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C.J. Boot

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Optimizing the land reclamation design for climate resilience

Master thesis (2025) - C.J. Boot, S.N. Jonkman, O.A.C. Hoes, M.A. Schoemaker, Matthijs Bos
Singapore’s Long Island project aims to protect the East Coast, meet freshwater demands, and support urban development. It involves constructing a freshwater reservoir by closing off part of the sea using three islands and two barrages. The islands, totaling 850 ha, will be used for urban development. The project is currently in its conceptual design phase. Long Island presents several challenges. Singapore’s flood risk policy focuses on raising the platform level, increasing demand for scarce construction materials. The multifunctional nature of Long Island, providing flood protection, freshwater supply, and urban space, complicates design. Uncertainty in future sea level rise (SLR) further challenges sea defense planning and adaptation. This thesis develops a resilient conceptual design for Long Island’s land reclamation, focusing on platform level optimization and sea defense adaptability. Six reclamation variants are proposed, ranging from polder systems to conventional landfills, combined with a caisson or a dike as sea defenses. Sea defenses are designed to accommodate up to 5 m SLR and are integrated into adaptation pathways. Each variant considers reservoir dike design, effective land area, settlements, and polder pumping requirements. Designs are evaluated through capital cost analysis, lifetime cost assessments using Present Value, Multi-Criteria Analysis (MCA), and sensitivity analyses on design parameters, Social Discount Rates (SDRs) and SLR projections. The most cost-effective design combines a platform level of -4 m SHD with either a dike or caisson. This polder approach is technically feasible and reduces reclamation volumes by 80 million m3 and saves 3 billion SGD compared to a 5.1 m SHD design. Sensitivity analyses confirm its robustness under varying assumptions. Both sea defense types are adaptable and have comparable costs, though further research is needed to determine the optimal choice, including geotechnical design and naturebased integration. The MCA did not yield a clear preference due to close value-cost ratios and a lack of stakeholder validation. While technically and economically promising, the polder system’s societal acceptance and integration into Singapore’s urban context require further assessment. Future design phases should address public perception of flood risk, desirability of polder developments, and nature-inclusive coastal environments, supported by stakeholder engagement. Additional research into flood risk, the polder pumping system, and SDRs is recommended to improve the design and inform decision-makers on platform level selection. This thesis provides a technical foundation for Long Island’s next design stages and supports platform level decision-making. It also offers insights for other regions pursuing land reclamation developments, especially where unit rates are high and/or materials are scarce, demonstrating an integral optimization approach focused on multifunctionality and climate resilience. ...

The installation of a long-term setup to investigate the impact of a cloud forest canopy on the Mestelá River catchment and its effect on various stakeholders

The research question addressed in this study is ”To what extent does the presence of a cloud forest canopy impact the Mestelá River catchment and how will this affect the various involved stakeholders?”. The study aims to investigate the importance of cloud forests in the Mestelá River catchment, Alta Verapaz, Guatemala, related to water security and the social impact of cloud forest conservation and management. The research methods used in this study were a combination of quantitative and qualitative methods.

Cloud forests play a vital role in regulating water flow in catchments. The Mestelá River catchment, where the NGO Community Cloud Forest Conservation (CCFC) is situated, is the focus of this research. The project’s primary aim was to establish a long-term canopy setup, ensuring future data collection. The project’s scope encompasses a range of methodologies, including the installation of a long-term measurement station in the canopy, computation of the Mestelá River discharge, the development of a rating curve, and the utilisation of a FLEX-Topo model to simulate the hydrological cycle in the catchment. Additionally, a stakeholder management analysis was conducted to understand the complex impact of cloud forests (conservation) on various stakeholders.

The study did not explicitly formulate any hypotheses, but the findings provide evidence for the impact of cloud forest canopies on river catchments and discharge. The study also has limitations, including the small sample size and the lack of long-term data. However, the study provides valuable insights into the importance of cloud forest ecosystems for water security and the social impact of cloud forest conservation and management. The stakeholder analysis reveals that for CCFC two methods of advocacy can be used. Whilst the CCFC is effective in bottom-up engagement with the community, in addition, a strip for small children was constructed. For top-down advocacy, using the FLEX-Topo
model for visualising water security in combination with cloud forest protection holds promise.

The implications of this work are substantial for cloud forest conservation and associated ecosystems. The findings offer valuable insights for developing effective conservation strategies that consider the canopy’s impact on the catchment and its stakeholders. It is important to note that the FLEX-Topo model is currently conceptual and requires further refinement and detail for the Mestelá River catchment. Nevertheless, this study contributes significantly to the understanding of cloud forest ecosystems and offers practical and theoretical applications for future research and conservation efforts. ...