E. Papadimitriou
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124 records found
1
In urban areas, drivers frequently interact with vulnerable road users. On-road studies have shown that drivers are more likely to have safety-relevant interactions with pedestrians when they are inattentive and when pedestrians behave unexpectedly. Notwithstanding these behavioural effects, most microscopic traffic flow models do not accurately describe driver response to pedestrian crossing behaviour. This study investigates the factors influencing driver behaviour characteristics when pedestrians cross the road in front of the vehicle. The data were collected in the UDRIVE naturalistic driving study in France and the UK. The interactions with pedestrians in daylight were identified using the MobilEye® smart camera. The minimum time to zebra and the maximum deceleration during each interaction were investigated in regression models. The results showed that, controlling for the initial speed of the subject vehicle, the minimum time to zebra during interactions was significantly shorter when the pedestrian crossed while the driver had a green traffic light, the vehicle segment was medium, and other pedestrians had already crossed. Controlling for initial speed and acceleration, the maximum deceleration during interactions was lower when the pedestrian crossed while the driver had a green traffic light, no other pedestrians had already crossed, the pedestrian was not a child, teenager or elderly person, and the pedestrian did not glance toward the vehicle. These factors can be incorporated into traffic simulations to describe driver responses more realistically. Further research is needed to understand the influence of the driver’s state because most drivers looked toward pedestrians.
Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS) are advancing the shipping industry, requiring a mixed waterborne transport system (MWTS) where human supervision provides a supporting role for maintaining safety and efficiency, particularly in complex scenarios. This study explores the dynamics of seafarers’ trust in MASS during collision avoidance (CA) scenarios involving a vessel approaching from the starboard side. An empirical study with 26 participants representing diverse maritime experience levels examined how time, demographic factors, and collision avoidance strategies influence trust. Using a linear mixed model (LMM), trust was found to fluctuate across navigation stages: gradual accumulation during the routine navigation stage, sharp dissipation during strategy determination and execution stages, and partial recovery at the final stage. Strategies aligned with maritime regulations and appropriately timed evasive actions fostered higher trust, while overly early or imminent actions reduced trust. Additionally, a factor analysis consolidated the five trust dimensions, including dependability, predictability, anthropomorphism, faith, and safety, into two aspects: System Competence, encompassing the first four dimensions, and Situational Safety, representing safety-related trust. Furthermore, Bayesian Network (BN) is developed to model trust in the autonomous decision-making of MASS, integrating human observers demographics and situational factors. The model captures sequential trust dependencies, revealing the cascading effects of trust across various stages and the role of System Competence in shaping overall trust in the entire decision-making process. These findings provide actionable insights for designing MASS that support trust-building and optimise collision avoidance strategies, contributing to safer and more efficient autonomous maritime operations.
While mobility and safety of drivers are challenged by behavioral changes, the increasingly complex road environment has placed a higher demand on their adaptability. The ultimate goal of this paper was to identify the impact that the balance between task complexity and coping capacity had on crash risk. Towards that aim, an integrated model for understanding the effect of the inter-relationship of task complexity and coping capacity with risk was developed. A vast library of data from a naturalistic driving experiment was created in three countries (i.e., Belgium, UK and Germany) to investigate the most prominent driving behavior indicators available, including speeding, headway, overtaking, duration, distance and harsh events. In order to fulfil the aforementioned objectives, exploratory analysis, such as Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) were developed, and the most appropriate variables associated to the latent variable “task complexity” and “coping capacity” were estimated from the various indicators. Additionally, Structural Equation Models (SEMs) were used to explore how the model variables were inter-related, allowing for both direct and indirect relationships to be modelled. The analyses revealed that higher task complexity levels lead to higher coping capacity by drivers. Additionally, the effect of task complexity on risk was greater than the impact of coping capacity in Belgium and Germany, while mixed results were observed in the UK.
In order to improve road safety, recent studies suggest that it is important to study and identify the optimal driving benchmarks that reflect the safest driving behaviour that may be observed by human drivers. The objective of this paper is to identify boundaries of risky and typical driving by studying the car-following driving behaviour. The data used in this study was collected by TNO in a recent naturalistic driving study. The distributions of driving metrics related to the following and leading vehicle were illustrated to understand their shapes and outliers. The safety-related car-following driving metrics of Time to Collision (TTC), Deceleration Rate to Avoid the Crash (DRAC), Crash Index (CI) and over-speeding were calculated, with risky thresholds obtained from the literature, and typical driving thresholds based expert assessors’ ratings. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was applied to these metrics and showed that ‘optimal driving’ can be represented by one linear component that represents over 95% of the total dataset’s variance.
