is compared to the most recent guidelines on social life cycle assessment by the United Nations Environmental Programme.

This paper proposes that the current use of the life quality index can be part of the social impact assessment phase of social life cycle assessment. It then forms part of a social mechanism within an impact pathway approach, one of the two approaches towards social impact assessment proposed by the guidelines. This is demonstrated using an example based on the design of a simple structure, following the four phases of a life cycle assessment. The demonstrated approach is able to combine societal and economic considerations, making it a promising candidate for future applications in life cycle sustainability assessment of structures. ...
Journal article (2025) - R. de Vries, E. O.L. Lantsoght, R. D.J.M. Steenbergen, M. A.N. Hendriks, M. Naaktgeboren
As infrastructure continues to age and traffic levels intensify, there is a growing need for efficient methods to verify the reliability of many existing structures. Field testing offers the possibility to assess the current condition of a structure. Specifically, in a proof load test, substantial loads are applied to evaluate the structure's resistance to future loads that could compromise structural safety. However, to prevent excessive test loads and their potential damage, it is desirable to assess structural reliability by monitoring the response under more moderate loads. This study merges laboratory and in-situ testing results through a Bayesian update of the structural reliability after each successful load application. Two case studies are presented where laboratory testing on structurally similar elements and analytical modelling provide ample evidence to justify test load reductions of 20 % and 25 %. The proposed method offers a systematic framework to link the structure's response during testing to structural reliability and address the uncertainties in resistance, loads and measurements. Nonetheless, the representativeness of the data in terms of structural similarity and uncertainties related to measurements continue to be significant factors. Despite these challenges, incorporating monitoring data during proof load testing is expected to reduce target loads in most cases. ...
Journal article (2025) - Jelle Knibbe, Rein de Vries, Raphael Steenbergen
In this paper, a novel method is developed for determining the reliability of a complex structure under dynamic crowd loading, combining a Finite Element model of a structure and a frequency-domain load model in a reliability analysis. The method is applied on a representative case of a grandstand under dynamic crowd loading. Excited crowds jumping up and down on a grandstand can cause noticeable vibrations, which negatively affect the serviceability of the structure due to discomfort. The FE model consists of linear beam elements, with a distributed dynamic load along the seating deck, described in the frequency domain. The amplitude spectrum of this load is parameterized using a number of stochastic parameters, of which the distribution is determined by sampling a dataset of experimentally measured crowd loads. With this load model, the amplitude spectrum of the acceleration response of the grandstand is determined, from which a serviceability criterion based on acceleration intensity is evaluated. Through a Monte Carlo analysis, an exceedance probability Pf of 0.3264 is calculated, with a coefficient of variation of 0.025. A more advanced reliability calculation method, DARS, was also applied, resulting in a value of Pf between 0.400 and 0.444. ...
Conference paper (2024) - R. de Vries, E. O.L. Lantsoght, R. D.J.M. Steenbergen, M. A.N. Hendriks, M. Naaktgeboren
Given the ageing infrastructure, verifying the reliability of existing structures is crucial. Field testing presents a viable approach to evaluating a structure’s current condition, particularly proof load testing. In a proof load test, a large load is applied to assess its reliability. Structures in sound condition are expected to display satisfactory behaviour under average load intensities. Can good structural performance under moderate load levels already prove sufficient structural reliability? The proposed method utilises data from laboratory tests on similar structural elements. A case study was conducted on a bridge to illustrate the effectiveness of the method. Data acquired from laboratory tests were pre-processed to provide the required input for the reliability updating. It reveals that sufficient reliability can be demonstrated without excessive load levels by incorporating laboratory data. However, the actual capacity of the bridge and the uncertainty associated with the laboratory data remain important factors. ...
Journal article (2024) - H. J.J. Weijs, R. D.J.M. Steenbergen, M. A.N. Hendriks
On the 17th of October 2021, a concrete grandstand element collapsed at the Goffert football stadium in the Netherlands under a jumping crowd load. In this paper the cause for the collapse is investigated from a probabilistic point of view. Various investigations raised some belief that the actual loads were larger than the design loads for the grandstand elements, also questioning the general reliability of these elements. There are also indications towards construction errors. This paper presents a full probabilistic method to determine the failure probability of the collapsed element in the Goffert stadium, subjected to dynamical crowd loads. Suitable distribution types and parameters of stochastic variables related to forces generated by jumping are derived. Randomly generated excitation signals are created that are used to excite the structure, which is modelled as a non-linear single-degree-of-freedom system with a bi-linear force-displacement relationship. A Monte Carlo simulation shows that 0 of about 105 simulations lead to failure of the structure under the crowd loading present during the collapse, if we would model it according to the design drawings. This result makes it unrealistic that the actual loads were higher than the design loads or that the design is unsafe since then we would expect a relatively large failure probability. In situ inspection of the concrete cover on other elements in the stadium show that large variation exists in this parameter, suggesting that the collapsed element could have had a large cover, which reduced its capacity. A sensitivity analysis concludes that the post-yielding stiffness highly influences the failure probability of the grandstand element. These two points combined make it more plausible that the element failed because the actual resistance of the structure was weaker than intended by the design drawings. ...
