Collison between ships is one of the major contributors to maritime accidents. To reduce ship collision accidents, the research on collision avoidance decision-making has been drawing much attention from various parties. In this research, extensive literature and expert knowledge are collected and analyzed to identify the common sense and discrepancies between collision avoidance decision-making for theoretical research and navigation practices. The key factors that are considered in the two perspectives are identified and discussed, based on which, the knowledge structures that can represent the development of the process in the two perspectives are established. A series of comparisons between the knowledge structure based on theoretical research and navigation practices are conducted. The comparisons indicate clear common sense and discrepancies between the theoretical research and navigation practices regarding collision avoidance decision-making. The potential causes of them are also analyzed. The research results would be beneficial for the development of collision avoidance decision-making for both autonomous and conventional manned ships in maritime traffic.

Trajectory planning is one of the important technologies to ensure the safe navigation of the unmanned ship. This paper presents a dynamic path planning method based on the multi-layer Morphin adaptive search tree algorithm, which considers ship maneuverability, COLREGS, and good seamanship to harmonize the actions in the mixed traffic environment. First, the environment model is built according to the environment information of the rolling window; second, the feasible avoidance range of collision avoidance is calculated according to the velocity obstacle (VO) method. Finally, path optimization is carried out using the Morphin adaptive search tree algorithm. Through a case study and comparison with traditional artificial potential field (APF) models, the applicability and potential of the method are verified. This model can be applied to the autonomous navigation for unmanned ships as well as conventional manned ships and demonstrate good potential in smart shipping.

Autonomous navigation on the open sea involving automatic collision avoidance and route planning helps to ensure navigational safety. To judge whether all target ships (TSs) will pass safely and find the optimal route under multi-ship encounter situations, the relationship between the variations in the own ship (OS) velocity vector after nonlinear course altering motion and the collision avoidance result, which is defined as the collision avoidance mechanism, was analyzed. Methods producing the optimal route were also proposed. First, the static collision avoidance mechanism based on the ship domain and velocity obstacle (VO) was introduced. On that basis, the collision-free course alteration range of the OS, without consideration of the real manoeuvring process, was presented. Second, the ship motion equations and fuzzy adaptive proportion integral derivative (PID) control method were combined to develop a course control system. This system was then used to predict OS motions during the course-altering process. Based on this prediction, TS positions were calculated. Subsequently, the dynamic collision-free course altering ranges for the OS were obtained. Third, a model to compute the optimal route was introduced. Finally, simulations were performed under a situation including six TSs and two static objects, and the shortest collision-free route that satisfies both regulations for preventing collisions and good seamanship was found.

Collision prevention is critical for navigation safety at sea. At early ages, researchers aimed at developing navigational assistance systems for enhancing situational awareness of human operators as human is at the core of collision avoidance. Recently, autonomous vehicles have gained a remarkable amount of attention with a focus on solving collision problems by machines. This results in two groups of studies, both working on preventing collisions but with different focuses: one aims at conflict detection, and the other focuses on conflict resolution. This paper offers a comprehensive overview of collision prevention techniques based on the three basic processes of determining evasive solutions, namely, motion prediction, conflict detection, and conflict resolution. The strengths and weaknesses of different methods for these three fundamental processes are discussed. Limitations and new challenges are highlighted. Moreover, this review points out the differences between the research for manned and unmanned ships and how the research in the two domains can learn from each other. A potential roadmap for the transition from existing manned ships to fully unmanned ships is provided in the end.

Ship collision is one of the major contributors of maritime accidents. Quantitative risk analysis of such accidents is an effective tool for maritime safety administrations to understand the current risk level and propose risk mitigation measures. In this paper, an improved Time Discretized Non-linear Velocity obstacle (TD-NLVO) algorithm is proposed to detect multiple ship encounter situations using historical AIS data. Boolean operation on the individual NLVO is integrated with TD-NLVO using the union of the velocity-obstacle sets to determine a dangerous encounter situation according to the pre-set criteria. Two case studies are implemented to illustrate the capability of the proposed algorithm. A comparison is conducted between the previous and the improved methods. The results indicate that the improved method can effectively identify a multiple ship encounter which satisfies the pre-set criteria. The improved method has the potential to provide more detailed information for stakeholders e.g. maritime safety administration, etc. to propose risk mitigation measures as well as to improve the accuracy of geometric probability analysis for ship collision risk.