Enhancing collision avoidance in mixed waterborne transport
Human-mimic navigation and decision-making by autonomous vessels
Collision avoidance in maritime navigation, particularly between autonomous and conventional vessels, involves iterative and dynamic processes. Traditional path planning models often neglect the behaviours of surrounding vessels, while path predictive models tend to ignore ship interaction features essential in collision scenarios. This study proposes a decision-making framework for collision avoidance, particularly focused on the interaction between autonomous and conventional vessels. The framework integrates a human-preference-aware navigational trajectory prediction model into the collision avoidance process, enhancing the decision-making capabilities in dynamic and interactive environments. We first model human-controlled ship navigational preferences using a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) autoencoder combined with K-means clustering, by extracting key preferences from ship pairs identified through AIS data. These preferences, which reflect strategic trajectory adjustments in response to collision risks, are then incorporated into trajectory prediction using a Multi-Task Learning Sequence-to-Sequence (seq2seq) attention LSTM model. The predicted trajectories provide a basis for the decision-making framework, including a local path planner and a trajectory tracking controller, designed to dynamically adjust the predicted reference path for collision-free navigation and ensure its accurate tracking. The framework was validated using AIS data from the port of Rotterdam, identifying four distinct navigational preferences by combining an LSTM-autoencoder and clustering techniques and demonstrating improved prediction accuracy compared to other existing models. Simulation tests demonstrate that the framework utilises the predicted trajectories to inform decision-making, ensuring accurate path tracking while dynamically addressing collision risks for autonomous ships. By providing preference-aware and adaptive reference trajectories, the framework reduces the likelihood of MASS trajectory misinterpretation by conventional ships, thereby supporting proactive collision avoidance in mixed waterborne transport environments.
Frequently Used Vehicle Controls While Driving
A Real-World Driving Study Assessing Internal Human–Machine Interface Task Frequencies and Influencing Factors
In recent years, the relationship between academia and the fossil fuel industry has become a focal point of intense debate. This concern arises from the fear that corporate funding might skew research activities. A significant development in this area is the adoption of policies by a Dutch university, and discussions in several others, prohibiting research funded by the fossil fuel industry. These policies aim to safeguard academic freedom and integrity. Despite this, there has been little discussion on the myriad challenges, implications, and possible unintended consequences, particularly in the realm of safety-and-security research. As such, this manuscript delves into the complex transition towards a fossil-fuel-free society, examining it through the lenses of safety science and sociotechnical systems. It emphasizes the vital importance of collective responsibility in ensuring systemic safety and security as we navigate towards achieving the sustainable development goals. This journey requires a delicate balance between the objectives of safety and sustainability, along with a deep understanding of the security implications of decreasing our dependence on the fossil fuel industry. The strategy of distancing academic research from fossil fuel industries, commonly seen as a positive step, also demands a nuanced consideration of its broader impacts, including the setting of precedents for addressing other existential and systemic risks. Instead, we argue for the establishment of robust governance structures rooted in restorative justice principles. Such frameworks can facilitate productive dialogue with underrepresented groups, motivate the fossil fuel industry towards sustainable practices, and safeguard the integrity of scholarly research. This approach not only addresses immediate concerns related to fossil fuels but also lays the groundwork for a more inclusive and equitable model of climate risk research, essential for tackling the multifaceted challenges of our era.
Machine Learning in Maritime Safety for Autonomous Shipping
A Bibliometric Review and Future Trends
Autonomous vessels are becoming paramount to ocean transportation, while they also face complex risks in dynamic marine environments. Machine learning plays a crucial role in enhancing maritime safety by leveraging its data analysis and predictive capabilities. However, there has been no review grounded in bibliometric analysis in this field. To explore the research evolution and knowledge frontier in the field of maritime safety for autonomous shipping, a bibliometric analysis was conducted using 719 publications from the Web of Science database, covering the period from 2000 up to May 2024. This study utilized VOSviewer, alongside traditional literature analysis methods, to construct a knowledge network map and perform cluster analysis, thereby identifying research hotspots, evolution trends, and emerging knowledge frontiers. The findings reveal a robust cooperative network among journals, researchers, research institutions, and countries or regions, underscoring the interdisciplinary nature of this research domain. Through the review, we found that maritime safety machine learning methods are evolving toward a systematic and comprehensive direction, and the integration with AI and human interaction may be the next bellwether. Future research will concentrate on three main areas: evolving safety objectives towards proactive management and autonomous coordination, developing advanced safety technologies, such as bio-inspired sensors, quantum machine learning, and self-healing systems, and enhancing decision-making with machine learning algorithms such as generative adversarial networks (GANs), hierarchical reinforcement learning (HRL), and federated learning. By visualizing collaborative networks, analyzing evolutionary trends, and identifying research hotspots, this study lays a groundwork for pioneering advancements and sets a visionary angle for the future of safety in autonomous shipping. Moreover, it also facilitates partnerships between industry and academia, making for concerted efforts in the domain of USVs.