Journal article (2023) - Rein de Vries, Eva O.L. Lantsoght, Raphaël D.J.M. Steenbergen, Sonja A.A.M. Fennis
In the evaluation of existing bridges and viaducts, relying solely on a desk study is often inadequate for determining their structural reliability. Performing a proof load test provides valuable field data that offers detailed information about the structural integrity. However, the relation between the magnitude of the load and the structural reliability is not immediately clear. This study addresses the challenges associated with determining the target load and highlights the uncertainties that play a key role. A case study is presented that shows the time-dependent character of the structural reliability and the influence of an informative and a weakly informative prior distribution in a Bayesian context. It is shown how both past traffic loads and a proof load test may contribute to the proven strength of a structure. The described method provides a starting point towards a flexible approach for proof load testing in which structure-specific knowledge levels and requirements are considered. ...
Conference paper (2023) - Rein de Vries, Eva O.L. Lantsoght, Raphael D.J.M. Steenbergen, Marius Naaktgeboren
Due to the aging of infrastructure, methods are explored by which the reliability of existing bridges and viaducts can be assessed. In case limited information of the structure is available or its condition is of concern, proof load testing may be used to demonstrate sufficient load-carrying capacity. Proof load tests in the USA are typically performed using the Manual for Bridge Evaluation (MBE) published by AASHTO. The proof load is expressed by the regular live-load model magnified by the target proof load factor. The level of reliability obtained using the target proof load factor is not explicitly stated in the MBE, but is of particular interest. In this article relevant background documents are investigated to uncover the underlying calculations, assumptions and input data. Current challenges in proof load testing are described in which the consideration of time-dependence, stop criteria, available information and system-level assessment are highlighted. Subsequently, improvements to the MBE proof load testing background are suggested. An example calculation using traffic data from the Netherlands shows that the HL93 load model and Eurocode LM1 provide a reasonably constant proof load factor with span length for bending and shear. However, the HS20 load model does not scale well with increasing span length. It is found that the magnitude of the target load as specified through the proof load factor is directly related to the desired level of reliability. Although the MBE proof load testing method is practical, several challenges remain. ...
Journal article (2023) - Rein de Vries, Eva O.L. Lantsoght, Raphaël D.J.M. Steenbergen, Marius Naaktgeboren
Because of the aging of infrastructure, methods are explored by which the reliability of existing bridges and viaducts can be assessed. In cases in which limited information of the structure is available or its condition is of concern, proof load testing may be used to demonstrate sufficient live load carrying capacity. Proof load tests in the U.S.A. are typically performed using the Manual for Bridge Evaluation (MBE) published by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO). The proof load is expressed by the regular live load model magnified by the target proof load factor. The level of reliability obtained using the target proof load factor is not explicitly stated in the MBE, but is of particular interest. In this article, relevant background documents are investigated to uncover the underlying calculations, assumptions, and input data. Current challenges in proof load testing are described in which the considerations of time dependence, stop criteria, available information, and system-level assessment are highlighted. Subsequently, improvements to the MBE proof load testing background are suggested. An example calculation using traffic data from the Netherlands shows that the HL93 load model and Eurocode LM1 provide a reasonably constant proof load factor with span length for bending and shear. However, the HS20 load model does not scale well with increasing span length. It is found that the magnitude of the target load as specified through the proof load factor is directly related to the desired level of reliability. Although the MBE proof load testing method is practical, several challenges remain. ...
Journal article (2020) - Alfred A. Roubos, Diego L. Allaix, Timo Schweckendiek, Raphael D.J.M. Steenbergen, Sebastiaan N. Jonkman
The assessment of service-proven quay walls subject to corrosion-induced degradation is inherently a time-dependent reliability problem. Two major challenges are the modelling of corrosion and taking into account the decrease of epistemic uncertainty throughout the quay wall's service life. The main objective of this study is to examine the probability of failure, despite successful past performance, when the quay wall is subject to corrosion and randomly imposed variable loads. The development of the annual failure rate is modelled using crude Monte Carlo and by performing a first-order system reliability analysis. The annual failure rates found for service-proven quay walls vary over time. For those with successful service histories and subject to low corrosion rates, the highest reliability indices are observed in the first year of the service life, whereas with higher corrosion rates the final year prevails. In general, it seems more practical to evaluate reliability on an annual basis rather than over longer time periods, since the latter will introduce an iterative procedure to determine the wall's remaining lifetime. The key findings of this study can be crucial for the lifetime extension of existing quay walls, and presumably also for other service-proven geotechnical structures subject to corrosion. ...