In this research, a hybrid approach for global path planning for Maritime Autonomous Surface Ship (MASS) is proposed, which generates the shortest path considering the collision risk and the proximity between path and obstacles. The collision risk concerning obstacles is obtained using Time-Varying Collision Risk (TCR) concept, taking into account the velocity constraint of the ship that can achieve during operation. The influence of proximity from obstacles is measured with the Fast Marching (FM) algorithm. A new cost function is proposed allowing to combine the influence of obstacle proximity and collision risk in the region. Finally, the Fast Marching Square algorithm is applied to generate the globally optimal path that can reach the pre-set destination. The contribution of this work is two-fold: 1) considering the velocity constraint of the own ship, together with its influences of collision risk into the global path planning stage of autonomous navigation. 2) measuring the collision risk induced by the obstacles from their comprehensive influences on the achievable velocity range using TCR concept, instead of numerical integration of risk measurement. The results of the case study indicate that the proposed approach can find an optimal path considering the collision risk and proximity from the obstacles.

Maritime accidents, especially ship collisions, have always been a threat to the safety of maritime transport industry, the regional and global economy, and societies, due to its dire consequences. In this paper, a novel method to model causational factors, one of the critical elements of probabilistic risk modelling of ship collision accidents, is proposed. A credal probabilistic graphical network model based on imprecise probabilities was established based on accident investigation reports and domain experts as the overall framework to represent expert knowledge and probabilistic inference under uncertainty. Causational probability is estimated from the micro-to-macroscopic perspective where information of ship encounters are integrated into the causational model to perform probabilistic inference on each encounter and to obtain collective results. The causation probability interval is obtained and compared between model with and without the availability of geometric encounter data. The results indicate that: (1) the encounter information (relative bearing, TCPA, and presence of other ship) has influence on causational probability of ship collision accident to certain extent; human and organisational factors play more significant role; and (2) with AIS data integration, causational probability analysis can be utilized to determine encounters with higher likelihood and obtain details of dangerous ship encounters in regional maritime traffic.

Following the growth in global trade activities, vessel traffic has increased dramatically in some busy waterways and ports. However, such increments have made it more complex to manage the regional vessel traffic, which can increase the risk of an accident in the area. To model and analyze the relationship between vessel traffic and maritime traffic, this paper proposes a gridded geography information system (GIS)-based relation analysis model using the historical automatic identification system (AIS) data and accident records over a 10-year-span. Firstly, the extent of the hazards posed by a maritime accident in terms of hull loss, fatality, and direct economic loss is quantified using set pair analysis. Consequently, the hazardous degree posed by an accident is obtained. The relative consequence of the regional hazard (RCORH) is then estimated by summing up all the relative hazardous degrees of accidents that have occurred in a certain gridded area. Secondly, the vessel traffic in the gridded areas is analyzed using characteristics such as speed, heading variance, and traffic volume as indicators. Based on the analysis of both the maritime traffic accidents and the vessel traffic, the spatial relationships are analyzed with an overlay between the RCORH and vessel traffic data of each grid, as well as a regression analysis. In a case study of the Western port of Shenzhen City, China, the methodology proves to be effective for vessel traffic management and traffic engineering design.

The maritime shipping industry has been making significant contributions to the development of the regional and global economy. However, maritime accidents and their severe consequences have been posing an incrementing risk to the individuals and societies. It is therefore important to conduct risk analysis on such accidents to support maritime safety management. In this paper, a modified ship collision candidate detection method is proposed as a tool for collision risk analysis in ports and waterways. Time‐Discrete Velocity Obstacle algorithm (TD‐NLVO) is utilized to detect collision candidates based on the encounter process extracted from AIS data. Ship domain model was further integrated into the algorithm as the criteria for determination. A case study is conducted to illustrate the efficacy of the improved model, and a comparison between the existing method and actual ship trajectories are also performed. The results indicate that with the integration of ship domain, the new method can effectively detect the encounters with significant collision avoidance behaviours. The choice of criteria can have a significant influence on the results of collision candidate detection.