As automated vehicles (AVs) become increasingly popular, the question arises as to how cyclists will interact with such vehicles. This study investigated (1) whether cyclists spontaneously notice if a vehicle is driverless, (2) how well they perform a driver-detection task when explicitly instructed, and (3) how they carry out these tasks. Using a Wizard-of-Oz method, 37 participants cycled a designated route and encountered an AV multiple times in two experimental sessions. In Session 1, participants cycled the route uninstructed, while in Session 2, they were instructed to verbally report whether they detected the presence or absence of a driver. Additionally, we recorded participants’ gaze behaviour with eye-tracking and their responses in post-session interviews. The interviews revealed that 30% of the cyclists spontaneously mentioned the absence of a driver (Session 1), and when instructed (Session 2), they detected the absence and presence of the driver with 93% accuracy. The eye-tracking data showed that cyclists looked more frequently and for longer at the vehicle in Session 2 compared to Session 1. Additionally, participants exhibited intermittent sampling of the vehicle, and they looked at the area in front of the vehicle when it was far away and towards the windshield region when it was closer. The post-session interviews also indicated that participants were curious, but felt safe, and reported a need to receive information about the AV's driving state. In conclusion, cyclists can detect the absence of a driver in the AV, and this detection may influence their perception of safety. Further research is needed to explore these findings in real-world traffic conditions.
Latent class models for capturing unobserved heterogeneity in major global causes of mortality
The cases of traffic crashes and COVID-19
Existing models for correlating global mortality rates with underlying country-specific factors overlook the variations in the effects of these factors on mortality across different countries. These may arise from social, cultural, and political complexities which are usually not measurable and are therefore referred to as unobserved heterogeneity in the statistical literature. Unobserved heterogeneity leads to biased parameter estimates in the models, erroneous inferences about the effects of factors contributing to mortalities, and ultimately inefficient policies. In this paper, latent class modelling is proposed for capturing such unobserved heterogeneity on the cases of traffic mortality and COVID-19 mortality. The ‘pyramid’ model of safety management is used as a common framework for model formulation. The proposed latent class model is an extension of the Negative Binomial (NB) model used in risk epidemiology. The model is tested with data from 105 countries, retrieved from international databases, including socioeconomic, infrastructure, exposure, transport, and COVID-19 variables. The results suggest that there exist two (different) latent country classes in both causes of mortality. The probability of a country belonging to a certain latent class is a much more efficient metric of country membership than previous deterministic groupings (e.g. income or geographic). Variables such as the elderly population, the GDP per capita or the level of motorization, have different effects in different country classes; these effects are not identifiable by conventional statistical modelling. The impact of ignoring unobserved heterogeneity in country mortality modelling is shown by comparing the results with those of conventional NB models.
This study investigates the enhancement of Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS) navigation and path-planning through the integration of ontology-based knowledge maps (KM) with the Dynamic Window Approach (DWA), a fusion termed KM-DWA. The ontology-based KM model is important for MASS navigation, offering a framework for situational awareness, including contextual information fusion and decision-making evidence. This research enriches the KM model with collision avoidance rules from the International Regulations for Preventing Collisions at Sea (COLREGs), building upon our previous work on MASS's efficient and COLREGs-compliant navigation in encounter scenarios. The model provides navigational context, covers COLREGs rules and environmental factors, and recommends MASS actions for various scenarios as suggested by COLREGs. Moreover, an adapted DWA, tailored to maritime navigation, accounts for specific constraints and safety measures for MASS, utilising KM-derived situational awareness as constraints in its cost function for path planning. A significant innovation introduced here is a tiered safety distance model featuring proactive, defensive, and collision buffers to ensure rule-compliant and effective collision avoidance. This scheme enables MASS to take timely collision avoidance actions at both proactive and defensive distances, in line with COLREGs recommendations. The effectiveness of the KM-DWA algorithm is validated by comparing it with the basic DWA algorithm in single- and multi-vessel encounter scenarios. The experiment outcomes illustrate the integrated approach's superiority in terms of COLREGs compliance and collision avoidance rate, emphasising its ability to support COLREGs-compliant decision-making and enhance situational awareness in autonomous maritime operations.