Conference paper (2019) - Alfred A. Roubos, Dirk Jan Peters, Raphael D.J.M. Steenbergen
Structural codes rely on generalised target reliability indices, which are mainly derived for buildings. It is unclear, however, whether these indices are applicable to the specific risk-profile of quay walls, jetties, and flexible dolphins. In this study, target reliability indices for marine structures were derived from various risk acceptance criteria, such as economic optimisation, individual risk, societal risk, the life quality index, and the social and environmental repercussion index. This article uses a method to determine reliability targets distinguishing time-dependent and time-independent variables, because some important stochastic design variables in the design of marine structures, such as soil and material properties, are largely time-independent. The assessment framework of ISO 2394, taking into account social, economic, and environmental impact, has proven to be a solid basis for reliability differentiation. The method of approach considered in this paper can also be used for evaluating target reliability indices of other geotechnical structures. ...
Conference paper (2019) - A. A. Roubos, D. L. Allaix, R. D.J.M. Steenbergen, K. Fischer, S. N. Jonkman
General frameworks for reliability differentiation have evolved over time and are mainly developed for new buildings. However, recommendations for existing quay walls are lacking. In this study target reliability indices for assessing existing quay walls were derived by economic optimisation and by evaluating the Life Quality Index criterion (LQI). In quay wall design, some dominant stochastic design variables are largely time-independent, such as soil and material properties. The influence of time-independent variables on the development of the probability of failure was taken into consideration in this study, because this affects the present value of future failure costs and the associated target reliability indices. The reliability indices obtained in accordance with the LQI acceptance criterion were a little lower than the target reliability indices derived by economic optimization. The target reliability indices obtained for existing quay walls depend on the consequences of failure and the remaining service life. If failure modes of a quay wall are largely time-invariant and already survived the first period of the service life, the residual probability of failure is lower for an existing quay wall compared to a new quay wall. Hence, this should be considered in the determination of target reliability indices. The method of approach to assess the development of reliability over time can also be used for evaluating target reliability indices of other civil and geotechnical structures. ...
Journal article (2019) - Alfred Roubos, Diego Allaix, Katherina Fischer, Raphael Steenbergen, Sebastiaan Jonkman
General frameworks for reliability differentiation have evolved over time and are mainly developed for buildings. However, recommendations for the safety of existing quay walls are lacking. In this study, target reliability indices for assessing existing quay walls were derived by economic optimisation and by evaluating the requirements concerning human safety. In quay-wall design, some dominant stochastic design variables are largely time-independent, such as soil and material properties. The influence of time-independent variables on the evolution of the probability of failure was taken into consideration, since this affects the present value of future failure costs and the associated target reliability indices. The target reliability indices obtained for existing quay walls depend on the consequences of failure and the remaining lifetime. If the failure modes of a quay wall are governed by time-independent design parameters and the quay wall has already survived the early service period, the residual probability of failure is lower for an existing quay wall compared to a new structure. Hence, this should be considered in the determination of target reliability indices. The method to evaluate quay-wall reliability over time can also be used to assess other civil and geotechnical structures. ...
Journal article (2018) - Alfred A. Roubos, Raphael D.J.M. Steenbergen, Timo Schweckendiek, Sebastiaan N. Jonkman
Design codes and standards rely on generalised target reliability indices. It is unclear, however, whether these indices are applicable to the specific risk-profile of marine structures. In this study, target reliability indices for quay walls were derived from various risk acceptance criteria, such as economic optimisation, individual risk (IR), societal risk (SR), the life quality index (LQI) and the social and environmental repercussion index (SERI). Important stochastic design variables in quay wall design, such as retaining height, soil strength and material properties, are largely time-independent, whereas other design variables are time-dependent. The extent to which a reliability problem is time variant affects the present value of future failure costs and the associated reliability optimum. A method was therefore developed to determine the influence of time-independent variables on the development of failure probability over time. This method can also be used to evaluate target reliability indices of other civil and geotechnical structures. The target reliability indices obtained for quay walls depend on failure consequences and marginal costs of safety investments. The results were used to elaborate the reliability framework of ISO 2394, and associated reliability levels are proposed for various consequence classes. The insights acquired were used to evaluate the acceptable probability of failure for different types of quay walls. ...