Automated Driving Systems (ADS) are aimed to improve traffic efficiency and safety, however these systems are not yet capable of handling all driving tasks in all types of road conditions. The role of a human driver remains crucial in taking over control, if an ADS fails or reaches its operational limits. Takeover performance of human drivers in authority transitions is typically assessed by means of the takeover time (TOT) taken within an available time budget (TB). This approach assumes a uniform perception and reaction time of human drivers in ADS disengagements, and does not include the time needed to execute the actual driving maneuver required to ensure safety. This paper aims to develop and test a set of new indicators to reflect takeover performance and its safety attributes, namely the ‘time to control’ (TC) and the ‘safe time budget’ (STB), in which the actual task execution (i.e. braking) time is taken into account, in addition to the perception and reaction time. It also proposes new thresholds for identifying critical conflicts in takeover situations and assessing the safety of authority transitions. A traffic simulation experimental setup is used with mixed traffic of conventional vehicles and ACC/CACC platoons in order to test these indicators and thresholds. The results suggest that the time difference between TC and STB is a more sensitive and potentially more realistic safety indicator, as it may capture the variability of driver behavior in takeovers and identify critical conflicts, as well as virtual crashes, that would not have been identified by the previously used indicators (TOT and TB). Takeover performance worsens when the speed difference of the vehicles involved is higher, and the initial speed of the rear vehicle is higher. These findings can be useful towards a more dynamic design of takeover request strategies.
Safety and efficiency of human-MASS interactions
Towards an integrated framework
Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS) have gained much attention as a safer and more efficient mode of transportation and a potential solution to reduce the workload of seafarers. Despite the highly sophisticated autonomous systems that enable MASS to make independent decisions, the presence of humans on board or in the loop of safety management highlights the need for effective human-machine interaction. However, a potentially systematic review of critical aspects of human-MASS interaction has not yet been conducted. In this paper, we aim to fill this gap by reviewing the literature related to human-MASS interaction from four crucial perspectives: the state of the art of human-MASS interaction, situational awareness for MASS, collision avoidance methods for MASS within a mixed waterborne transport system (MWTS), and human trust in MASS. Our review reveals that human-MASS interaction for safety and efficiency mainly focuses on four key aspects: (i) human factors, (ii) available technologies supporting the autonomy of MASS, (iii) system analysis and design for human-MASS interaction, and (iv) potential requirements regarding regulations. Moreover, we provide a detailed discussion of the three fundamental factors that influence human-MASS interaction, including situational awareness, decision-making for MASS in a mixed waterborne transport system, and human trust in the autonomous system of MASS. Finally, based on our analysis, we propose an integrated framework of human-MASS interaction in which these human factors are taken into account. We anticipate that these factors and their interaction will receive more attention to improve the safety and efficiency of MASS.
Unfolding the dynamics of driving behavior
A machine learning analysis from Germany and Belgium
The i-DREAMS project focuses on establishing a framework known as the ‘Safety Tolerance Zone (STZ)’ to ensure drivers operate within safe boundaries. This study compares Long-Short-Term-Memory Networks and shallow Neural Networks to assess participants’ safety levels during i-DREAMS on-road trials. Thirty German drivers’ trips and Forty-Three Belgian drivers were analyzed using these methods, revealing factors contributing to risky behavior. Results indicate i-DREAMS interventions significantly enhance driving behavior, with Neural Networks displaying superior performance among the algorithms considered.
Data Handling
Good Practices in the Context of Naturalistic Driving Studies
Exploring the Influence of Signal Countdown Timers on Driver Behavior
An Analysis of Pedestrian–Vehicle Conflicts at Signalized Intersections
Driver Profile and Driving Pattern Recognition for Road Safety Assessment
Main Challenges and Future Directions
This study reviews the Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning approaches developed thus far for driver profile and driving pattern recognition, representing a set of macroscopic and microscopic behaviors respectively, to enhance the understanding of human factors in road safety, and therefore reduce the number of crashes. It provides a definition of the two scientific fields in terms of safety, and identifies the most efficient approaches used regarding methodology, data collection and driving metrics. Results show that K-means and Neural Networks are the most commonly used methodologies for driver profile identification, and Dynamic Time Warping for driving pattern detection. Most studies discovered driver profiles related to aggressiveness, considering mainly speed and acceleration as driving metrics. Based on the gaps and challenges identified, this paper provides a new framework for combining microscopic and macroscopic driving behavior analysis, instead of examining them separately as is the state-of-theart. Such combined results can potentially improve the development of traffic risk models, which could be exploited in applications that monitor drivers in real-time and provide feedback. These models will represent human behavior more accurately, which can eventually lead to the recognition of 'optimal' human driving patterns that Automated Vehicles (AV) could 'mimic' to become safer.